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#207625 - 10/30/05 02:17 PM CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Hurricane Beta moves into Nicaragua and Honduras and
will influence the weather particularly over Southern
Belize.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies and occasional showers. Winds will blow
from the North to Northeast at 15 to 25 kts... The sea
state will be moderate to rough...

MARINE INTERESTS AND OPERATORS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION BECAUSE OF ROUGH SEAS WHICH WILL ACCOMPANY THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS.

The outlook is for cloudy skies and occasional showers
on Monday.



Tropical Weather Development:

HURRICANE BETA IS CENTERED NEAR 13.3N 83.2W AT 30/0600
UTC (MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME) OR ABOUT 105 NM S OF CABO
GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND
ABOUT 50 NM E OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MOVING WSW
AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 965
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN WIND SPEED WAS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO
115 KT.

BETA HAS BECOME A FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL SYSTEM WITH
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDING A SMALL EYE
WITHIN 45 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 11.5N-15N W OF 81W TO
INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TO 84.5W. OUTER RAINBANDS OF
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 17N80W
17N82W INLAND OVER HONDURAS NEAR 15N84W TO OVER W
NICARAGUA NEAR 14N85W.

BETA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY OVER
PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA FOR SEVERAL HOURS AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS BETA CONTINUES INLAND.
THIS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A
STORM SURGE ON THE NICARAGUA COAST WITH TORRENTIAL
RAIN...MUDSLIDES...AND HIGH WINDS WELL INLAND.

Southwest Caribbean:

HURRICANE BETA IS ALONG THE COAST NICARAGUA.

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED NEAR BETA IS PROVIDING
GENEROUS OUTFLOW COVERING THE W CARIBBEAN TO 73W.


Northwest Caribbean:

A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGH
OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN ACROSS
CUBA NEAR 21N77W TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 19N81W.

A POLAR HIGH IS PRODUCING STRONG NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT
OVER THE ATLANTIC AND INTO NW CARIBBEAN.

Central Caribbean:

CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 75W/76W S OF 16N
MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO
HURRICANE BETA WITH THE LOCATION BASED MORE ON
EXTRAPOLATION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 14N TO OVER NW VENEZUELA AND
COLOMBIA BETWEEN 71W-75W.

WITH THE ABUNDANCE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
N OF 17N FROM 74W-84W INCLUDING CUBA AND JAMAICA.

Eastern Caribbean:

AN UPPER LOW COVERS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 73W AND IS
CENTERED NEAR 14N67W. THE UPPER LOS IS DRAWING DRY AIR
S TO OVER THE ABC ISLANDS FROM
THE CENTRAL ATLC AND TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
LESSER ANTILLES GIVING THE ISLANDS ISOLATED SHOWERS.

MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN AS A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA IN THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS AND WILL REMAIN IN THE WAKE OF
HURRICANE BETA.

Top
#207626 - 10/31/05 03:07 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
October 31, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

The Core of Tropical Depression Beta moves from
Nicaragua into Honduras and will influence the weather
particularly over Southern Belize.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Overcast skies, intermittent rain and occasional
showers. Winds will blow from the Northwest to
Northeast at 15 to 25 kts... The sea state will be
moderate to rough...

MARINE INTERESTS AND OPERATORS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION BECAUSE OF ROUGH SEAS WHICH WILL ACCOMPANY THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS.

The outlook is for cloudy skies and occasional showers
on Tuesday.



Tropical Weather Development:

TROPICAL MOISTURE IS BEING FILTERED NORTH COMPLIMENTS
OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET MOVING NORTHWARD AROUND A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IN THE CARIBBEAN LOCATED NEAR 19N80W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE S OF
25N E OF 88W.

Central America:

A WESTERN CARIBBEAN WAVE IS ALONG 81W S OF 12N MOVING
WEST 10 KT. CONVECTION REMAINS LIGHT WITH ONLY AN
SMALL AREA OF ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-10N
BETWEEN 81W-82W.



Northwest Caribbean:

MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF BETA CONTINUES TO BE
DRAWN NWD BY THE SUBTROPICAL JET.

THERE IS AMPLE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-23N BETWEEN
80W-89W. FURTHER EAST A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDS ACROSS E CUBA S TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TO NEAR
19N82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 77W-81W. AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS
LOCATED NEAR 19N80W.

THIS SLOW MOVING DISSIPATING COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO
PUSH EAST EXTENDING INTO THE CARIBBEAN AS A
DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

Central Caribbean:

TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N ARE BLOWING EASTERLY AT 20 KT
INTO CARIB EAST OF 75W.

