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#207638 - 11/13/05 02:20 PM CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 13, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be light and variable at
first. Then it will become northerly at 10 to 20 kts.
Isolated showers will occur during the early morning
and late afternoon. The sea state will be slight to
light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Monday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:
A WEAK TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE BOUNDARY AND
SHOULD INCREASE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
THIS MORNING. CARIBBEAN WINDS REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY


LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS PERSISTS OVER THE
SW CARIBBEAN. AN APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRING
MORE CONVECTION TO THE SW CARIBBEAN TOMORROW.

Central Caribbean:
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTERED INLAND OVER N VENEZUELA NEAR 8N70W WILL
PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG WLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER
THE CARIBBEAN. SURFACE CARIBBEAN WINDS ARE 20 TO 25
KT.

Eastern Caribbean:

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE JUST E OF WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOWS
SIGNS OF POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES W 10 KT.

MID/UPPER RIDGING IS TRYING TO LESSEN THE SHEAR ON THE
TROPICAL WAVE NEARING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS BUT IT
STILL REMAINS FAIRLY STRONG. THIS TROPICAL WAVE WILL
PRODUCE CONVECTION OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TOMORROW.

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#207639 - 11/14/05 12:55 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 14, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be light and variable at
first. Then it will become northeasterly at 10 to 20
kts. Isolated showers will occur during the early
morning and late afternoon. The sea state will be
slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Tuesday.


...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...

THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE/1008 MB LOW WAS UPGRADED TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN AT 14/0300 UTC (9
p.m. LOCAL TIME).

T.D. TWENTY-SEVEN WAS CENTERED NEAR 13.5N 62.7W OR
ABOUT 100 NM W OF ST. LUCIA AND ABOUT 90 NM W OF
ST.VINCENT IN THE LESSER ANTILLES MOVING WNW AT 9 KT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40
KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE WAS 1007 MB.

Northwest Caribbean:

LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE
OCCURRING OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO S OF 28N TO
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BETWEEN 87W-94W

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER W CUBA CONTINUES TO ADVECT
DRY AIR/STRONG SUBSIDENCE FROM THE BAHAMAS SW ACROSS
JAMAICA TOWARDS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH THE BEST
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN OCCURRING N OF 16N W
OF 75W.

Southwest Caribbean & Central America:

THE SUBTROPICAL JET BEGINS E OF HONDURAS/NICARAGUA AND
EXTENDS NE ACROSS HISPANIOLA WITH PEAK WINDS NEAR
50-60 KT. DEEP MOISTURE COVERS THE AREA S AND E OF THE
JET PRODUCING TWO MAIN AREAS OF CLOUDS AND DEEP
CONVECTION.

W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 79W/80W S OF 16N
MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN
MODERATE/STRONG LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY TRADES MOVING THE
CONVECTION TO THE W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 60/75 NM OF 13N
FROM 79W-82.5W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA S OF 13N
W OF 65W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA.
THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ENTRENCHED FOR MUCH
OF THE WEEK WITH THE CHANCE FOR AREAS OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ESPECIALLY OVER THE S
CARIBBEAN.

Central Caribbean:

CARIB WINDS N OF 15N GUSTY TO 25 KT. T.D. 27 IN SE
CARIB FORECAST TO BECOME NEXT TRPL STORM AS IT MOVES
WNW 9 KT

Eastern Caribbean:

A LARGE AREA OF BROAD UPPER DIFFLUENCE LIES E OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES AND IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 10N-21N BETWEEN 50W-64W...ASSOCIATED
WITH THE T.D. TWENTY-SEVEN.

T.D. 27 IS STILL IN THE DEVELOPMENT STAGES AND A
SOMEWHAT ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH
SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM 11.5N-14N BETWEEN 60W-62.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS MORE OF
THE ISLANDS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 58W-63W INCLUDING
BARBADOS.

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#207640 - 11/15/05 02:03 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 15, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be east northeasterly at 10
to 20 kts. Isolated showers will occur during the
early morning and late afternoon. The sea state will
be slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Wednesday.


...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY SEVEN IN E CARIBBEAN IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM THIS
EVENING AND MOVE W EVENTUALLY BECOMING A HURRICANE
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BOARDER LATER IN THE WEEK.

