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#207420 - 10/09/05 03:58 PM CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

General low pressures and a cold front lingering over
northern Belize will sustain cloudy skies and isolated
showers

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies with few cloudy intervals. Shower activity
will be isolated during late evening. Winds will be
light and variable at times or otherwise north to
northwest 5 to 15 Kts. Sea state will be slight to
light chop.

The outlook is for continuing fair conditions and mild
temperatures.




North West Caribbean:

THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES FROM FLORIDA TO WESTERN
CUBA...TO THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NORTHERN
BELIZE AND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TO THE EASTERN
ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 17N92W. A DISSIPATING
STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES FROM 17N92W NORTHWESTWARD
TO 23N102W IN INTERIOR MEXICO.

A WEAK TROUGH ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN FROM WESTERN
CUBA TO HONDURAS WILL DRIFT EASTWARD FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS CAUSING AN UNSETTLED PATTERN TO CONTINUE
OVER THE W ATLC AND CARIBBEAN.


Central Caribbean:

A CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS SOUTH OF 20N
ALONG 77W/78W...MOVING ACROSS JAMAICA. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION AROUND THIS WAVE IS NOT RELATED TO THE
77W/78W WAVE.

ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN
RELATIVELY LOW ACROSS THE AREA WITH WEAK A PRESSURE
GRADIENT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

Eastern Caribbean:

A LARGE AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...COVERING THE WATERS FROM THE VENEZUELA COAST TO
JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. ANYONE WHO IS DOING ANY
BOATING ACTIVITY OR FLYING THROUGH THIS AREA SHOULD BE
WARNED TO EXPECT NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR AT LEAST THE REST OF THE MORNING.
ALL THIS DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING IN AN
AREA OF STRONG DIFFLUENT FLOW.

WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE SE TO S SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN AND NW PORTION
OF THE TROPICAL ATLC WATERS NEAR THE DEVELOPING PUERTO
RICO LOW.

A FEW CELLS OF STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ALSO ARE
SEEN FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 58W AND 60W JUST EAST OF
THE Caribbean Sea ISLANDS.


TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND
FROM THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA TO 18N BETWEEN
63W AND 70W. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
APPROACHING OR FORMING NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
COLOMBIA. THIS DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY COVERS MUCH OF
THE CARIBBEAN SEA IN BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND
VENEZUELA. ANYONE DOING ANY BOATING IN THIS AREA
SHOULD BE WARNED ABOUT THE DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
WHICH ALREADY HAS DEVELOPED AND WHICH MAY DEVELOP MORE
AS THE DAY GOES ON.

THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN IS A DEVELOPING TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED UNSETTLED WEATHER EXTENDING FROM THE
BAHAMAS SE ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO. UPPER
DIVERGENCE OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES FROM LARGE UPPER
LOW TO THE NE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
SHOWERS/TSTMS ACROSS THESE AREAS.

MOST OF THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LOW PRESSURES
NEAR PUERTO RICO IN ABOUT 24-48 HOURS...

Top
#207421 - 10/10/05 02:47 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

General low pressures lingering over Belize and the
Western Caribbean will produce light and variable
winds.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies with few cloudy intervals. Shower activity
will be isolated during late evening. Winds will be
light and variable at times or otherwise north to
northwest. Sea state will be smooth.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies and isolated
showers on Tuesday.




North West Caribbean:

BROAD LOW SURFACE PRESSURES DOMINATE THE SW N ATLC
WATERS AND EXTENDS SW INTO THE W CARIBBEAN ALONG A
FRONTAL TROUGH. SEVERAL SURFACE LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP WITHIN THIS BROAD LOW PRES.

SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN EXTENDING FROM
CENTRAL CUBA THROUGH A 1008 MB LOW IN THE GULF OF
HONDURAS NEAR 17N84W TO THE NW COAST OF HONDURAS.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION ARE W OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE
FROM 21N83W SW TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS NEAR 17N87W.
BROAD UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR
20N81W WITH AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE ENTIRE
CARIBBEAN TO THE LESSER ANTILLES NEAR 14N61W.

W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W S OF 16N MOVING
W 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW
AND SSW SURFACE FLOW...THUS WAVE SATELLITE SIGNATURE
IS MASKED WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.


Central Caribbean:

A CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS SOUTH OF 20N
ALONG 77W/78W...MOVING ACROSS JAMAICA. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION AROUND THIS WAVE IS NOT RELATED TO THE
77W/78W WAVE.

ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN
RELATIVELY LOW ACROSS THE AREA WITH WEAK A PRESSURE
GRADIENT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND UNUSUAL SW SURFACE FLOW
IS GENERATING LARGE CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF NUMEROUS
STRONG CONVECTION E OF 80W

Eastern Caribbean:

SLY WINDS OVER THE N-CENTRAL AND NE CARIBBEAN AND THE
NW PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLC BEGINNING TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

ANOTHER LOW PRES MAY ALREADY BE DEVELOPING IN THE
BAHAMAS NEAR 23N75W. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH WED...THEN DRIFT E AND WEAKEN
INTO A TROUGH THU WHICH SHOULD EXTEND N-S ALONG 65W
FROM 31N TO HISPANIOLA...THEN EXTEND WSW ACROSS THE N
CARIBBEAN INTO THE BROAD LOW PRES THAT WILL PERSIST IN
THE NE GULF OF HONDURAS AND THE W-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

WELL-DEFINED WAVE WITH CYCLONIC CURVATURE OBSERVED ON
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS NEAR THE LOW FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN
53W-56W.

