Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: December 10, 2016

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Area wind information


Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, December 10, 2016

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.


Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

December 10, 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
...Gale-force winds are forecast for the Gulf of Mexico...

A strong ridge is across the Gulf of Mexico and inland Mexico where is anchored by a 1032 mb high near 21n98w. The ridge builds behind a cold front that currently extends across The Straits of Florida to northwest Cuba near 22n84w to 22n987w where it stalls and continues to the SW Gulf along 22n91w to a 1018 mb low near 21n92w to 19n92w. A very strong pressure gradient between the ridge and the front is producing a large area of minimal to strong NW gale force winds from 18n to 21n between 94w and 96w. This is generating a large area of high seas 16 to 21 ft. A 1036 mb high pressure center over Arkansas also anchors the ridge, and is forecast to shift eastward during the next 24 hours. As this occurs the front will sink slightly southward, and the pressure gradient will gradually decrease across the NW Gulf. However, gale force NW winds are expected to continue through Saturday evening offshore of Veracruz, Mexico. Please read the High Seas Forecast product under AWIPS/WMO headers miahsfat2/fznt02 knhc for more details.

The Caribbean Sea...

A broad upper ridge prevails over the basin with strong dry air subsidence supporting fair weather over the NW Caribbean. Over the Central Basin, a surface trough supported by a middle level inverted trough extends from 16n73w to 10n72w. This surface trough is under a upper level diffluent environment that supports scattered showers S of Hispaniola between 66w and 75w. In the SW Caribbean, the monsoon trough crossing Costa Rica all the way to N Colombia support scattered heavy showers S of 12n W of 79w. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds are occurring S of 16n between 69w and 80w. The trough will continue west across the basin and enter Central America early sun. Moderate to fresh NE trades prevail across the remainder of the basin, except fresh NE winds in the Yucatan Channel near an approaching cold front. Fresh to occasional strong trades are expected across the south-central Caribbean mainly north of Colombia tonight through late Saturday with trades increasing slightly through the remainder of the weekend as the strong ridge affecting the Gulf of Mexico shifts eastward into the western Atlantic. The cold front will meander across the Yucatan Channel, with associated conditions across the Gulf spreading modestly into NW portions.

Weekly AgroMet Weather Update and Outlook & NOAA Outlook for Central America

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017


48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development



Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note
Accuweather

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.



120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24



Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

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In the tropical Atlantic

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CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image





Edited by Marty (Today at 06:04 AM)