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#508347 - 10/18/15 06:07 AM Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015
Marty Offline

Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015

General Situation:
Belize NMS: We're in the middle of it again this morning.... Moist and unstable conditions will continue for the next few days. Area of low pressure over southeastern Mexico maintains moist and unstable conditions over our area.
Advisories: **Small craft caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms**
24-hour forecast: Cloudy to overcast with some showers and periods of light rain along with a few thunderstorms, eppecially over central and northern portions of the country.
Winds: East 10-20 knots, becoming gusty near showers and thunderstorms.
Marine Forecast:
Today: Winds: East 10-20 kts.; seas: Moderate.; waves: 4-6 ft.; some showers, a few periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms central and northern areas.
Tomorrow: Winds: East 10-20 kts.; seas: Moderate.; waves: 4-6 ft.; some showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain most areas.
Marine Outlook: Monday night:- Winds: East 10-20 kts.; seas: Moderate,; waves: 4-6 ft.; some showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain most areas.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 85
General Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for continuing cloudy with some showers, isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain over most areas.

Tropical Weather Outlook: An area of low pressure located inland over northern Guatemala is producing widespread cloudiness, showers and a few thunderstorms over portions of the northwest Caribbean Sea, Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula. Significant development is not expected tonight while the low moves slowly west-northwestward. However, some development is possible on Sunday or Monday if the low emerges into the southern Bay of Campeche.

Click for our daily Tropical Weather Report

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro
Wind & weather forecast for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro: Great information for sailors...
Caribbean winds site: An animated map of Caribbean wind and weather. Click for a green circle or position, showing the exact location longitude and latitude, temp and wind speed.
Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 28° C
82° F
25° C
77° F
Inland 30° C
86° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 24° C
75° F
21° C
70° F
Low - 7:32 AM High - 1:41 PM
Low - 6:28 PM High - 1:14 AM (MON.)
Sunrise - 5:47 AM Moonrise - 10:24 AM
Sunset - 5:29 PM Moonset - 10:00 PM

CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data

#508349 - 10/18/15 06:15 AM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline

Tropical Threat Heightens Risk for Flooding and Mudslides in Mexico, Central America

A tropical wave currently over Central America will move westward into the eastern Pacific Ocean this weekend.

The combination of moving over warm ocean waters and farther from land will allow for slow development into a tropical low with a high likelihood of eventual organization into a named tropical system to the south of Mexico early next week.

In the meantime, showers and thunderstorms will be widespread from western Nicaragua through western Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala and Belize this weekend.

While not all areas will experience heavy rainfall, the entire region is at risk for rainfall rates 25 mm (1 inch) or greater per hour at times resulting in an elevated risk for flash flooding.

Areas that experience the heaviest rainfall could see totals exceeding 100 mm (4 inches) by Monday. This amount of rainfall will also increase the threat for mudslides in addition to flash flooding.

Locations such as Guatemala City, Belize City and San Salvador are at risk for these dangerous conditions.

By Monday, tropical development is possible to the south of Mexico; however, regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over a large area from southeast Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula into Guatemala, Belize, El Salvador and Honduras.

A westward track of this potential tropical system will allow rainfall to diminish from El Salvador and Honduras into Nicaragua early next week.

Meanwhile, the heaviest rains will be found from Guatemala westward into the Mexico states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Tabasco and Veracruz.

Central America Weather Center
Detailed Forecast for Guatemala City
AccuWeather East Pacific Hurricane Center

An eventual landfall or at the very least a surge of tropical moisture into south-central and central Mexico is expected during the middle of next week which will continue the threat for flash flooding and mudslides. Acapulco and Mexico City appear to be in line for these potentially life-threatening impacts.

As this moisture and potential tropical system are pulled northward, the unsettled weather could help fuel the development of a tropical system in the western Gulf of Mexico and will also bring the threat for heavy rainfall and flooding to parts of Texas and the Gulf Coast.


#508354 - 10/18/15 07:18 AM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline

From Diane....

Currently gusty winds, but not raining. Tides lower, seas choppy but no breakers inside reef.

Beaches in my area are mostly messy and not passable.

Skies looked briefly more clear at dawn today, but are completely socked in again.

Mata Grande inner road is under 2 feet of water.

Am told a big gumbo limbo tree along inner road in Tres Cocos fell down across the road yesterday. Super-saturated ground is so soft that roots of some trees and plants are not holding. I had to tie up some of my bigger ornamental plants to keep them from toppling over.

One person reported that about 25 boats sank overnight Fri-Sat in San Pedro.

Caye Villas beach

My back yard ...

#508355 - 10/18/15 07:36 AM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline
From Diane....

Just had a employee arrive from town by truck.

He was able to take new road all the way. He said it wasn't too hard getting through the Journey's End junction but he would not suggest trying it by cart.

He came into Mata Grande by new back road, took turn onto lane ( heading east) beside Sundiver's back property, and then to inner road where he parked, and waded the rest of the way to my house.

#508356 - 10/18/15 07:47 AM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015 [Re: Marty]
elbert Offline

On Ambergris Caye this morning we're still experiencing flooding. It's raining and more rain coming. The wind isn't as strong as yesterday and the sea is calming. Our expected high is 83 and the wind at the moment is from the East at 16 mph.
The Dive Shops Daily Blog

#508357 - 10/18/15 09:23 AM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline

From Belmopan...

Still rain in the north, but that is slowly moving away. This general Low pressure is just hanging around, there is actually very little air movement at any level in any direction at present. That latest swell-up in the north has resulted in some thunder.

I expect continuing overcast conditions most of the day, some cloud thinning, possibly the odd peak of sun, but the rain up north taking some hours before it clears away.

Temperatures in Belmopan:
Today is probably going to be Similar, to yesterday : Sat, max 27C 80F Last night min 24C 75F ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )

#508362 - 10/18/15 04:58 PM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 18, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline
End of day ..... Thunder and rain on the horizon .... from Diane...


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