Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Page 1 of 2 1 2
#416942 - 09/23/11 02:33 PM Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight?  
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,731
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
NASA‘s Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) is headed towards Earth. But don’t fear, it’s still unlikely anyone will be hit.
The space agency now says the U.S. is back as a possible “landing site” for the satellite. As it gets closer to impact, NASA now says the 6.5-ton behemoth will fall to earth sometime Friday or Saturday ET.
“The satellite orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent,” NASA says, explaining why the space agency’s prediction the satellite would fall to Earth Wednesday has been revised, and why the U.S. is now back in the running as a possible, albeit unlikely target.
The agency still can’t pinpoint exactly when the spacecraft will reenter the atmosphere, writing on its website, “It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 12 to 18 hours.”
Should we be afraid? In a word, no. Even though NASA says about a half a ton’s worth of spacecraft pieces — that’s about 26 hunks of space junk — will fall to earth, it says most (if not all) of the debris will probably land in an ocean. If you want to know the odds of your own survival, Orbital Debris and Meteoroid Consultant Don Kessler calculated the chances of any one person being hit by any of that debris is less than one in 10 trillion.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5laK2JopaVE&feature=share


The Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
#416945 - 09/23/11 02:51 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: elbert]  
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,731
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
Update #10
Fri, 23 Sep 2011 08:45:08 AM GMT-0600

As of 10:30 a.m. EDT on Sept. 23, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 100 miles by 105 miles (160 km by 170 km). Re-entry is expected late Friday, Sept. 23, or early Saturday, Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time. Solar activity is no longer the major factor in the satellite’s rate of descent. The satellite’s orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent. There is a low probability any debris that survives re-entry will land in the United States, but the possibility cannot be discounted because of this changing rate of descent. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 12 to 18 hours.


The Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
#416948 - 09/23/11 03:46 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: elbert]  
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 5,588
Diane Campbell Offline
.
Diane Campbell  Offline
Funny, I wrote a novel about 15 years ago.
The story was about a piece of US space junk hurtling to earth (on a Friday). The heroes who solved the problem and the idiots who caused it are pretty colorful. I might just dust off the manuscript and share it.

The fact that the officials keep talking about how it won't land on the US (but who the heck cares about anyplace else) is pretty nauseating.

#416949 - 09/23/11 04:13 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: elbert]  
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 2,941
champion Offline
.
champion  Offline
It would be quite ironic for it to land onto the Kennedy space center.


Reality is only an illusion that occurs due to a lack of alcohol
#416958 - 09/23/11 05:20 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: champion]  
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 8,868
SP Daily Offline
.
SP Daily  Offline
Or the White House lawn....

#416960 - 09/23/11 05:25 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: SP Daily]  
Joined: Sep 2002
Posts: 10,850
Ernie B Offline
.
Ernie B  Offline
mad


Gun Control is Hitting Your Target.
#416961 - 09/23/11 05:27 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: Diane Campbell]  
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,731
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
[quote=Diane Campbell]Funny, I wrote a novel about 15 years ago. The story was about a piece of US space junk hurtling to earth (on a Friday). The heroes who solved the problem and the idiots who caused it are pretty colorful. I might just dust off the manuscript and share it. The fact that the officials keep talking about how it won't land on the US (but who the heck cares about anyplace else) is pretty nauseating. [/quote] I think that has changed and it is expected to land in the US and tonight!


The Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
#416963 - 09/23/11 05:49 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: elbert]  
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 5,588
Diane Campbell Offline
.
Diane Campbell  Offline
and it's the size of a bus?!

I hope the insurance policies in the US read as well as those from RF&G in Belize ..... we're insured for impact from aircraft - I hope they are!

Is this anything like --- the ice caps won't melt and Lehman Brothers is too big to fail?

******

Here is a part of the news article on the impact:

Because water covers 70% of the Earth's surface, NASA has said that most if not all of the surviving debris will land in water. Even if pieces strike dry land, there's very little risk any of it will hit people.

However, in an abundance of caution, the Federal Aviation Administration on Thursday released an advisory warning pilots about the falling satellite, calling it a potential hazard.

"It is critical that all pilots/flight crew members report any observed falling space debris to the appropriate (air traffic control) facility and include position, altitude, time and direction of debris observed," the FAA statement said.

The FAA said warnings of this sort typically are sent out to pilots concerning specific hazards they may encounter during flights such as air shows, rocket launches, kites and inoperable radio navigational aids.

NASA says space debris the size of the satellite's components re-enters the atmosphere about once year. Harvard University astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell noted that the satellite is far from being the biggest space junk to come back.