T. D. TWENTY-SEVEN WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 65.3W AT
15/0300 UTC(9 pm local time) OR ABOUT 230 NM S OF SAN
JUAN PUERTO RICO MOVING WNW AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED WAS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM PRESSURE WAS 1004 MB.

WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT AND CONTINUED STRONG
CONVECTION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVER THE WINDWARD/SOUTHERN MOST LEEWARD ISLANDS FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT 24 HRS.

Northwest Caribbean:

THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE SE GULF CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN DRIER AIR OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND THE BEST
WEATHER OVER THE REGION EXTENDS FROM HAITI W TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND S TO 17N.

Southwest Caribbean & Central America:

A WESTERN CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 83W S OF
16N DRIFTING WESTWARD. WAVE HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY
SINCE LAST NIGHT AND IS BENEATH UPPER LEVEL E/W RIDGE.
LOW/MID LEVEL CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE S CARIBBEAN.

THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W AND A 1006 MB LOW NEAR
11N77W ARE INTERACTING WITH DIFFLUENCE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 16N W OF 72W TO INLAND OVER SOUTH
AND CENTRAL AMERICA.

Central Caribbean:

EXPECT STRONG ELY WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN.

Eastern Caribbean:

T.D. 27 IS LOCATED OVER THE E CARIBBEAN.

THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER WESTERLY SHEAR AND STRONG
BURSTS OF CONVECTION CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS... PRODUCING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLY TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION LIES ON THE
EXTREME NW EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...DUE TO STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS. A LARGE CLUSTER OF
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS SE OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER FROM 11.5N-13N BETWEEN 62.5W-64.5W WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERING THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE
11N62W-15N64.5W.

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#207641 - 11/16/05 03:20 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 16, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Unstable conditions are developing over Northwest
Caribbean adjacent to Belize and will gradually bring
cloudy and showery weather.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies with warm temperatures today tonight.
Winds will be east northeasterly at 10 to 20 kts.
Occasional showers will develop during the late
afternoon and early morning. The sea state will be
light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for cloudy and showery weather on
Thursday and Friday.


...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN IN THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN HAS ORGANIZED LITTLE.

T. D. TWENTY-SEVEN WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.9N 70.2W AT
16/0300 UTC(9 PM LOCAL TIME) OR ABOUT 220 NM S OF
SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MOVING W AT 12
KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS 30 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1006
MB.

THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH A BROAD
CIRCULATION. WESTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO HINDER ANY
DEVELOPMENT WITH THE CONVECTION TO THE E OF THE LOW
LEVEL CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE AREA FROM 12N-16.5N BETWEEN 64.5W-69W.

A 1007 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N79W IS GENERATING AN
AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION S OF 18N
W OF 77W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA

THIS SURFACE LOW MAY BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE T.D. TWENTY-SEVEN WEAKENS.

Northwest Caribbean:

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO
BRING DRY AIR/STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO HISPANIOLA AND
CUBA...THUS CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL.

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR
12N78W EXTENDS A RIDGE WNW TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
GIVING THE SW CARIBBEAN PLENTY OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
AND UPPER DIFFLUENCE.


Southwest Caribbean & Central America:

BROAD LOW PRES OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN SHOULD DRIFT
INLAND LATER IN THE WEEK.

Central Caribbean:

A STRONG PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE ATLC
AND T.D. 27 WILL KEEP WINDS AT 20-25 KT OVER THE NRN
CARIBBEAN.

Eastern Caribbean:

DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE NE CARIBBEAN THU
PUSHING SW DRYING OUT THE WINDWARD ISLANDS BY THE
WEEKEND.

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#207642 - 11/17/05 02:37 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 17, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Unstable conditions due to a broad low pressure area
developing over Northwest Caribbean and Belize will
support cloudy and showery weather.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies with warm temperatures today tonight.
Winds will be northerly to northeasterly at 10 to 20
kts with higher gusts. Occasional showers and periods
of light rain will develop during the forecast period.
The sea state will be light choppy to moderate.

**MARINE OPERATORS AND OTHER INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION WHEN OPERATING IN OFFSHORE WATERS.**

The outlook is for PARTLY cloudy weather on Friday and
Saturday.


