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#207412 - 10/02/05 04:15 PM CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/2- 10/8
SP Daily Offline
October 2, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Weather conditions influenced by Tropical Depression
20 will continue to produce cloudy to overcast skies
and isolated showers as it slowly moves northwest over
the Yucatan Peninsula.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies and isolated showers and
thundershowers. Winds will vary from westerly through
south easterly 5 to 15 Kts.. Sea state will be light
chop.

The outlook is for continuing partly cloudy conditions
and isolated showers through Monday.



TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

North Western Caribbean:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY CENTERED NEAR 19.5N
87.3W...OR 55 MILES SSW OF COZUMEL MEXICO...AT 02/0600
UTC MOVING WNW 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.

TSTMS ARE INCREASING AROUND THE CENTER WITH A STRONG
BAND IN THE SRN SEMICIRCLE. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST
REDEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY IN ABOUT 24 HOURS IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.

WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM
16.5N-22N BETWEEN 84.5W-89W.

Eastern Atlantic:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN CENTERED NEAR 15.3N
34.0W...OR 665 MILES W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AT
02/0300 UTC MOVING N 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.

North West Caribbean:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM AND MOVE INLAND TODAY THEN WEAKEN BACK
TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION INLAND TONIGHT. AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES BACK OVER WATER INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MON IT
WILL STRENGTHEN BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM AND THEN A
MINIMAL HURRICANE TUE EVENING AND MAKE LANDFALL IN
MEXICO WED.


T.D. TWENTY WILL BRING STRONG WINDS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN WINDS DECREASE ON
MON AS THE IT MOVES INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO.
OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND
TROPICAL ATLC THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS GETTING BETTER-DEFINED
IN THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 20N83W WITH FAIRLY LIGHT
SHEAR IN THE VICINITY OF T.D. 20. NLY OR NE WINDS
ALOFT CONTROL THE REGION W OF 68W WITH ISOLATED TSTMS
OUTSIDE OF THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 77W.


Central Caribbean:

CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE NEAR JAMAICA ALONG 77W
S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT.

ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE CONTINUES ON THE E SIDE
OF T.D. 20 WITH SCATTERED TSTMS IN BETWEEN A BOX FROM
JAMAICA TO S CUBA AND HAITI. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS OVERNIGHT WITH NLY SHEAR ALSO
CONTRIBUTING TO TSTM DEVELOPMENT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE AREAS OF FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN
THE MORE RUGGED AREAS OF CUBA AND JAMAICA. A FEW
TSTMS ARE ALSO NEAR S AMERICA AT THE SOUTHERN END OF
THE WAVE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 73W-78W.

Eastern Caribbean:

AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS SITUATED FROM THE NRN LEEWARD
ISLANDS SW TO THE OFFSHORE VENEZUELAN ISLANDS AND
DEMARCATES THE MOIST ATMOSPHERE TO THE W FROM DRIER
WEATHER TO THE E.

EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS OCCURRING OVER THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER LOW TO
THE N...MOST OF THE E CARIBBEAN IS UNDER GENERALLY
FAIR SKIES. THE GFS SUGGESTS THE DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE IN THE SE CARIBBEAN FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

Gulf of Mexico:

MODELS ARE FORECASTING THE FIRST STRONG COLD FRONT OF
THE SEASON TO MOVE OFF THE NW GULF OF MEXICO COAST
LATE WED AND EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE ON THU.

Top
#207413 - 10/03/05 05:06 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/2- 10/8
SP Daily Offline
October 3, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Upper level High pressures over the Western Caribbean
and Belize along with an approaching Tropical wave
will produce widely scattered showers.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies with widely scattered showers
and isolated thundershowers developing early tomorrow
morning. Winds will shift from southeasterly to
northeasterly 5 to 15 Kts... Sea state will be light
chop to choppy.

The outlook is for continuing cloudy conditions and
isolated showers through late Tuesday and Wednesday.




