We better start watching this puppy:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200794_model.html

Way too soon to worry about it. Don't get spooked.

Amanda, I'm not "worried" about it yet.....just vigilant.....take another look at it this morning.

210
ABNT20 KNHC 291513
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY IS
CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS PRIMARILY
ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD
BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...AND AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS READY TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON
THURSDAY...IF NECESSARY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE

When a storm is 7 days away it is just too hard to make any firm calls regarding its eventual landfall location.

Yes, I fully agree that vigilence is important, however I can also tell you that living on the edge of fear of every storm heading your way can be nerve wracking. The 2004 & 2005 storm years were tough, 2006 was worrisome too.

Don't get me wrong - I am not saying that people shouldn't be prepared, I'm just saying that we can't start sweating bullets everytime there is a tropical wave on the horizon.

The hurricane season runs for 6 months a year - every year - anybody that isn't prepared (as well as you can be) and doesn't have some money socked away in case of evacuation is foolish.

I'm still suffering from PDS (post Dean syndrome)
what is the next one called?

Well Erin has already been and gone while you were watching Dean... so something begining with F?

Names for 2007...
Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy

Thanks Gunnygirl - I was too lazy to dig the list out.