Top
#207422 - 10/11/05 01:49 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

General low pressures lingering over Belize and the
Western Caribbean will produce light and variable
winds and dry weather.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies with few cloudy intervals. No
precipitation is expected. Winds will be light and
variable at times or otherwise northerly at less than
10 kts. Sea state will be smooth.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies and isolated
showers on Wednesday.


North West Caribbean:

SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN FROM JUST W OF
JAMAICA THROUGH A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 17N83W TO ALONG THE
COAST OF HONDURAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 79W
AND THE YUCATAN.

NW TO N WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TO
THE NW OF THE TROUGH AND WEAK LOW PRES ANALYZED NEAR
17N83W.

Central Caribbean:

A 1007 MB LOW IS OVER THE E TIP OF HISPANIOLA NEAR
19N68W. LIGHT TO MODERATE SW SURFACE WINDS DOMINATE
THE CARIBBEAN E OF THE TROUGH IN THE NW CARIBBEAN.

DIFFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH IN THE W ATLC
PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG WITH EMBEDDED AREAS OF SCATTERED STRONG
CONVECTION ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SE OF A LINE FROM E
CUBA NEAR 20N77W TO HONDURAS NEAR 15N84W.

FLASH FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE THREATENING
MUDSLIDES EXISTS IN THE NE CARIBBEAN ISLANDS
ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

SLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CARIBBEAN TO THE E
AND SE OF THIS TROUGH THROUGH SAT.

Eastern Caribbean:

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 60W HAS BEEN MOVING W AT 12 KT
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO HAVE LITTLE
IMPACT.


TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

DIFFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH IN THE W ATLC IS
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE
THREATENING MUDSLIDES EXISTS IN THE NE CARIBBEAN
ISLANDS ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

Top
#207423 - 10/12/05 02:54 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Weak pressure gradients over Belize and the Western
Caribbean will produce light and variable winds and
dry weather.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies with few cloudy intervals. No
precipitation is expected. Winds will be light and
variable at times or otherwise northerly at less than
10 kts. Sea state will be smooth.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies and isolated
showers on Thursday.


North West Caribbean:

1005 MB LOW IS W OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N75W. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS W TO HONDURAS ALONG 16N80W 16N88W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE
TROUGH AXIS.

THE OVERALL PATTERN WEAKENS LATE SAT AND
SUN...ALTHOUGH REINFORCED SOMEWHAT BY WEAK COLD FRONT
NW CARIBBEAN FRI.

NLY WINDS TO 15 KT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN
THROUGH SUN.

Central Caribbean:

CONTINUED MOIST SW SURFACE FLOW IS OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN S OF THE SURFACE LOW PRODUCING
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM NICARAGUA TO HISPANIOLA AND
PUERTO RICO ENHANCING LOCALIZED FLOODING.

A BROAD TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND SW OVER THE
N-CENTRAL AND W CARIBBEAN AND EXTENDING W ACROSS
CENTRAL AMERICA ALONG 14N INTO THE E PAC THROUGH SAT.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...DIFFLUENCE FROM THE CUT-OFF
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 32N69W
IS ENHANCING THE SAME CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT CONTINUED CONVECTION OVER
MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


MODERATE SLY WINDS E AND SE OF THE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRI.

Eastern Caribbean:

STRONG SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BEGINS NEAR TRINIDAD AND
CONTINUES NWD ACROSS THE ISLANDS FEEDING INTO LOW PRES
N OF HISPANIOLA SO IT IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO FIND
A CYCLONIC WIND SHIFT.


SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS MAINLY N OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 59W-63W AND
MERGES WITH OTHER CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OVER THE W ATLC.

Top
#207424 - 10/13/05 02:48 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Weak pressure gradients over Belize and the Northwest
Caribbean will produce light and variable winds and a
chance of isolated thundershowers.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies with some cloudy spells. An isolated
thundershower may occur late afternoon or early
morning. Winds will be light and variable at times or
otherwise northerly at less than 10 kts. Sea state
will be slight.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies and isolated
showers on Friday.


North West Caribbean:

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING GENERATED BY A
SURFACE TROUGH IN THE W CARIBBEAN THEN DRIFTING
THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL.

UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE AREA WITH
AN UPPER HIGH CENTERED NEAR 16N78W AND EASTERLY FLOW
IN THE UPPER LEVELS IS ADVECTING MUCH OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS CENTRAL AMERICA. A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE CLOSE TO
HAITI, SW TO 16N79W TO OVER NICARAGUA.

