Yes... thanks all for the up-dates!
No worry SS, BBW is still in the neighborhood. lol I'll be there for ya girl...
P.S. I love your new shade of lip gloss!

Actually that report is inaccurate since Cozumel and Cancun were safe as soon as he went west.

Belize is perfectly safe from this since there's 300 miles of Yucatan been them and Izzy and he's moving away.

What is troubling is the huge monsoonal draw he is resourcing all the way out into the Pacific. He's actually reversed the Intertropical Convergence Zone for 1500 miles into the Pacific.

He's only 125mph because of land interaction. His computer Dvorak satellite estimate is actually 127 knots at an impressive 934 millibars. He'll get that if he moves north, as he should eventually do when the neutral pattern breaks.

The Weather Service expects him to intensify if he moves towards the US...

from Merida, Sun AM
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we're hanging in. that's sure one big hairy eyeball. i'm hoping 8 mph is fast enough to hold track and outrun the front coming down. I think it'll bottle up in the bay of campeche IF it blows across the top of us going sw. raining hard now, frequent gusts over 40 i'm guessing. you can see the clouds moving faster toward they eye as it gets closer. We gonna be over 75 mph by tonite no matter what, and thats our best-case.

He's going to be close.

Izzy is planing the north shore right along its edge. I imagine the fishing villages there are being roughed up pretty good as his overwater eye rips down the shoreline with 120mph winds.

I read elsewhere that the Mexican government evacuated the shore areas north of Cancun yesterday. I imagine they cleared those bay villages as well.

Looks like your friend is in for an interesting evening...

Merida, 10:30am

things the same here, maybe a little stronger gusts (50mph?)...GOES IR shows some strong rain coming our way from the nw.

i swear the last 6 GOES shots have had the eye at 21.7n 88.8 w...this mofo is standing still. The eye seems to be breaking down, flattening out on the NW quadrant. What was very strong rain on the east side of the eye seems to be softening...i think he having trouble dragging his tail across land after being stalled from the NW. We'll see what they say at 1 central time.

At 1pm
about the same as it was at 10am. it could be actually coming toward shore, which i'm not sure is a bad thing. because it is skirting the shoreline, its interaction with land at the eye may help break down the eye and keep him from getting stronger. consecutive photos show some movement wsw, but i'm not sure i can buy into the 8mph story. You see that big ball of red on the NW corner of the yucatan in the 1745 goes floater? Thats hitting us right now. Its the strongest wind and rain we've seen. No lightning, so all electronics are on. Sat TV has lost signal a couple of times today (like it does any afternoon here when it rains hard), and cable internet has been up all day, as well as telephone. Local radio is on top of everything. Morning paper said 41 shelters were open around the state of Yucatan. anywhere from 12,000-20,000 evacuated from the coast, largest evacuation in the history of the state.

CHECK THE PRECIPTATION AMOUNTS

Current Weather Conditions:
Aerop. Internacional Merida, Yuc, Mexico

(MMMD) 20-59N 089-39W 11M
Conditions at Sep 22, 2002 - 04:10 PM EDT
Wind from the W (280 degrees) at 46 MPH (40 KT)
Visibility 1 mile(s)
Sky conditions obscured
Weather Rain showers
Cumulonimbus clouds observed
Temperature 78 F (26 C)
Dew Point 78 F (26 C)
Relative Humidity 100%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.03 in. Hg (983 hPa)
Precipitation
Amount
35.01 inches In the 6 hours preceding Sep 22, 2002 - 12:45 PM EST / 2002.09.22 1745 UTC
70.99 inches In the 24 hours preceding Sep 20, 2002 - 08:45 PM EST / 2002.09.21 0145 UTC

Landfall Very Near Merida:

I don't have any direct information, but Izzy suddenly dove left and straight into Yucatan. His eye passed over the coastal village of Telchac Puerto and is within a few miles of Merida at this moment.

I imagine your friend is hunkering down right now in near-eyewall speed winds. The storm's strong side is abeam Merida right now...

He's going to have some stories to tell I'm sure...

Has there been any affect to AC at all?

My thaughts & prayers are with those guys up there!

Fred

Does anyone know it Izzy is around the Akumal area also?
Thank you.
Kathie