Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: January 18, 2017

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Area wind information

Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, January 18, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

January 18, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
A developing area of low pressure is forecast to strengthen offshore of the mid-Atlc coast by Wednesday into Wednesday night. The associated cold front is expected to extend into the SW north Atlc region generating near gale to gale force SW to W winds generally N of 30n between 61w-70w. See latest NWS High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers hsfat2/fznt02 knhc for more details.

The Caribbean Sea...

Overall tranquil conditions persist across the Caribbean basin this morning as water vapor imagery indicates upper level dry air and strong subsidence to the E of a middle to upper level trough over the NE Caribbean with axis extending from 23n60w to a base near 15n67w. Latest scatterometer data depicts generally moderate to fresh trades across the basin with slightly stronger winds occurring within close proximity to the coast of Colombia S of 14n between 73w-77w. Satellite imagery shows isolated trade wind showers across Hispaniola...Puerto Rico...and the US/UK Virgin Islands...while the remainder of the basin remains generally precipitation-free. Similar weather conditions are forecast through Friday as surface ridging remains anchored to the N across the SW north Atlc region.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017

48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.

120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24

Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

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In the tropical Atlantic

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CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image

Edited by Marty (26 minutes 30 seconds ago)