...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1005 MB LOW IS CENTERED IN THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN
ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 12N83W. THIS BROAD
LOW IS SLOWLY DRIFTING WESTWARD WHICH WILL TAKE IT
INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA BEFORE IT CAN DEVELOP INTO
A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...EVEN WITHOUT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AMERICA COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES ESPECIALLY TO NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.

THERE IS STILL A POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IF
THE LOW LEVEL CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE.

Northwest Caribbean:

UPPER HIGH IS IN THE N/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN NEAR 17N75W
WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NW THROUGH THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL/W CUBA TO OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO PRODUCING
GENEROUS OUTFLOW TO THE SURFACE LOW MAINLY TO THE N
AND W.

SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-19N
BETWEEN 80W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 13.5N-20N
BETWEEN 79W-85W.


Southwest Caribbean & Central America:

1005 MB LOW IN THE SW CARIBBEAN.

ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE S
CARIBBEAN PRODUCING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SURFACE LOW.

MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR THE S AND W
CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


Eastern Caribbean:

ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE S
CARIBBEAN PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS S OF 14N TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA E
OF 77W TO OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE NE CARIBBEAN FROM THE
W/CENTRAL ATLC GIVING THE AREA N OF 14N FROM THE S
LEEWARD/N WINDWARD ISLANDS TO HISPANIOLA DRY
AIR/STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND CLEAR CONDITIONS.

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#207643 - 11/18/05 04:18 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 18, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1005 MB LOW IS INLAND OVER HONDURAS NEAR 15N85W
DRIFTING NW WITH A SURFACE EXTENDING NE TO THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS WHERE THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN ARE ALSO MOVING NW. THESE TWO SYSTEMS
COMBINED ARE PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF
LINE FROM THE COAST OF HONDURAS NEAR 16N85.5W TO
18N84W.

CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY INTO SAT. EVEN IF
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...HEAVY
RAINS/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS.

THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THE GULF YESTERDAY IS
BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AND HAS SLOWED SIGNIFICANTLY
DURING THE NIGHT. IT NOW EXTENDS ACROSS S FLORIDA NEAR
25.5N81W TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 21N88W TO OVER
S MEXICO.

THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN UNDER STORMY
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST OF THE WEEK AS THE LOW IN
THE SPECIAL FEATURES IS EXPECT TO REMAIN IN THE AREA
AS A SECOND FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE W
CARIBBEAN.

TODAY’S FORECAST

Unstable conditions due to a broad low pressure area
and dissipating T.D. No.27 over Northwest Caribbean
and Belize will support cloudy and showery weather.
Colder air and gusty surface winds are also due to a
cold front mow over Northern Yucatan.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy/Overcast skies during today tonight. Winds will
be northerly to northeasterly at 10 to 20 kts with
gusts above 25 Kts. Occasional showers and periods of
light rain will develop during the forecast period.
The sea state will be light choppy to moderate and
occasionally rough.

** ”GALE WARNING” - MARINE OPERATORS AND OTHER
INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN OPERATING IN
OFFSHORE WATERS.**

The outlook is for continuing overcast and cool
weather on Saturday.




Northwest & Southwest Caribbean:

SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA
WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE FROM OFF THE COAST OF CUBA NEAR
21N81W INLAND OVER HONDURAS TO NEAR 15N87W.

EVEN IF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...HEAVY
RAINS/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS.

THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON
SUN AS THE LOW IN THE CARIBBEAN MOVES OVER THE GULF OF
HONDURAS AND YET ANOTHER FRONT WILL BEGIN MOVING
ACROSS THE GULF.

MODERATE TRADEWINDS COVER THE CARIBBEAN WITH GUSTY
WINDS IN THE AREA OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.

Central Caribbean:

THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WILL ENJOY CLEARING
SKIES AS THE COLD/STATIONARY FRONT MOVING OUT OF THE
GULF WILL WEAKEN NOT MAKING IT INTO THE AREA.

Eastern Caribbean:

A LARGE UPPER HIGH IS FIRMLY ANCHORED IN THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN NEAR 17N76W COVERING THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
THE W ATLC AS WELL. THIS IS GIVING THE E HALF OF THE
CARIBBEAN DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE E OF 79W.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH OVER THE S CARIBBEAN S
OF 14N FIRING ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS TO 80W.

