Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: January 20, 2017

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Area wind information

Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, January 20, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

January 20, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
A cold front is over the W Atlantic from 32n59w to 25.5n66w to 28n76w moving east. Gale force winds S to SW winds of 30 to 35 kt are noted N of 27n within 90 nm east of the front. W to NW winds of 25 to 35 kt were noted N of 29n west of the front to 67w. Seas were 8 to 12 ft. Gale force winds are forecast to persist E of front for the next 48 hours. See latest NWS High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers hsfat2/fznt02 knhc for more details.

The Caribbean Sea...

A 1422 UTC ascat scatterometer pass indicated 20-25 kt trade winds over the Caribbean Sea S of 17n between 70w and 80w with stronger winds of 25-30 kt within 90 nm of the coast of Colombia. Moderate to locally fresh winds were noted elsewhere over the basin. Scattered low-topped showers were noted inland over Nicaragua, Honduras, and Guatemala. Otherwise mostly fair conditions prevailed. In the upper levels, an upper level ridge is over the W Caribbean W of 72w with a downstream upper level trough over the E Caribbean. Very strong subsidence dominated the entire Caribbean.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017

48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.

120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24

Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

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In the tropical Atlantic

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CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image

Edited by Marty (Today at 05:50 AM)