Eastern Caribbean:

EASTERN CARIBBEAN WAVE IS ALONG 61W S OF 21N MOVING
THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN
56W-62W. SHOWERS AND CONVECTION WILL REMAIN SCATTERED
OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FOR THE REMAINDER OF
TODAY AS THE WAVE PUSHES INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 14N69W...WHICH IS
HELPING TO PROVIDE SHEAR OVER THE TROPICAL WAVE
APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

Top
#207627 - 11/01/05 02:33 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
November 1, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Tropical moisture and unsettled conditions will
continue to influence the weather over Belize and the
Yucatan and extreme Northwest Caribbean.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies and occasional showers. Winds
will blow from the Northwest to Northeast at 10 to 20
kts... The sea state will be choppy to moderate.

The outlook is for cloudy skies and occasional showers
on Wednesday.



Tropical Weather Development:

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IN THE W CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N83W AND
AN UPPER LOW IN THE E CARIBBEAN NEAR 15N73W DOMINATE
THE SITUATION ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN.

Central America:

CENTRAL AMERICAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W S OF 14N
MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE IS MOVING INTO THE E PACIFIC
REGION. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE INLAND OVER HONDURAS.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO OCCURING ALONG
THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 81W.

Northwest Caribbean:

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

RIDGE NORTH OF THE AREA COUPLED WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS THROUGH THE
FLORIDA STRAITS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS PRODUCING
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KT JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
TROUGH.

BROAD RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE CARIBBEAN EXTENDS INTO THE
W ATLC DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE N ACROSS THE AREA
FROM CUBA TO THE YUCATAN...

DIFFLUENCE W OF THE UPPER HIGH IS GENERATING CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM
THE GULF OF HONDURAS NE TO ACROSS W CUBA.

Central Caribbean:

TRADE WINDS SOUTH OF 20N ARE BLOWING EASTERLY AT 20 KT
INTO CARIB EAST OF 75W.

IN THE LOWER LATITUDES THE TRADES W OF 75W WILL BE
LIGHTER THAN NORMAL AND NEAR NORMAL EAST OF 75W.

N OF THE UPPER LOW...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING
FROM 16N TO ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA.

UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IS GENERATING A LINE OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N80.5W
12N78.5W TO OVER COLOMBIA NEAR 11N74W.

Eastern Caribbean:

E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 68W/69W S OF 19N
MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE IS TO THE E OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED NEAR 15N73W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM THE ABC ISLANDS S TO INLAND
OVER VENEZUELA FROM 68W-71W.

THE E CARIBBEAN WILL DRY OUT SOMEWHAT. BY
WED...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SE CARIBBEAN
AS THE ITCZ AXIS PULLS N ACROSS THE S CARIBBEAN.

THE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE CARIBBEAN IS CAUSED BY THE
INTERACTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
CIRCULATION. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT
EXPECTED.

Top
#207628 - 11/02/05 03:01 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

A cold front extending from Central Cuba into the Gulf
of Honduras will produce cool and fair weather over
Belize and Yucatan.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies with clear breaks. Winds will blow
from the Northwest to North at 10 to 20 kts. The sea
state will be choppy.

The outlook is for fair weather with mild temperatures
on Thursday.



Tropical Weather Development:

AN UPPER HIGH IN THE W CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N83W AND AN
UPPER LOW IN THE E CARIBBEAN NEAR 15N74W CONTINUE
DOMINATE THE SITUATION ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT.

Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

A COLD FRONT FROM 28N83W TO NW YUCATAN MOVED INTO SW N
ATLC AND WILL EXTEND FROM 31N70W THRU CENTRAL CUBA
LATE TODAY.

AN UPPER HIGH IN THE W CARIBBEAN AND THE BROAD RIDGE
ANCHORED IN THE W ATLC IS DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE N
ACROSS CUBA.

DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN THESE UPPER FEATURES AND THE
ABUNDANCE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ARE GENERATING CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION S OF 18N TO
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 77W-87W.

Central Caribbean:

THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W/74W S
OF 20N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WAVE IS LOCATED TO THE E OF
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 15N74W. SCATTERED
MODERATED/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF 13N TO
INLAND OVER COLOMBIA 72W-76W.

CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
73W/74W IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE UPPER LOW OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN.

WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 74W MOVES W OF AREA THU. LOW
PRESSURES (1010 MB) OVER CENTRAL COLOMBIA IS
MAINTAINING MODERATE NE WIND W OF 80W AND EASTERLIES E
OF 80W.