North West Caribbean:

UPPER HIGH ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. STAN IS GIVING THE W
CARIBBEAN N TO NE UPPER FLOW WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA W OF 70W.


CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 83W/84W S OF 20N
MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS UNDER THE UPPER HIGH
ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. STAN FULLY MASKING ANY SIGNATURE
CURVATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANY ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION IS RELATED TO STAN AND NOT TO THE TROPICAL
WAVE ITSELF.

Eastern Caribbean:

EASTERN EDGE OF T.S. STAN CIRCULATION BRINGS WEAK SE
FLOW OVER WRN CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRES RIDGE...WEAKENED
BY TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE...CANNOT POWER E CARIBBEAN
TRADES AS USUAL.

ELONGATED UPPER LOW IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN STRETCHING
FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SW TO THE ABC ISLANDS OFF THE
COAST OF VENEZUELA. THIS IS GIVING THE SE CARIBBEAN
DRY WEATHER. AN UPPER HIGH JUST NE OF PUERTO RICO IS
GIVING THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION THAT IS MOVING S
INTO THE NE CARIBBEAN N OF 16N BETWEEN THE N LEEWARD
ISLANDS TO 70W.

Central Atlantic:

A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 21N37W MOVING NNW NEAR
10 KT. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS ILL-DEFINED WITH THE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WELL TO THE E DUE TO
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM
OF LINE 20N34W-23N38W WITH A SECOND AREA FURTHER E
FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 27W-30W.

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

Gulf of Mexico:

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN AT 03/1200 UTC IS
NEAR 20.4N 91.9W OR ABOUT 310 NM/570 KM EAST OF TUXPAN
MEXICO. IT IS MOVING WEST 9 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.

Central Atlantic:

AN AREA OF INTEREST HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS NEAR 14N38W. MID LEVEL CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS
OBSERVED IN THE FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12N34W-16N38W.

Top
#207414 - 10/04/05 04:40 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/2- 10/8
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Influence from Hurricane Stan in the Gulf of Mexico is
still affecting the weather over the Western Caribbean
and Belize and will produce cloudy to overcast skies.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies with widely isolated showers
thundershowers developing during the night and early
morning. Winds will be southeasterly 5 to 15 Kts. Sea
state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for continuing cloudy conditions and
isolated showers through late Wednesday.




North West Caribbean:

AN UPPER HIGH ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE STAN IS GIVING
THE W CARIBBEAN N TO NE FLOW WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA S OF 17N W OF 80W
TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W S OF 17N MOVING
W 5-10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED UNDER THE UPPER HIGH FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE STAN WHICH IS FULLY MASKING
ANY SIGNATURE CURVATURE IN THE CARIBBEAN.

Central and Eastern Caribbean:

AN INDUCED UPPER TROUGH IS BETWEEN THE ABOVE RIDGES
OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ACROSS E CUBA TO COLOMBIA
REDUCING THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THAT
AREA.


AN UPPER HIGH JUST N OF PUERTO RICO IS EXTENDING A
RIDGE SW OVER THE E CARIBBEAN TO NEAR 15N66W AND IS
GIVING THE NE CARIBBEAN CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION N OF A LINE FROM
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS NEAR SAINT LUCIA NW ALONG 15N67W
TO THE S COAST OF HAITI INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TO OVER
LEEWARD ISLANDS.


TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

Gulf of Mexico:

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE STAN AT 04/1200 UTC (6 a.m.
Local time) IS NEAR 18.7N 94.7W OR ABOUT 105 NM/195 KM
ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. IT IS MOVING
SOUTHWEST 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
979 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 80 KT.

HURRICANE STAN WENT THROUGH A RAPID INTENSIFICATION
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY ACCORDING TO THE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT. ALONG THIS TRACK AND SPEED
HURRICANE STAN WILL MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE STAN HAS COLD CLOUD TOPS IN THE -80 TO -85
DEG C RANGE OVER A LARGE AREA OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVERING THE AREA S OF
20N TO JUST INLAND OVER S
MEXICO BETWEEN 93W-96.5W INCLUDING VERACRUZ.

