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#273052 - 03/18/08 07:25 PM Belize-US Exchange Rate
PalapaBob Offline
Just looking for opinions from people smarter than me!
Out of curiosity, with the free fall of the US dollar (I know it fluctuates constantly) compared to other world currency does this affect the future equal exchange of the BZ 2 =US 1 staying the same? This came to mind because for the first time I can remember the Canadian dollar is worth more than the US dollar.
I guess my question is, does anyone think Belize will ever go to a floating exchange rate?

Edited by PalapaBob (03/18/08 07:26 PM)
I've already told you more than I know.

#273064 - 03/18/08 08:19 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: PalapaBob]
Ernie B Offline
Not a chance, in the near fiture.
Gun Control is Hitting Your Target.

#273194 - 03/19/08 03:47 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: Ernie B]
If it did it would plummet against even a heavily undervalued dollar. I seem to remember someone calculating once that a true exchange rate should be something like 1 Bz$ = 0.03 US$

#273196 - 03/19/08 03:53 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: ]
SP Daily Offline
So a house that is now US$150,000 would be worth only US$9,000??? Bull S--t!!!

#273197 - 03/19/08 03:54 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: SP Daily]
deadserious Offline
Property transactions are completed in USD, not BZD.
Now back to your regularly scheduled drivel...

#273199 - 03/19/08 03:55 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: deadserious]
SP Daily Offline
Check the math...

#273204 - 03/19/08 04:10 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: SP Daily]
deadserious Offline
No math to check. Regardless of the value of the belize dollar, real estate transactions are in USD so are unaffected whatever the exchange rate. A valuation is set by the amount and currency of tender. Not the other way around.
Now back to your regularly scheduled drivel...

#273206 - 03/19/08 04:17 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: deadserious]
SP Daily Offline
Heh, heh...better hope it never happens...you will get a BIG surprise!!!

#273276 - 03/19/08 09:24 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: SP Daily]
deadserious Offline
ok. Let me try to explain better...

Today, let's say a lot in Belize is going for $100,000 USD. Today that is worth $200,000 BZD. If the value of the BZD drops by 50%, that would move the exchange from 2 to 1 to 3 to 1. If that happens then the same property which was purchased for $100,000 USD would now be worth 300,000 BZD. Because property is traded in USD, the worsening BZD seemingly made the value of the property increase, though it really didn't effect the value either way.

Now let’s take into account the economic impact that of a weaker BZD using the above scenario of a move from 2 to 1 to 3 to 1. A weaker dollar almost always attracts tourism from countries with stronger dollars. Why? …because it is now a dirt cheap place to visit. Canada border towns used to see this effect from the United States and the US is now seeing the effect from Europe. Wouldn’t you like a 50% discount on every hotel, restaurant, airplane ticket and cab ride?

Since Belize’s economy is hugely affected by the tourist dollar, with more tourists comes a stronger economy. That BZD would almost certainly rebound… so what happens to the property value when the BZD gets stronger.

Let's say the BZD rebounds back to its original 2 to 1. Did you lose $100,000 BZD in the value of the property you purchased? You might think so since when you originally spent $100,000 it was equal to $300,000 BZD but that same $100,000 is now only worth $200,000 BZD. However, regardless of the value of the Belize dollar, since property is traded in USD, the value of your property is still $100,000 USD, plus or minus the effect the economy has had on whatever you could sell the property for now. With all the new tourists that have found out about our lovely island, your property would be an easy sell at a hefty profit.

What would be a problem is if when they unlocked the BZD from the USD, they also converted to trading property in BZD. Then I'm with you 100%.

Edited by deadserious (03/19/08 09:29 PM)
Now back to your regularly scheduled drivel...

#273281 - 03/19/08 09:54 PM Re: Belize-US Exchange Rate [Re: deadserious]
Short Offline
Whoever would unlock the BZ$ from the US$ would be committing political suicide in Belize. Originally the BZ$ was equal to the US$ there was a lot of unrest in Belize when it was devalued.

I think also our economy is too small for an independent currency. Another option would be to let go of the Belize Dollar and use the US dollar, like El Salvador.

In discussions a few years back I remember that the real value of the Belize Dollar was estimated between 33 and 10 cents US, thus US$ 1 being between 3-10 Belize. IMO the devaluation of the US Dollar helped to get the Belize Dollar's real value level with the official value.
Live and let live

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