"This is nothing like the old Skylab scare of the '70s, when you had a 70-ton space station crashing out of the sky. So, I agree with the folks in Houston. It's nothing to be worried about," McDowell said.

Pieces of Skylab came down in western Australia in 1979.

The only wild card McDowell sees is if somehow a chunk hits a populated area.

"If the thing happens to come down in a city, that would be bad. The chances of it causing extensive damage or injuring someone are much higher."

NASA said that once the debris hits the atmosphere 50 miles up, it will take only a matter of minutes before the surviving pieces hit the Earth.

Last edited by Diane Campbell; 09/23/11 05:56 PM. Reason: added some items
#416976 - 09/23/11 07:47 PM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: elbert]  
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 273
Cayemen Offline
.
Cayemen  Offline
You can get the live position of the UARS here.
It just flew over Belize about one hour ago

http://www.n2yo.com/?s=21701


If it get below 60km, it will shine like a star ;-)
The next pass over Belize will be around 4:24 am tomorrow morning.
With decay of the orbit it could slow down the speed a little bit because the denser atmosphere. But it could we worth to watch it...

#416990 - 09/24/11 06:41 AM Re: Chicken Little and the UARS Tonight? [Re: elbert]  
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,731
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
By NED POTTER (@NedPotterABC) , GINA SUNSERI and KEVIN DOLAK
Sept. 24, 2011
The abandoned 6-ton Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) satellite entered the earth's atmosphere early this morning but where it crashed remains unknown according to NASA.

In an update posted on NASA's website, the "decommissioned Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite fell back to Earth between 11:23 p.m. EDT Friday, Sept. 23 and 1:09 a.m. EDT Sept. 24."

Officials said it entered the atmosphere somewhere over the Pacific Ocean but the "precise re-entry time and location are not yet known with certainty."


The Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/
Page 1 of 2 1 2

Links
Portofino Resort- Now with a new BEACH BAR!!

Click for excellent scuba lessons with Elbert Greer!


Things to do

News
Daily News
Daily Weather

Classified Ads
BelizeNews.com
San Pedro Sun
Ambergris Today
SP Town Council
Channel 7
Channel 5
Amandala
Love FM
The Reporter
Caye Caulker
Chronicles

PLUS TV
TV Newscasts
Radio Stations

Click for our
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites

Event Guides
Event Calendar
Specials & Events
Things to Do
SanPedroScoop
iTravel Belize
Paradise Theater

Blogs
San Pedro Scoop!
Tia Chocolate
Tacogirl
My Beautiful Belize
I-Travel Belize
Belize Adventure
Belize Hub
Romantic Travel
Bound for Belize
Conch Creative
As The Coconuts Drop
More Blogs...
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites
Chaa Creek is an award-winning luxury Belize Resort, rated as one of the worlds best Eco Lodges. We are a pioneer in adventure travel to Belize since 1981!
White Sands Dive Shop - 5 Star PADI Dive Facility - Daily diving, SCUBA instruction and Snorkeling
Caribbean Inspired All Natural Condiments & Spice Blends, Over 100 are Gluten Free!
We manage a variety of homes, apartments, condos and commercial properties here on Ambergris Caye. Our minimum lease on ALL properties is six months.
Conch Shell Inn: All rooms are right on the beach in the heart of San Pedro, so within walking distance to anything and everything!!
Lil� Alphonse has snorkel equipment to fit anyone as well as Marine Park Tickets and flotation devices to assist those not as experienced.
Coastal Xpress offers a daily scheduled ferry run to most resorts, restaurants and private piers on the island of Anbergris Caye. We also offer  private and charter water taxi service.
February
S M T W T F S
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28
Cayo Espanto
Click for Cayo Espanto, and have your own private island
More Links
Click for exciting and adventurous tours of Belize with Katie Valk!
Mini Chat
Who's Online Now
2 registered members (Loansum-Al K, 1 invisible), 64 guests, and 6 spiders.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Forum Statistics
Forums44
Topics64,657
Posts464,063
Members18,750
Most Online1,262
Jun 10th, 2007



AmbergrisCaye.com CayeCaulker.org HELP! Visitor Center Goods & Services San Pedro Town
BelizeSearch.com Message Board Lodging Diving Fishing Things to Do History
BelizeNews.com Maps Phonebook Belize Business Directory
BelizeCards.com Picture of the Day

The opinions and views expressed on this board are the subjective opinions of Ambergris Caye Message Board members
and not of the Ambergris Caye Message Board its affiliates, or its employees.

Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.6.0