Bahamas:

AREA OF CONCERN IN THE BAHAMAS CONSISTS OF A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED JUST S OF ANDROS ISLAND
NEAR 23N77W ACROSS THE N BAHAMA ISLANDS TO NEAR
31N79W. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT IN 36 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT THE SHOWER/
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED E OF THE
TROUGH/LOW.

Central Atlantic:

A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 22N41.5W DRIFTING W.
LOW LEVEL CENTER IS CLEARLY DEFINED BUT THE ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION IS WELL TO THE NE DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR.

Top
#207415 - 10/06/05 02:00 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/2- 10/8
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

General low pressures over the Yucatan, Northwest
Caribbean and Belize will produce cloudy to overcast
skies.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies with widely scattered rain
showers and thundershowers developing during the late
evening and early morning. Winds will be westerly at
first then shifting to southeasterly 5 to 15 Kts. Sea
state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for continuing cloudy conditions and
showery outbreaks through late Friday.




North West Caribbean:

PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS QUITE WEAK ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN. SLY WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TONIGHT AND FRI
AS THE LOW IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL STRENGTHENS AND
MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE WINDS THEN
DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND.

OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF
THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 14N W OF 78W TO INLAND OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

Central Caribbean:

THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF EXTENDS INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN N OF 17N W OF 82W. DIFFLUENCE TO THE E OF
THE UPPER TROUGH IS PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE TO
SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION N OF 18N MOVING
ACROSS CUBA AND JAMAICA TO OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
BETWEEN 75W-83W.

Eastern Caribbean:

E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 61W/62W S OF 19N
MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 56W AND
THE EASTERN MOST ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.


AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING SW OVER THE E CARIBBEAN TO
THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE ABC ISLANDS NEAR 11N63W IS
PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS NEAR 19N64W SW TO 14N72W AND WITHIN 30 NM
ALONG THE N COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 72W-75W. THIS IS
LEAVING THE REMAINDER OF THE S CARIBBEAN RATHER
CLOUD/SHOWER FREE.


TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

Gulf of Mexico:

A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF AND MERGE WITH THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER
LATE TONIGHT OR FRI. STRONG NLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL DECREASE LATE SAT AND SUN.

Yucatan Channel:

BROAD AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE COVERS THE NW
CARIBBEAN AND SE GULF WITH A 1005 MB LOW ANALYZED IN
THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W AND HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER W CUBA SPREADING ACROSS S
FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THIS SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED AND ANY TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOW.

Western Atlantic:

TROPICAL STORM TAMMY IS CENTERED NEAR 31.2N 82.6W OR
NEAR WAYCROSS GEORGIA AT 06/0600 UTC MOVING NW AT 11
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45
KT.

Top
#207416 - 10/07/05 02:21 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/2- 10/8
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

General low pressures lingering over the Northwest
Caribbean as a cold front approaches Yucatan and
Belize will sustain cloudy to overcast skies.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies with widely scattered showers
and thundershowers developing during the late evening
and early morning. Winds will be southerly to
southeasterly 5 to 15 Kts. then will shift to the
northwest with the approaching cold front early
Sunday. Sea state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for continuing cloudy conditions and
showery outbreaks through late Saturday.




North West Caribbean:

AN UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES THE CARIBBEAN WITH A HIGH
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND A NARROW UPPER RIDGE ALSO
FROM THE HIGH OVER THE CAYMANS EXTENDS WSW ACROSS
CENTRAL AMERICA IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THIS SCENARIO
IS GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN NW
OF A LINE FROM E CUBA NEAR 20N75W TO NICARAGUA NEAR
13N84W.

THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS QUITE WEAK
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. SLY WINDS 10-15 KT OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT.

