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February 26, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
Weather conditions will allow some cloudiness and few showers to develop over Belize and the Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
It will be mostly sunny today and cloudiness will develop tonight and tomorrow morning along with isolated showers. Temperature will reach high 80 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the Southeast then shift to the Northeast tonight and tomorrow.. The sea state will be choppy.
The outlook is for continuing cloudy weather conditions through Tuesday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0830 hrs Cloud 1/8 Cumulus Wind (direction & speed) East 5 Kts. Air Temperature 78 F /26 C Humidity 82% Tide level 0.53 m Precipitation None Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS WITH A GALE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND W PANAMA CONTINUE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...CHANGE IS IN STORE AS THE TRADES BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHOULD BE BELOW GALE FORCE LATER TODAY.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY AIR CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN WITH PATCHY LOW CLOUDS DOTTING THE AREA.
DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN THE CARIBBEAN MON WHEN THE COLD FRONT IN THE GULF CONTINUES TO MOVE S GIVING THE W CARIBBEAN THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN SOME TIME.
Central & Eastern Caribbean: UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS INTO HE W ATLC ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA GIVING MOST OF THE AREA EASTERLY UPPER FLOW.
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February 27, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
A slow moving cold front is producing overcast skies and light intermittent rain over Belize and the Northwest Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
It will cloudy to overcast today and tonight along with intermittent light rain and isolated showers. Temperature will reach high 70 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the North to... The sea state will be choppy.
The outlook is for continuing cloudy weather conditions through Tuesday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs Cloud 8/8 Nimbus-stratus Wind (direction & speed) North 8 Kts. Air Temperature 69 F /20 C Humidity 94% Tide level 0.47 m Precipitation Intermittent Light Rain Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
IN THE FAR NW WHERE THE COLD FRONT ENTERS FROM THE W ATLC NEAR 22N78W TO INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 18N89W.
BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS EXTEND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE FRONT.
THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT SW AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OTHERWISE...CLEAR SKIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
Central & Eastern Caribbean: MODERATE/STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL REMAIN FOR MOST THE WEEK. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY AIR CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN.
BROAD UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS FROM SOUTH AMERICA ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS INTO THE W/CENTRAL ATLC GIVING THE CARIBBEAN SE UPPER FLOW.
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February 28, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
A dissipating cold front is producing cloudy skies over Belize and the Northwest Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
It will cloudy with sunny breaks today and partly cloudy with isolated showers tonight and tomorrow mornong. Temperature will reach low 80 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the Northeast to East. The sea state will be light chop with 5 to 8 foot seas beyond the reef.
The outlook is for continuing partly sunny weather conditions through Thursday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs Cloud 7/8 Nimbus-stratus Wind (direction & speed) East 4 Kts. Air Temperature 74 F /23 C Humidity 84% Tide level 0.49 m Precipitation Showers Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
IN THE FAR NW A REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS EXTENDING THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO HONDURAS.
PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE NW OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE FRONT HAS BEGUN TO DISSIPATE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
WINDS ARE GRADUALLY DROPPING BELOW 20 KT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.
Central & Eastern Caribbean: A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IS E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES GIVING THE CARIBBEAN EASTERLY UPPER FLOW.
MODERATE/STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL REMAIN FOR MOST THE WEEK. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN.
IN TERMS OF SEAS...NLY SWELLS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS ARE AFFECTING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY REACHING THE MONA AND ANEGADA PASSAGES LATE TUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SWELLS SHOULD SUBSIDE BY LATE WED INTO THURSDAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN.
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March 1, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
Stable weather conditions now prevail over Belize and the Northwest Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Mostly sunny skies with cloudy spells today and clear tonight and tomorrow morning. Temperature will reach high 80 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the East to Southeast. The sea state will be light chop to choppy with 3 to 5 foot seas beyond the reef.
The outlook is for continuing clear skies through Friday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs Cloud 1/8 Cumulus Wind (direction & speed) Southeast 4 Kts. Air Temperature 76 F /25 C Humidity 74% Tide level 0.52 m Precipitation none Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 26N88W THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE W CARIBBEAN.
BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM 18N83W THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 22N86W.
Central & Eastern Caribbean: BROAD UPPER RIDGE COVERS THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC S OF 25N GIVING THE CARIBBEAN WESTERLY UPPER FLOW.
MODERATE/STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ARE ACROSS THE AREA AND WILL REMAIN FOR MOST THE WEEK. STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY AIR CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN.
