Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: February 23, 2017

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Area wind information

Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, February 23, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

February 23, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
A broad area of low pressure focused on a 1001 mb centered across the central Florida Peninsula near Cape Canaveral is producing near gale to gale force se winds generally N of 27n W of 75w. These gale force conditions are expected to persist off the coast of Florida in the SW north Atlc waters through 25/0600 UTC. See latest NWS High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers miahsfat2/ fznt02 knhc for more details.

...The Caribbean Sea...

Most of the Caribbean remains under the influence of dry and relatively stable west-northwesterly flow aloft. A mid-level low and associated energy remains across the Florida Peninsula and Florida Straits this morning supporting a cold front extending across central Cuba and into the NW Caribbean waters from 22n79w to 19n81w to 18n85w. A pre-frontal surface trough is also analyzed from central Cuba near the cold front to offshore of NE Nicaragua near 14n82w. Isolated showers and possible isolated tstms are noted within 180 nm E of the surface trough while isolated showers are possible N of 17n E of 86w in association with the cold front. Moderate to fresh W-NW winds are occurring in wake of the front which are expected to weaken gradually through Thursday as the front progresses eastward as dissipates across the north-central waters Thursday night into Friday. Farther east...a stationary front remains analyzed across the Leeward Islands to the adjacent southern coastal waters of Puerto Rico with isolated showers occurring N of 16n E of 68w. The remainder of the basin is under mostly fair skies and relatively tranquil conditions as the overall trade wind flow is disrupted with the presence of the frontal systems impacting the Basin. A more normal trade wind synoptic pattern is expected by Saturday night into Sunday.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017

48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.

120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24

Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

No recent posts on Caribbean

CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image

Last edited by Marty; 13 hours ago.