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#207481 - 10/19/05 04:58 PM BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
BZEdog Offline
AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM SOUTH OF TULUM TO CHETUMAL.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE
CITY.

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#207482 - 10/19/05 05:49 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
SP Daily Offline
NATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ORGANIZATION (NEMO) BELIZE
ADVISORY NO. 2 19 OCT 2005 MIDDAY
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR COASTAL AREAS OF NORTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTH TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 9:00 AM THE CENTRE OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 83.2 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 330 MILES EAST OF BELIZE CITY AND 316 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN PEDRO, AMBERGRIS.

WILMA IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MILES PER HOUR (MPH). HOWEVER, THE HURRICANE IS MAKING SMALL LOOPS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE COUNTRY OF BELIZE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 882 MILLIBARS OR 26.05 INCHES THIS IS THE MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN HISTORY IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 50 MILES FROM THE CENTRE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 160 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

RESIDENTS IN BELIZE ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF WILMA VERY CLOSELY.

NEMO ADVISES THOSE PERSONS WHO ARE IN THE OUTER ATOLLS AND ISLANDS BEYOND THE BARRIER REEF TO BEGIN TO SEEK SAFE HARBOUR AS WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD UP TO 6 TO 9 FEET.

SKIES WILL BECOME CLOUDY AS A FEEDER BANDS CROSS THE COUNTRY PRODUCING INTENSE THUNDERSHOWERS AND 5 TO 1O INCHES OF RAIN. RIVERS ARE BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND FALLING. WINDS OVER THE SEA WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS AND THE SEA STATE WILL BE ROUGH. WAVES ON THE OPEN SEA WILL BE 6 TO 9 FEET.

THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ORGANIZATION (NEMO) AT 4:00 PM TODAY.

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#207483 - 10/19/05 05:51 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
Marty Online   happy
9AM MAPS:

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#207484 - 10/19/05 06:01 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
Marty Online   happy

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#207485 - 10/19/05 06:18 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
BZEdog Offline
That IR map is looking serious if you had no clue on it's direction.

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#207486 - 10/19/05 07:21 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
Marty Online   happy
one computer now has it sitting right in the yucatan/cuba gap 5 days from now- stalled

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#207487 - 10/19/05 07:26 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
SP Daily Offline
Hurricane Wilma Intermediate Advisory Number 17a

Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on October 19, 2005


...Wilma weakens slightly...


at 2 PM EDT...1800z...the Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch
for the Cayman Islands has been discontinued.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from San Felipe to Tulum on
the Yucatan Peninsula...including Cozumel and nearby islands. A
hurricane is also in effect for Swan Island.


A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from south of Tulum to
Chetumal Mexico.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the East Coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula from south of Tulum to Punta gruesa.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Belize from the border
with Mexico southward to Belize City.


A Hurricane Watch remains in effect in Cuba for the provinces of
Matanzas westward through Pinar del Rio...and for the Isle of
Youth.


A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Honduras from the
Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Cabo camaron.


All interests in the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula should
closely monitor the progress of extremely dangerous Hurricane Wilma.


A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.


For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.


At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located
near latitude 17.5 north... longitude 83.5 west or about 300
miles... 480 km... southeast of Cozumel Mexico.


Wilma is wobbling around an average motion toward the west-northwest
near 7 mph ...11 km/hr. A turn toward the northwest is expected
during the next 24 hours.


Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph...270 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Wilma is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane
on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Fluctuations in intensity are common
in hurricanes of this intensity...and are likely during the next 24
hours.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles... 85 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 160 miles...260 km.


Estimated minimum central pressure is 900 mb...26.58 inches. An
Air Force aircraft will be in the center of Wilma shortly to
provide a direct measure of the central pressure.


Wilma is expected to produce storm total accumulations of 10 to 15
inches...with local amounts near 25 inches in mountainous terrain
across Cuba through Friday. Additional rainfall accumulations of 5
to 10 inches...with local amounts of 15 inches...are possible
across the Cayman Islands...Swan Island...and Jamaica through
Thursday. Storm total accumulations of 4 to 6 inches...with
isolated amounts of 8 to 12 inches...are possible from Honduras
northward to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through Thursday.


Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...17.5 N... 83.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 7 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...165 mph. Minimum central pressure... 900 mb.


The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 PM EDT.


Forecaster Franklin

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#207488 - 10/19/05 08:33 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
Marty Online   happy


sure is filling the caribbean. huge...

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#207489 - 10/19/05 09:35 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
Marty Online   happy
water is HIGH here...

everyone's pulled boats... bet Cholo's has water lapping at their
doorstep... steady breeze outta the west right now

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#207490 - 10/19/05 09:40 PM Re: BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
BZEdog Offline
Greetings from Chicago again. Keep it one piece down there... we'll be back in Jan.

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