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#207644 - 11/18/05 09:18 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SFJeff Offline
...get out yer raincoat:

000
WTNT32 KNHC 182033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
3 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN RE-GENERATES...BECOMES TROPICAL
STORM GAMMA...

AT 3 PM CST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. THE
GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 3 PM CST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ALLEN. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 3 PM CST...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...NORTH OF
LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 190 MILES... 300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
BELIZE CITY BELIZE.

GAMMA IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH
... 7 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS...ALTHOUGH SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER
RE-FORMS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM TO
THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPORTED
THAT TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN THE WESTERN
BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER BELIZE...WESTERN CUBA...AND
THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHWESTERN HONDURAS.

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...16.4 N... 85.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM EST.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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#207645 - 11/19/05 01:03 PM Re: CURRENT WEATHER 11/13- 11/19
SP Daily Offline
November 19, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N
86.1W...OR 135 NM ESE OF BELIZE CITY BELIZE...AT
19/0600 UTC (MIDNIBHT LOCAL TIME) MOVING NW 4 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1005 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO
50 KT.

GAMMA IS PRODUCING A TIGHT CLUSTER OF NUMEROUS
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS
FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 84W-87W WHICH AT THE MOMENT IS
ONLY AFFECTING THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS AND
OCCASIONALLY THE OFFSHORE CAYS OF BELIZE AND MEXICO.

GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE N/NE TOWARDS THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL.

TODAY’S FORECAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Overcast skies during today and tonight. Winds will be
northerly to northwesterly at 15 to 20 kts with gusts
above 25 Kts. Occasional showers and periods of light
to moderate rain will develop during the forecast
period. The sea state will rough.

** ”GALE WARNING” - MARINE OPERATORS SHOULD STAY
IN PORT AND MONITOR FURTHER LOCAL WEATHER BULLETINS**

The outlook is for continuing overcast and cool
weather on Sunday.


Northwest & Southwest Caribbean:

A LARGE MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE
CNTRL CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N75W AND ITS CIRCULATION
EXTENDS FROM CNTRL AMERICA EWD PAST THE LESSER
ANTILLES INTO THE ATLC. A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
LIES ON THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH...EXTENDING FROM
PANAMA/COSTA RICA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN THEN NEWD
ACROSS CUBA. T.S. GAMMA LIES BENEATH THIS PLUME AND IS
PRODUCING STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS.


A 90 KT UPPER LEVEL JET EXTENDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF
T.S. GAMMA NEWD ACROSS S/CNTRL FLORIDA THEN TO NEAR
BERMUDA.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR HAVANA CUBA NEWD
ACROSS THE NRN BAHAMAS AND IS PRODUCING ISOLATED
SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE BOUNDARY...INCLUDING
SPREADING OVER THE N/CNTRL BAHAMAS.

Central Caribbean:

A FEW PATCHY SHOWERS ARE LOCATED NEAR THE N COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PASSING BY THE ABC ISLANDS
BUT THIS IS MORE AN EXCEPTION THAN THE RULE.

Eastern Caribbean:

THE MID/UPPER HIGH IS PRODUCING STRONG SUBSIDENCE E OF
80W WITH VERY
QUIET WEATHER IS IN CONTROL FROM JAMAICA EASTWARDD TO
THE LESSER ANTILLES.

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Chaa Creek is an award-winning luxury Belize Resort, rated as one of the worlds best Eco Lodges. We are a pioneer in adventure travel to Belize since 1981!
White Sands Dive Shop - 5 Star PADI Dive Facility - Daily diving, SCUBA instruction and Snorkeling
Caribbean Inspired All Natural Condiments & Spice Blends, Over 100 are Gluten Free!
We manage a variety of homes, apartments, condos and commercial properties here on Ambergris Caye. Our minimum lease on ALL properties is six months.
Conch Shell Inn: All rooms are right on the beach in the heart of San Pedro, so within walking distance to anything and everything!!
Lil’ Alphonse has snorkel equipment to fit anyone as well as Marine Park Tickets and flotation devices to assist those not as experienced.
Coastal Xpress offers a daily scheduled ferry run to most resorts, restaurants and private piers on the island of Anbergris Caye. We also offer  private and charter water taxi service.
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