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#509068 - 11/12/15 11:13 AM Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2015
Marty Offline

Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2015


General Situation:
Belize NMS: Moist and unstable conditions will support showery weather over the next few days. Rainy weather will continue through the first part of the weekend.
Advisories: There is a moderate chance of localized flooding over south during the next couple of days.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy today with some showers or periods of light rain over most areas along with a few thunderstorms. Showers will become more frequent along the coast tonight. Showers spreading to most areas tomorrow morning.
Winds: East - northeast 10-20 knots, becoming gusty near heavy showers.
Marine Forecast:
Today: Winds: E-NE 10-20 kts; seas: Choppy; waves: 3-4 ft; some showers or periods of light rain along with a few thunderstorms.
Tomorrow: Winds: NE 5-15 kts; seas: Choppy; waves: 3-5 ft; some showers and periods of light rain along with a few thunderstorms.
Marine Outlook: (Friday night) winds: NE 5-15 kts; seas: Choppy; waves: 3-5 ft; some showers and periods of light rain along with a few thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 85
General Outlook: (Fri & Fri night) Cloudy to overcast with some showers, thunderstorms or periods of light rain over most areas, but especially over the south along the coast.

Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Storm Kate became extra-tropical about 430 miles SSE of Cape Race Newfoundland. Kate was moving to the ENE at 26 mph with maximum sustained winds of 70 mph.

Click for our daily Tropical Weather Report

Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro
Wind & weather forecast for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro: Great information for sailors...
Caribbean winds site: An animated map of Caribbean wind and weather. Click for a green circle or position, showing the exact location longitude and latitude, temp and wind speed.
Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
21° C
69° F
TIDES:
High - 10:39 AM Low - 4:01 PM
High - 10:09 PM Low - 5:08 APM (FRI)
Sunrise - 5:56 AM Moonrise - 6:38 AM
Sunset - 5:17 PM Moonset - 6:18 PM

CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data


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#509074 - 11/12/15 12:32 PM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2015 [Re: Marty]
elbert Offline

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a heavy overcast sky with a cool wind from the NE at 14 kts. The sea is a little choppy and the expected high is 85.
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#509075 - 11/12/15 01:11 PM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline

From Belmopan...

So this wet weather continues. It is being caused by a large area of the normal Tropical Monsoon belt, which is typically south of us, sending cloud out our way from time to time, has now moved or bubbled up over the west Caribbean and clashing with the Caribbean winds to cause pockets and lines of rain, which are then brought over Belize. There is almost no rain over Belize right now, but Belmopan got 26mm ( 1") last night.

I expect rain showers to occur in any part of Belize at almost any time, hopefully less than yesterday.


Temperatures in Belmopan:
Today is probably going to be Similar, to yesterday : Wed, max 30C 87F Last night min 23C 74F ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )


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#509081 - 11/12/15 07:05 PM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Diane Campbell Offline
Local notice, caution for low lying communities on the island ....

"This is a message received from the National Emergency Coordinator "The Met service is predicting approximately 5 inches
of rain as of today, Thursday, 12 November through to Friday, 13 November 2015 which is likely to cause flooding for
Orange Walk, Stann Creek, and parts of Belize District. As a precautionary measure we are to notify people living in high
risk areas in our community and encourage them to move higher to safer places or seek safety in shelter before nightfall
or as the case may be".

This is not message to cause any alarm. It is just for everyone to be safe especially those living along side the lagoon in
bungalow homes."

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#509083 - 11/13/15 12:27 AM Re: Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2015 [Re: Marty]
Marty Offline

From Belmopan...

And so these bands or pockets of rain, some heavy, continue in any part of Belize.

Those two ITCZ swell-ups, one to the east of Nicaragua keeps swelling up and dying down, and the other, above that one, in the Caribbean to the east of Belize, also swells up and dies down, but neither are showing signs of finishing any time soon. The eatery Caribbean winds, then bring the resultant rain in over Belize in bands and patches of rain, some heavy. This is probably going to continue throughout the night and into Friday morning.


This is pretty much what the Met. people say.

I prefer to describe it as a Bubble of upper Tropical wet air, that is presently coming up from the Pacific between Panama and Guatamala, from a more or less southerly direction, which is then spreading out into the Gulf of Mexico, but mainly curving round below Cuba and going into the central Caribbean. . . . . When it crosses over the regular easterly Caribbean air, it is often clashing with that Caribbean air, resulting in bands of patchy areas of rain, some very heavy.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN IS PRODUCING A BROAD AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OVER THIS PORTION OF THE BASIN. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA COMBINED WITH THE UPPER DIFFLUENCE IN THE PRESENCE OF VERY HIGH MOISTURE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 09N TO 19N BETWEEN 77W

( Those two Orange Circles )

AND 86W. GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN BASIN THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE WILL INTERACT WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WHICH SHOULD ACT TO FURTHER ENHANCE CONVECTION.


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