Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: February 22, 2017

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Area wind information

Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, February 22, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

February 22, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
A 994 mb area of low pressure across the western north Atlc extends a cold front into the discussion area near 32n51w. The front continues SW to 26n55w to 21n67w. Near gale to gale force SW winds are occurring N of 26n within 180 nm E of the front. The gale force conditions are expected to move N of the area by 23/0600 UTC. See latest NWS High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers miahsfat2/fznt02 knhc for more details.

...The Caribbean Sea...

Overall the Caribbean basin remains under fairly tranquil conditions this morning with the exception of the eastern and far northwestern waters. A cold front lies to the N of Puerto Rico from 23n60w to 22n63w. A surface trough also extends from the cold front near 23n57w to 20n58w to 12n62w and provides focus for isolated showers across the Windward Islands. Mostly northerly winds prevail across the eastern Caribbean and Atlc moisture and cloudiness with embedded isolated showers are occurring N of 13 E of 70w. Across the NW Caribbean...a cold front is analyzed across the eastern Gulf of Mexico to the western region of the Yucatan Channel. Isolated showers and tstms are occurring NW of a line from western Cuba near 22n81w to the Gulf of Honduras near 16n88w. The front will introduce fresh to occasional strong W-NW winds through Wednesday night into early Thursday. Otherwise...dry and stable air aloft on NW flow coupled with gentle to moderate northerly winds are prevailing and expected to persist through Wednesday.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017

48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.

120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24

Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

No recent posts on Caribbean

CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image

Last edited by Marty; Yesterday at 06:13 AM.