Eastern Caribbean:

CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE
OCCURRING ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA FROM
16N-20N BETWEEN 66W-75W.

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK THEN THE NE CARIBBEAN WILL DRY
OUT SOMEWHAT AND THE REMAINDER OF THE E CARIBBEAN WILL
DRY OUT BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

Top
#207629 - 11/03/05 02:28 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

A stationary cold front extending from Central Cuba
into the Gulf of Honduras will prolong the cool and
fair weather over Belize and Yucatan.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies with clear breaks. Winds will blow
from the Northwest to North at 10 to 20 kts. Isolated
showers will occur mainly over the sea and late
afternoon. The sea state will be choppy.

The outlook is for fair weather with mild temperatures
on Friday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WAS RELOCATED
ALONG 83W S OF 16N.IT IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS S
OF THE STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. THUS
ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE. AN AREA OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE FRONT...S OF
17N...W OF 80W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS THE E U.S.
INTO THE W ATLC FORCING THE COLD FRONT INTO THE W ATLC
AND NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.

A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN FROM
E CUBA SW OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THEN S TO
HONDURAS. THIS FRONT IS KEEPING THE MOISTURE S OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA...AND INTERACTING WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVE AND 83W TO GENERATE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM W OF THE FRONT AND S OF 19N.

IN THE FAR W CARIBBEAN SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE AT LEAST TO MONDAY.

Central Caribbean:

AN UPPER LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE N COAST OF COLOMBIA
NEAR 11N73W WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING N
TOWARDS HISPANIOLA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
ARE STREAMING OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM
11N74W-12N78W.


Eastern Caribbean:

THE E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 66W/67W
S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT. EXCELLENT WAVE SIGNATURE
CURVATURE N OF THE CARIBBEAN ISLANDS WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM THE N LEEWARD
ISLANDS NEAR 18N62.5W TO N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 21N66W.


AN UPPER HIGH NE OF THE LEEWARD/VIRGIN ISLANDS IS
DRYING OUT THE NE CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE SUBSIDENCE
CLEARING SKIES E OF 67W. CLEARING AND LOWER MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND

ELY TRADES OF 20 KT WILL CONTINUE S OF 18N IN THE
CARIB.

Top
#207630 - 11/04/05 04:39 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
GENERAL SITUATION:
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT BACK AND PRODUCE CLOUDY AND RAINY WEATHER!
24 HR FORECAST: CLOUDY SKIES; PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AND COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING THEN NORTHERN AND COASTAL AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT! WINDS:

WESTERLY AT LESS THAN 10KTS THIS MORNING...BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY LATER AT 10 TO 20KTS.
SEA STATE:
LIGHT CHOP TO CHOPPY;

OUTLOOK:
THROUGH TO SUNDAY MORNING: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS OF THE COUNTRY.

Top
#207631 - 11/05/05 01:20 PM Re: CURRENT LOCAL WEATHER 10/30 - 11/5
SP Daily Offline
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

A frontal trough extending from Central Cuba into the
Gulf of Honduras is maintaining cool temperatures and
overcast conditions with rain over Belize and Yucatan.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies with mild temperatures. Winds
will be light and variable and occasionally Northerly
at less than 10 kts. Periods of light rain and
Isolated showers will occur during the morning and
late afternoon. The sea state will be slight.

The outlook is for cloudy and cool weather with
isolated showers.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING SOUTH OF 15N
WITH THE 81W/82W TROPICAL WAVE.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NORTH OF 15N WITH THE
SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 21N87W NEAR COZUMEL TO 18N88W TO
16N88W IN WESTERN HONDURAS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
STRETCHES FROM NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA TO JUST EAST OF
NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA.

ONE CELL OF NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HAS DEVELOPED IN NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.

Central Caribbean:

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W/82W SOUTH
OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM PANAMA
AND COSTA RICA TO 16N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W.

ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ALSO FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN
74WAND 77W IN THE WATERS JUST NORTH OF THE COLOMBIA
COAST. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND CARIBBEAN SEA ELSEWHERE NORTH
OF 10N BETWEEN 57W AND 75W. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH IS
JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 20N66W.

MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR ALSO IS FOUND FROM 11N
TO 23N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W IN THE ATLANTIC
WATERS...AND NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 60W AND 75W IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.



Eastern Caribbean:

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG
62W/63W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N
TO 13N BETWEEN 60W AND 66W.

Top

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