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#207363 - 07/17/05 02:51 PM how its goin 2pm Sat July 17
Marty Offline
Everything good so far, 9000 folks evacuated. Several businesses are having employees return from the mainland first thing this morning and guests should be arriving before lunch.

from govikes:
Power is still on. Sun is still shining, beer is still cold. Just got done eating a crunchy falafel sandwich and some yummy roast chicken from Ali Baba's. Some vendors in park are open, Celi's deli, Bc's, Ali Baba's. And where I am - Coconet.
From Jesse:
Not many
people about...most looking around too. About 1/2 of buildings boarded up. Seas still calm. Not much
breeze. Looks like a possible spoke from Emily toward the northeast but
very mild. Nice day...hot!!

Besides Marinas store and bar, Antojitos and Tycoon are also open.

From the San Pedro Emergency Comittee:
The Police and the BDF are patrolling the Town along with a small contingent of police/BDF to the north of the Island. There were no break ins reported last night which was excellent, since we have been having robberies every night in the past week, this shows that the Police/BDF have been doing a great Job.

The San Pedro Emergency Committee has performed extremely well and the Emergency Plan would not have been implemented so well, without the Whole Team's excellent effort.

The storm has not come ashore yet so we are still activated and continue to monitor Hurricane Emily.

Marty back ...
The sunny and hot weather is the dead spot in such conventional (not being pushed back by an El Norde)
is always the South West of the eye -- which is where we are at.

Look at the "effect" circles on the Navy tracking graphic -- you will see
that clearly marked --

i like this way the navy track shows the predicted power of each quadrant graphically with the different radius' that each quadrant shows on that track.

the circles also show the NE quad storm effect being bigger like it is.

we're in as good of a spot as we can be for this one, provided it sticks like a magnet to that track. and it should. the storm has a relatively small eye, and is generally category 4 at this time. Surge and accompanying water are always a question.

#207364 - 07/17/05 02:57 PM Re: how its goin 2pm Sat July 17
govikes Offline
Only change to that is it's Sunday here. And I doublechecked on that before I typed this. :p

#207365 - 07/17/05 03:30 PM Re: how its goin 2pm Sat July 17
Marty Offline
Here's some pics taken just now by Ron at the San Pedro Sun:

I took these at about 12:30 in front of Banana Beach. You can begin to hear the swells hitting the reef and the white caps are very visible.

It is very calm and still right now.

#207366 - 07/17/05 03:46 PM Re: how its goin 2pm Sat July 17
Marty Offline
From Diane Campbell this morning:

Forecasters predict that the Bay of Chetumal may empty, as it did in Keith. This is a pretty amazing event - causing a massive rush of water from Chetumal behind (on the west side)Amergris Caye and Caye Caulker. Traditionally people have put their boats on this side of the island for storms. During Keith this rush of water carried four people (tending boats) to their deaths, and caused a big pile-up of smaller craft in the town itself. We anticipate that most people have avoided this potential mistake for Emily, but all are are warned to stay off the water and to expect water levels in the back to be considerably above normal - perhaps as much as 8 feet.
The effect on some of the communities in the back, like DFC and San Pedrito could be harsh as they have barely 6 inches of height above high tide.
We are also told to expect some beach erosion on the east side of the island - my guess is that the southern end (as in Keith) is more vulnerable to this factor as this is where the waters of the Bay will pass as they surge out of the area and then come back.

Officials in Belize are primarily concerned about the very northernmost mainland districts - Orange Walk and Corozal, and that concern is primarily related to floods.


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