NLY SWELLS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC PASSAGES INCLUDING THE MONA AND ANEGADA PASSAGES. SWELLS SHOULD SUBSIDE BY THU OVER CARIBBEAN.
THE TRADES WILL WEAKEN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WHEN THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE W ATLC FINALLY RETREATS EASTWARD.
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March 2, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
Stable weather conditions now prevail over Belize and the Northwest Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Mostly sunny skies with cloudy spells today and clear tonight and tomorrow morning. Temperature will reach high 80 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the East to Southeast. The sea state will be light chop to choppy with 3 to 5 foot seas beyond the reef.
The outlook is for continuing clear skies through Friday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0600 hrs Cloud 1/8 Cumulus Wind (direction & speed) Southeast 4 Kts. Air Temperature 77 F /25 C Humidity 78% Tide level 0.52 m Precipitation none Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE EAST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MIDDLE LEVEL LOW CENTER.
EASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KTS ARE OCCURRING EAST OF 70W. CURRENT WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA SHOW SIMILAR CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION ARE CURVING THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NORTH OF 15N70W 14N76W 10N78W...AND FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 85W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA.
Central & Eastern Caribbean: A BROAD TROUGH IN THE SURFACE ISOBARIC PATTERN EXTENDS NORTHWEST FROM A 1006 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N73W TO 15N75W.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR COVERS THE ENTIRE AREA.
ACTUAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SOUTH OF 17N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W HAVE BEEN REPORTING EASTERLY WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 KT. 01/1200 UTC QUIKSCAT OBSERVATIONS SHOWED 25 TO 30 KT OF WIND SOUTH OF 13N BETWEEN 75W AND 78W.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES FROM NORTH CENTRAL VENEZUELA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTHEASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. EXPECT A SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PATCHES OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE SEEN NOW NORTH OF 14N AND EAST OF 70W...MOST NOTABLY BETWEEN 64W AND 69W.
THE TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING PATCHES OF MOISTURE WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
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March 3, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
Stable weather conditions now prevail over Belize and the Northwest Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Mostly sunny skies today and clear tonight and tomorrow morning. Temperature will reach high 80 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the East to Southeast. The sea state will be light chop to choppy with 3 to 5 foot seas beyond the reef.
The outlook is for continuing clear skies through Saturday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs Cloud 1/8 Cumulus Wind (direction & speed) Southeast 4 Kts. Air Temperature 80 F /26 C Humidity 72% Tide level 0.53 m Precipitation none Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
SOME PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...ALONG WITH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER IN SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW STARTS OUT IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND PASSES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
THIS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS PART OF THE BROADER RIDGE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
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March 4, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S FORECAST
A weakening cold front is skirting the northern limits of the Northwest Caribbean. Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Mostly sunny skies today with cloudy periods and isolated showers occurring late afternoon and tomorrow morning. Temperature will reach high 80 degrees F after midday. Surface winds will blow 5 to 15 Kts from the East. The sea state will be light chop to choppy with 5 to 6 foot seas beyond the reef.
The outlook is for continuing cloudy skies through Monday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs Cloud 2/8 Cumulus Wind (direction & speed) East 3 Kts. Air Temperature 79 F /26 C Humidity 78% Tide level 0.52 m Precipitation none Western Caribbean & Yucatan:
THE WIND FLOW AT THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS GENERALLY FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 80W...POSSIBLY MOSTLY AROUND THE WESTERN CUBA MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH A LITTLE FARTHER S AND MAY AFFECT THE NW PART OF THE CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED.
Central & Eastern Caribbean: A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW PREVAILS ELSEWHERE IN THE AREA. THIS ANTICYCLONIC FLOW GENERALLY EXISTS SOUTH OF 20N BETWEEN 40W AND 80W...EXTENDING FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO 40W.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS MOSTLY OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF COLOMBIA...MAKING ITS WAY NORTHWARD UNDER THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE MOISTURE AT THIS TIME SEEMS TO BE CONFINED TO THE AREA SOUTH OF 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. AN ATLANTIC COLD FRONT REMAINING N OF AREA IS WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AS A RESULT...ELY TRADES WILL DROP OVER ALL ZONES UNTIL LATE SUN AND MON. SOME INCREASE IN NLY SWELL MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT BUT NO MORE THAN 8 OR 9 FT IS ANTICIPATED.
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