A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1006 MB LOW S
OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 18N81W W TO 18N86W AND IS
TRIGGERING AN AREA OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR
THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF
18N86.5W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS
OCCURRING OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN N OF 19N W OF 81W
TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THIS PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED
TO CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS

Central & Southwest Caribbean:

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO PLAGUE PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
AND SW CARIBBEAN. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION HAVE
REMAINED OVER WATER...BUT ABUNDANT MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO BE PUMPED N OVER HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO THIS
MORNING WHICH HAS CAUSED HEAVY RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
AND FLOODING PROBLEMS.

A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND FROM
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE SW TO NICARAGUA THROUGH SAT THEN
LOSE ITS IDENTITY SUN AND MON.

MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING S AND E OF
THIS BROAD TROUGH WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION UP TO 300/400 NM TO THE SE. SOME OF
THIS HEAVY ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PUERTO RICO AND WILL CONTINUE
THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING OVER PUERTO
RICO AND HISPANIOLA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MODERATE SLY WINDS E OF THE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH FRI THEN DECREASE SAT AND SUN AND
BECOMING WLY 10-15 KT MON OVER THE E CARIBBEAN.

Top
#207425 - 10/14/05 08:39 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
October 14, 2005 (12:00 noon)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

A surface trough and weak pressure gradients over
Belize and the Northwest Caribbean will produce light
and variable winds and isolated thunderstorms.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies with some sunny spells. Isolated showers
and thundershowers will occur late afternoon or early
morning. Winds will be light and variable at times or
otherwise northerly at less than 5 to 15 kts. Sea
state will be slight to light chop.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies and isolated
showers on Saturday and Sunday.


North West Caribbean:

A SURFACE TROUGH...ORIGINATING IN THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN...PASSES THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO 1006 MB
LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE WESTERN SHORES OF
JAMAICA. MORE RECENT 14/1500 UTC OBSERVATIONS SEEM TO
MARK THIS LOW CENTER NOW IN NORTH CENTRAL JAMAICA. THE
TROUGH CONTINUES TO EASTERN HONDURAS AND THEN CURVES
INTO THE GULF OF HONDURAS.

ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS...WEAKENING DURING THE LAST
FEW HOURS...FROM LAND TO 17N BETWEEN 85W AND THE GULF
OF HONDURAS.

Central & Southwest Caribbean:

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON TOP
OF NORTH CENTRAL JAMAICA AND TO THE SOUTH OF JAMAICA
EXTENDING ABOUT 85 NM OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST BETWEEN
75W AND 79W. OTHER SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. THE PREDOMINANT WIND
FLOW PATTERN IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE WEST OF THE CYCLONIC FLOW IS FROM THE
NORTHEAST.


Eastern Caribbean:

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 57W/58W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF
CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE 17N55W LOW CENTER WHICH IS
ABOUT 360 NM EAST OF GUADELOUPE. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND
FROM 9N TO 16N BETWEEN 53W AND 60W.

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS DIGGING AND HAS BEEN
DIGGING INTO THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...FROM A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER WHICH
NOW IS ABOUT 360 NM EAST OF GUADELOUPE. THE TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 57W/58W SOUTH OF 19N IS MOVING THROUGH THE
AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW WITH THIS
TROUGH. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 9N TO 16N BETWEEN 53W AND
60W... AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 10N TO 14N
BETWEEN 63W AND 66W. CYCLONIC FLOW WITH THIS TROUGH
COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO 65W/66W.

Top
#207426 - 10/15/05 02:37 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/9- 10/15
SP Daily Offline
October 15, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

GENERAL weak pressure gradients over Belize and the
Northwest Caribbean will produce northeasterly winds
and isolated thunderstorms.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies with some sunny spells. Isolated
showers and thundershowers will occur late afternoon
or early morning. Winds will become northeasterly at 5
to 15 kts. Sea state will be slight to light chop.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies and isolated
showers on Saturday and Sunday.

RESIDENTS IN JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD BEGIN TO MONITOR
CLOSELY THE PROGRESS OF A DEVELOPING AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER.


Tropical Weather Development:

A SURFACE 1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF JAMAICA.

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED IN THE WATERS BETWEEN JAMAICA AND
HAITI...AND ALL AROUND THE LOW CENTER IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN WATERS OFF JAMAICA.

A SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS FROM SOUTHEASTERN
CUBA...THROUGH THE 1005 MB LOW CENTER...TO EASTERN
COASTAL NICARAGUA...AND THROUGH NICARAGUA TO EASTERN
EL SALVADOR. THE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE
FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SATURDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
JAMAICA...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND HAITI.

THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...AND RESIDENTS IN
JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR CLOSELY THE
PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
TENTATIVELY IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON
SATURDAY IF NECESSARY.

North West Caribbean:

A 1005 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR
JAMAICA WITH TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO
NICARAGUA. THE CARIBBEAN IS THE FAVORED LOCATION FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT THIS TIME OF YEAR AND SO
THE LOW WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT.


Eastern Caribbean:

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 59W/60W SOUTH OF 19N IS MOVING
WEST 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
OF CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE 17N58W LOW CENTER WHICH IS
TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 55W AND 60W.

Top

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