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#466858 - 06/19/13 11:08 AM Today's Belize Weather: June 19, 2013
Marty Offline

Belize Weather Forecast: June 19, 2013

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Moist and unstable conditions continue across the country.
Advisories: **Small craft warning for coast of Belize**
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy with some showers or thunderstorms over most areas.
Winds: East at 15-25 knots with higher gusts near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
Marine Forecast: Today: Winds: East 15-25 kts with higher gusts near showers and thunderstorms.; seas: Rough.; waves: 5-8 ft.; some showers or thunderstorms. Outlook: (Thursday night): East 10-20 kts with higher gusts near showers and thunderstorms.; seas:Rough; waves:4-7ft.; some showers or thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 83
Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for mostly cloudy skies with a few showers or thunderstorms affecting most areas of the country.

Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am the center of Tropical Depression#2 was near 19.3°N and 93.3°W or about 105 miles northeast of Coatzacoalcos, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were near 35 mph and the depression was moving to the west-northwest at 9 mph.
Click for our complete daily Tropical Weather Information

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
June 17-24, 2013

SYNOPSIS for 6:00am Tuesday, June 18, 2013 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA THIS MORNING. AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...3:00 AM BELIZE THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE HEAVY RAINS OVER BELIZE, NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO TODAY, WITH DAILY ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES, WITH MAXIMUM IN THE HILLY TERRAIN OF NEAR 10 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL WEATHER SCENARIO: AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DRIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS, A BROAD BUT WEAK LOW PRESSURE PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA, CONDUCEIVE TO MORE SHOWERY WEATHER OVER THE REGION. A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN THIS WEEK, REACHING THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA BY THURSDAY EVINING AND EARLY FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK: THE GFS FORECAST MODEL (24-120-HR) RESOLVE PERSISTENT RAINFALL OVER NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND BELIZE DURING THIS WORKING WEEK AND THROUGH THE UP-COMING WEEKEND. THE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH RETREATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS, BUT DAILY ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-3INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE HILLY AND NORTHERN AREAS OF THE BELIZE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, TAPERING OFF ON THHURSDAY. SHOWERS WILL THEN BE CONCENTRATED OVER SOUTHERN DISTRICTS AND ALONG THE COAST AND CAYES ON THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, AS INSTABILITY PERSIST OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN REGION IN THE FORM OF A LOW LEVEL WIND MAXIMUM AND A TRAIN OF VORTICITY MAXIMUM EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN TO SOUTHERN MEXICO. ALSO, A RETROGRESSING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BY SATURDAY SUPPORTING MORE SHOWERY WEATHER.

DAILY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 0.25-0.75 OF-AN-INCH ARE PROJECTED OVER MOST DISTRICTS DURING THE REST OF THIS WEEK THROUGH MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RATES OF 1.25 – 3.00 INCHES OVER AREAS OF THE COAST AND NORTHERN REGIONS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE RAINS WILL THEN SHIFT TO AREAS OF THE TOLEDO AND STANN CREEK DISTRICTS, AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS LATER ON THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH DAILY TOTALS OF 0.50-1.50 INCH AND LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE HILLY TERRAIN. SOIL MOISTURE IS ALREADY AT FIELD CAPACITY, SO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PROVOKE MORE LOCALIZED FLOODING THIS WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.

RFrutos
Meteorologist/Hydrologist
June 18, 2013

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Wind & weather forecast for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro: Great information for sailors...
Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 28° C
83° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 30° C
86° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 25° C
77° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High - 5:45 AM Low - 1:07 PM
High - 7:13 PM Low - 12:14 AM (THURS.)
Sunrise - 5:19 AM Moonrise - 2:42 PM
Sunset - 6:29 PM Moonset - 2:27 AM (THURS.)

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data


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#466876 - 06/19/13 01:13 PM Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 19, 2013 [Re: Marty]
elbert Offline

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have dark sky and heavy rain. Advisories: **Small craft warning for coast of Belize**
_________________________
The Dive Shops Daily Blog
http://scubalessonsbelize.blogspot.com/

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#466878 - 06/19/13 01:20 PM Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 19, 2013 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline

Meteorology Dept. says more rains for coming days

NEMO keeps close contact with the Meteorology Department that is stationed at the Philip Goldson International Airport. An hour after the NEMO advisory, the MET Office indicated that at three p.m., tropical depression number two was located near latitude eighteen point three-eight north and longitude ninety-one point nine west; that is essentially at the Bay of Campeche near the Gulf of Mexico. Chief MET Officer, Dennis Gonguez, told News Five’s Jose Sanchez that there will be more rains during the next two days and we should all keep our eyes on the next system on the horizon.

Dennis Gonguez, Chief Meteorologist

“That’s just about entering the Bay of Campeche. It is moving towards the west-north-west at ten miles per hour and it has maximum sustained winds of thirty miles per hour.”

Jose Sanchez

“When it comes to the rains, is it almost fully gone? How much more weather should we be seeing?”

Dennis Gonguez

“Well the system, although it will be in the Bay of Campeche, will still be supporting some unstable conditions over our area. So we can still see some two to three inches spread out over the couple of days. So we could see two to three inches spread out between Wednesday and Thursday.”

Jose Sanchez

“In terms of the severity of it as a tropical depression, what’s your synopsis?”

Dennis Gonguez

“Well the major threat from it was the rainfall. We got as high as thirteen point five inches of rainfall in Pomona from Sunday, Monday and today; we had thirteen point inches of rainfall at Pomona. At Melinda in the Stann Creek District, we also had nine point five inches of rainfall. So we had significant amounts of rainfall associated with this system and that is typically with a tropical depression. The threat might not be from the winds, but we have the threat of heavy rainfall, intense rainfall associated with tropical depressions.”

Jose Sanchez

“Are you aware of any flashfloods or any runoffs throughout the country?”

Dennis Gonguez

“Well I have received some information from the hydrology unit here. They’re saying that the North Stann Creek River is at flood stage, I believe it is flooding by now. The Mullins River is also at flood stage. The Sittee River at Kendall is also rising and rivers in the south such as the South Stann Creek, the Deep River and most of the others for the south are above normal and are rising.”

Jose Sanchez

“Should we expect those levels to continue to rise over the next couple days or should it…how long before it actually levels out?”

Dennis Gonguez

“Another two to three inches spread out over the next two days or so, then we can expect those rivers to continue to gradually rise.”

Jose Sanchez

“In terms of safety, is there any particular community that should be on the lookout for this floodwater?”

Dennis Gonguez

“I don’t know of any in particular, but those in low-lying and you know that you are prone to floods annually, then you should be on the lookout for rising waters.”

Jose Sanchez

“As a part of NEMO, have you discussed any particular issue, since we are not getting a full communication from NEMO?”

Dennis Gonguez

“Well NEMO has been sharing its bulletins with us. We do the input of the meteorological side and they have been sharing bulletins with us.”

Jose Sanchez

“And as you have said before, it is going to be a very active season and it started that way.”

Dennis Gonguez

“Right. We’re only into the second, approaching the third week of June and we’ve already had two tropical depressions and one became Tropical Storm Andrea. So it seems that this system will be a bit active.”

Jose Sanchez

“Nothing currently on the proverbial horizon?”

Dennis Gonguez

“Well there is another active tropical wave entering the eastern Caribbean and that looks again for the weekend. So we have to keep our eyes open as the weekend approaches.”

The MET Office is open seven days a week.  In addition to radio updates and advisories issued on its website, there is a hotline with a recorded forecast that anyone can dial and get a weather update. That number is 225-2480.

Channel 5


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