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#207817 - 06/20/06 01:53 PM Local Forecast 6/20- 6/25
San Pedro Daily Offline
June 20th, 2006 (6 a.m.)

SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center )

TODAY’S WEATHER

Stable Weather conditions over Belize and adjacent waters.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mostly sunny skies today and Fair weather tonight with the small chance of isolated showers during early morning.

The highest temperature will be near 88 degrees F after midday.

Winds will become easterly to Northeasterly between 5 to 15Kts.

The sea state will be slight to light chop. Seas will less than 3 feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for sunny conditions through Wednesday.

Current Weather:

San Pedro Lagoon 0600 hrs
Cloud
2/8 Cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 5 kts
Tide level
0.55 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean :

THE ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE W ATLC EXTENDS SW INTO THE GULF CLIPPING THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 18N W OF 77W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE N OF 17N FROM HAITI TO E CUBA .

TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE E PACIFIC REGION IS GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING NW OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN IS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N80W TO INLAND OVER NICARAGUA NEAR 12N84W.
n :
THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE W TRPICAL ATLC WITH THE AXIS ALONG 13N ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES TO OVER CENTRAL AMERICA .

A THIN LAYER OF AFRICAN DUST CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE ATLC S OF 20N VERY CLOSE TO THE LESSER ANTILLES THUS LIMITING CONVECTION OF THE ITCZ TO S OF 10N.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WELL-DEFINED LOW/MID LEVEL CURVATURE SIGNATURE IS OBSERVED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WAVE IS TO THE W SIDE OF AN UPPER RIDGE ENHANCING THE AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
COVERING THE E CARIBBEAN S OF 19N TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA FROM 60W-71W INCLUDING THE LESSER ANTILLES TO PUERTO RICO .

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 76W S OF 20N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE SIGNATURE CURVATURE REMAINS WEAK AS IT IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DRY AIR. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

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#207818 - 06/22/06 01:55 PM Re: Local Forecast 6/20- 6/25
San Pedro Daily Offline
June 22nd. 2006 (6 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION
by Winston Panton
with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center

TODAY’S WEATHER
A Tropical Wave will produce unstable weather conditions over Belize , Central America and Western Caribbean waters.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today and tonight with widely scattered showers and thundershowers.
The highest temperature will be near 84 degrees F after midday.
Winds will be East to East northeast between 5 to 15Kts.
The sea state will be slight to light chop / but choppy to moderate in locally heavy showers. Seas will be 3 to 5 feet beyond the reef.
The outlook is for cloudy conditions with showers through Friday.

Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0530 hrs
Cloud 7/8 High Cirrus
Wind (direction & speed)East 10 kts.
Tide level 0.55m
Precipitation none

A VIGOROUS WAVE FROM YESTERDAY IS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SHOULD MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SHOWERS/TSTMS UNTIL IT EXITS AREA BY EARLY FRI.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE S OF 17N FROM 80W-89W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA .
STRONG TRADES ON THE ORDER OF 20-25 KT CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE S AND SW CARIBBEAN WATERS WITH MODERATE TRADES OF 10-15 KT OVER THE N CARIBBEAN THIS N/S DELINEATION IN WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

Central & Eastern Caribbean :
A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 12N78W AND COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN . BROAD AREA OF OVERCAST CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN W OF 70W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 79W/80W S OF 20N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WELL-DEFINED LOW/MID LEVEL CURVATURE SIGNATURE IS OBSERVED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT REMAINS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. WAVE IS INTERACTING WITH THE UPPER RIDGE COVERING THE CARIBBEAN WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

THE MAIN FEATURE CONTINUES TO BE A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NEWD TO JUST W OF BERMUDA . CURRENTLY...THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION BUT A WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO FORM AT SOME POINT IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MARINE INTEREST IN AND AROUND THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES.

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#207819 - 06/23/06 02:51 PM Re: Local Forecast 6/20- 6/25
San Pedro Daily Offline
June 23rd. 2006 (6 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION
by Winston Panton (with excerpts from
the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S WEATHER
Tropical Waves are producing unstable weather conditions over Belize, Central America and Western Caribbean waters.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today with widely scattered showers and thundershowers. These will decrease after midday.
The highest temperature will be near 86 degrees F after midday.
Winds will be Easterly at first but will veer to the southeast between 5 to 15Kts.
The sea state will be slight to light chop / but choppy to moderate in locally heavy showers.
Seas will be less than 3 feet beyond the reef.
The outlook is for cloudy conditions with showers through Saturday.

Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs
Cloud Overcast Cumulus
Wind (direction & speed) East northeast 7 kts.
Tide level 0.54
Precipitation none

Western Caribbean:
STRONG TRADES ON THE ORDER OF 20-25 KT CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE S AND SW CARIBBEAN WATERS.
VIGOROUS WAVE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN IS NOW ENTERING CENTRAL AMERICA WHERE IT IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS/TSTMS. THIS FEATURE SHOULD EXIT THE
AREA LATER TODAY.
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW SOUTH OF 24N IS ANTICYCLONIC...WITH THE WESTERN Caribbean Sea UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTER IN NORTHERN NICARAGUA.
A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W. THIS WAVE MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY NUMEROUS STRONG
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN GENERAL FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 80W AND 86W.
THE SECOND AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAS MOVED OFFSHORE MORE AND IS REALLY MORE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF GUATEMALA FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W.

