Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: January 22, 2017

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Area wind information

Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, January 22, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

January 22, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
..Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning...

A strong cold front is forecast has entered the northwest Gulf. Winds are expected to increase to 30-40 kt after sunrise today with seas building to 11 ft. By Sunday afternoon, northwest winds of 30-40 kt spread over the northern half of the Gulf with seas building to 16 ft. By late Sunday, the broad fetch of gale-force winds builds seas to 19 ft. For more information, please refer to the latest High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers miahsfat2/fznt02 knhc.

...Atlantic Gale Warning...

The same cold front noted above will sweep eastward into the southwest Atlantic with southwest winds increasing to 30-35 kt north of 31n west of 77w by this evening and seas building to 13 ft. These conditions will prevail through the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers miahsfat2/fznt02 knhc for more details.

The Caribbean Sea...

A 1016 mb surface high is centered to the north of Hispaniola and extends across the basin. To the east, the tail end of a dissipating stationary front extends over the Virgin Islands and southeast Puerto Rico with isolated showers. Scatterometer data depicts gentle to moderate trades across the basin except west of 80w, where moderate to fresh southerly winds prevail. Expect during the next 24 hours for the pressure gradient to increase across the west Caribbean as a cold front approaches. Little change is expected elsewhere.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017

48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.

120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24

Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

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In the tropical Atlantic

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CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image

Edited by Marty (Today at 06:09 AM)