Central Caribbean:

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
N OF 14N FROM 68W-75W TO INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA.

A BROAD RIDGE EXTENDING SW TO NEAR THE ABC ISLANDS.

Eastern Caribbean:

CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 67W/68W S OF 17N
MOVING W 5-10 KT. WAVE IS BENEATH STRONG N FLOW FROM
AN UPPER RIDGE. THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS OR
CONVECTION.

THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH IN THE W/CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDS
OVER THE E CARIBBEAN N OF 12N E OF 65W.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE
BEING GENERATED BY THE SURFACE TROUGH/LOW. TROPICAL
WAVE WELL E OF THE AREA ALONG 44W WITH LOW PRES NEAR
11N44W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE WILL ENTER THE
TROPICAL ATLC ZONE SAT AND MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN
SUN AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUE. THERE IS SOME CHANCE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE BEFORE
ENTERING THE E CARIBBEAN SEA.

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

Gulf of Mexico:

A COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL MOVE INTO THE
GULF AND STRONG NLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
DECREASE LATE SAT AND SUN.

LOW PRES NEAR WESTERN CUBA IS FORECAST TO MOVE N AND
EVENTUALLY GET PICKED UP THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
TONIGHT.

THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM
AROUND NEW ORLEANS TO CORPUS CHRISTI. THE FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE BY LATE TODAY WITH INCREASING NLY WINDS
BEHIND IT. THE WINDS DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY SAT AS
HIGH PRES SLOWLY BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

A WEAK TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF LOW PRES
NEAR THE BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN
SAT AND EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO HONDURAS
SUN...REACHING FROM E CUBA TO NE NICARAGUA BY TUE.


Central Atlantic:

TROPICAL WAVE WELL E OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ALONG
44W WITH LOW PRES NEAR 11N44W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT.
THE WAVE WILL ENTER THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE SAT AND
MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN SUN AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TUE. THERE IS SOME CHANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE BEFORE ENTERING THE E
CARIBBEAN SEA.

Top
#207417 - 10/08/05 02:57 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/2- 10/8
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

General low pressures lingering over the Northwest
Caribbean and Belize will sustain cloudy skies and
occasional showers. Meanwhile, a cold front stalls
over the Bay of Campeche.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies with sunny breaks. Widely scattered
showers and thundershowers will develop during the
late evening and early morning. Winds will be light
and variable at times or otherwise easterly 5 to 15
Kts. Sea state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for continuing cloudy conditions and
milder temperatures.




North West Caribbean:

A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...JUST NORTH OF WESTERN CUBA...THROUGH THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL... AND TOWARD THE GULF OF HONDURAS.

THE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WERE COVERING CENTRAL AMERICA SIX
HOURS AGO HAVE DISSIPATED OVER LAND AND HAVE RE-FORMED
IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC.

CENTRAL AMERICA FINDS ITSELF AT THE TAIL END OF A
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND UNDER SOME UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE WITH THE 17N77W 32N76W RIDGE.

Central Caribbean:

A CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W/74W
SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE NOW
FINDS ITSELF IN MORE UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW.
EARLIER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED.

ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS
ARE FOUND BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

Eastern Caribbean:

UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA
EAST OF 70W. THIS FLOW ACCOMPANIES THE LARGER-SCALE
CYCLONIC FLOW WHICH RUNS FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR
10N TO 34N IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN BETWEEN 50W AND 70W.

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND
FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 58W AND 61W ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ISLANDS OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. CONVECTIVE CELLS
NOW ARE SEEN A BIT TO THE WEST FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN
63W AND 64W...AND IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 16N TO
20N BETWEEN 54W AND 56W.

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

Gulf of Mexico:

A STATIONARY FRONT RUNS FROM A 1003 MB SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N85W TO THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR COVERS THE GULF OF
MEXICO WATERS EAST OF 92W.

Top

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