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#207820 - 06/24/06 02:11 PM Re: Local Forecast 6/20- 6/25
San Pedro Daily Offline
June 24th, 2006 (6 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the
Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S WEATHER

Unstable weather conditions are gradually improving over Belize, Central
America and Western Caribbean waters.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24
hrs:

Cloudy to overcast skies will slowly give way to a few sunny breaks and
isolated showers by mid afternoon.

The highest temperature will be near 84 degrees F after midday.

Winds will be Easterly to northeasterly between 5 to 12Kts.

The sea state will be slight to light chop / but choppy to moderate in
locally heavy showers. Seas will be less than 3 feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies with isolated showers through Monday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud
Overcast stratus
Wind (direction & speed)
Variable 4 kts.
Tide level
0.54 m
Precipitation
Moderate showers

Western Caribbean:

THE NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE OVER LAND IN NORTHWESTERN
NICARAGUA AND SOUTHERN HONDURAS SIX HOURS AGO HAVE MOVED SOUTHWARD INTO THE
WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 87W AND 89W.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
GULF OF HONDURAS FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAVE WEAKENED WITH THE WARMING CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES. LINGERING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WEST OF
85W FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS TO 20N.


UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N TO THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL BETWEEN 80W AND 90W.


Central & Eastern Caribbean:

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER INTERIOR COLOMBIA FROM
8N TO 9N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W IN NORTHEASTERN COLOMBIA AND THE LAKE
MARACAIBO AREA OF VENEZUELA...AND FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 73W AND 75W.

ONE TROPICAL WAVE IS CROSSING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 69W.

STEADY TRADES REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH FEW CHANGES
EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 20-25 KT ELY WINDS CURRENTLY LIE
GENERALLY S OF 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W.

WINDS/SEAS MAY BRIEFLY WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND COURTESY OF THE LOW CENTER
NEAR THE BAHAMAS BUT THEN WILL RE-STRENGTHEN MON THROUGH WED.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W/89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. THIS
WAVE IS PASSING THROUGH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...WITH A
HIGH CENTER NEAR 16N86W.

THE NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT WERE OVER LAND IN NORTHWESTERN
NICARAGUA AND SOUTHERN HONDURAS SIX HOURS AGO HAVE MOVED SOUTHWARD INTO THE
WATERS OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 87W AND 89W.
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
GULF OF HONDURAS FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAVE WEAKENED WITH THE WARMING CLOUD
TOP TEMPERATURES. LINGERING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE WEST OF
85W FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS TO 20N.

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS ENTERING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 67W/68W
MOVING WEST 15 KT TO 20 KT. THE NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TO 20N BETWEEN 65W AND 68W HAVE BEEN
WEAKENING. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE FOUND FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 65W
AND 68W. OTHER ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
FOUND FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 63W AND 66W.

NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ARE OCCURRING IN VENEZUELA
FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 64W AND 66W.

Top
#207821 - 06/25/06 02:37 PM Re: Local Forecast 6/20- 6/25
San Pedro Daily Offline
June 25th, 2006 (6 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION
by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the
Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S WEATHER
Cloudy to overcast skies linger over Belize and Western Caribbean waters.
Unstable conditions continue over Central America and the Gulf of Honduras.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24
hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies will slowly give way to a few sunny breaks and
isolated showers by mid afternoon.
The highest temperature will be near 84 degrees F after midday.
Winds will be Easterly to northeasterly between 5 to 12Kts.
The sea state will be sligt to light chop.
Seas will be less than 1 to 2
feet beyond the reef.
The outlook is for partly cloudy skies with isolated showers through Monday.

Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs
Cloud Overcast Cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
West northwest 3 kts.
Tide level 0.50 m
Precipitation None

Western Caribbean:
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS STREAM FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...ACROSS JAMAICA...AND
CURVE TO 14N70W.

UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW CONTINUES FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS TO PANAMA
BETWEEN 76W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EAST OF NICARAGUA BETWEEN 80W AND THE COAST.
THIS PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO THRIVE IN THE AREA OF THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
CENTER AND POSSIBLE UPPER EVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW.

Central & Eastern Caribbean:
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RUNS PUERTO RICO TO 24N68W TO 28N73W. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DIMINISHING IN THE AREA FROM 16N TO 25N BETWEEN 56W
AND 70W DURING THE LAST FOUR TO SIX HOURS.
ELY TRADES ARE CONTINUING AND STRENGTHENING. THE GRADIENT SHOULD BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT AT LEAST 30 KT NEAR THE COLOMBIAN COAST...AND SEAS WILL
BUILD TO 12 FT WITH 9-10 FT SWELLS SPREADING W TOWARDS CENTRAL AMERICA
THROUGH MID-WEEK.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 72W/73W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING THROUGH
CENTRAL HAITI ABOUT 10 KT. NO PRECIPITATION CAN BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE DIRECTLY.

...TROPICAL WEATHER DEVELOPMENT...
A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 27.5N 79.5W EAST OF VERO BEACH AND
FORT PIERCE FLORIDA...FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE EASTERN PART OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO/THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN/THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 19N TO 32N BETWEEN 70W
AND 84

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