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Marty #497317 10/27/14 06:51 AM
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Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Near The Coasts Of Nicaragua & Honduras, But Will Be Short-Lived & Will Track Inland Into Honduras & Nicaragua By Later Today

Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

Monday, October 27, 2014 9:23 am

Tropical Storm Hanna:
9 am EDT/8 am CDT Statistics:
Location:
14.5 North Latitude, 83.2 West Longitude or about 35 miles offshore of the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
Maximum Winds: 40 mph.
Forward Movement: West-Southwest at a forward speed of 7 mph.

The western Caribbean can be very unpredictable when it comes to tropical cyclone formation and we are seeing this play out this morning with the formation of Tropical Storm Hanna. Satellite imagery this morning indicates that Hanna continues to produce a concentrated area of thunderstorms along the coasts of northern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras. In addition, wind data from satellite images indicates that there are tropical storm force winds occurring on the western side of Hanna. Because of this, the National Hurricane Center has decided to upgrade this disturbance to Tropical Storm Hanna.

Hanna probably wont be around too long as it is currently between 30 and 40 miles offshore of the coastline of Nicaragua and Honduras and is tracking towards the coast at a forward speed of between 5 and 10 mph. Based on this, it seems likely that Hanna will move inland over the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua as soon as this afternoon and it will likely weaken and dissipate after that over inland parts of Central America as we get into Tuesday.

For those of you in Honduras and Nicaragua, it is expected that heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be the main threat with Hanna. Total rainfall amounts of 10 to 15 inches are expected over the next couple of days across Honduras and northern Nicaragua. These heavy rainfall amounts will produce flash flooding and mud slides.


Marty #497330 10/28/14 03:32 AM
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The Remnants of Hanna

The circulation of Hanna no longer appears to be well defined based on satellite imagery and surface observations. Since the cyclone center has dissipated, this will be the final advisory on the remnants of Hanna.

While cloud top temperatures have warmed markedly near the earlier estimated center location, heavy rainfall remains a significant threat. The remnants of Hanna could produce 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm) of rain, with isolated maximum amounts of 9 inches (230 mm), across Honduras and northern Nicaragua. These rains could produce flash flooding and mud slides.

Forecast positions and Max winds

Init  28/0300z 14.5n  84.5w   30 kt  35 mph...remnants
 12h  28/1200z...dissipated


NEMO: TROPICAL STORM HANNA - LANDFALL ON HONDURAS

Monday 27th October, 2014 as at 2:00 p.m.

The National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) hereby informs the public that as of 3:00 p.m., the center of Tropical Storm (TS) ‪#‎Hanna‬ was located near 14.6N 83.9W over northeastern Nicaragua. Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 miles per hour and TS Hanna was moving towards the west at 7 miles per hour. The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida has Tropical Storm Hanna heading deeper into Nicaragua and Honduras. On the present track the center of circulation is expected to remain inland along the border of Honduras and Nicaragua. This track over land will weaken the system.

Tropical Storm Hanna currently poses no significant threat to Belize, however, its proximity will support some showers and thunderstorms around the country during the next 24 to 36 hours.

The Rio Hondo and Mopan Rivers are rising slowly. The Low-lying Bridge and the Iguana Creek Bridge on the Macal River are at flood state. Both the Baking Pot and Succotz ferries remain closed.

NEMO Emergency Coordinators can be reached as follows; Corozal, Mr. Williard Levy at 623 0237; Orange Walk, Ms. Suliema Celiz at 605 5046, Northern Regional Coordinator, Mr. Aragon at 636 6094; Belize District, Mr. Calbert Budd at 602 8632 and Mr. Kevin Pollard at 621 2275; San Pedro, Ms. Timrose Augustine at 600 8672; Belmopan, Ms. Clare Moody at 630 9791; Cayo, Mr. Al Westby at 630 3224; Stann Creek, Mr. Victor Castillo at 630 9780; Toledo, Mr. Kenton Parham at 630 9787 and the Southern Regional Coordinator, Mr. Keith Emmanuel at 6309711. The NEMO Emergency Hotline is 936. NEMO staff, National, City, and District Emergency Committees are on full alert.

The main threat from TS Hanna, considering the present condition, is heavy rainfall and squally conditions.

Click for the full Tropical Weather Report


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Remnants of former Tropical Storm Hanna heading for Belize

The tropical system that was TD-9, then Tropical Storm Hanna, then a Tropical Depression again and now Invest 96L, just does not seem to want to go away.

After going ashore on the Nicaragua/Honduras border as Tropical Storm Hanna on Monday, the remnants of the former Tropical Storm Hanna is now back over the waters of the Caribbean Sea in the Gulf of Honduras near Roatan.

It is a well-defined low pressure system and forecasters give it a 20% chance of returning to a Tropical Storm as it moves towards Belize this afternoon and tomorrow morning.

The close proximity to land, according to forecasters will severely inhibit the chances of any significant development.

Invest 96L is currently carrying maximum sustained winds of 25 miles per hour and moving west-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

By midday on Wednesday, Invest 96L should be inland over Belize and northern Guatemala.

[Linked Image]

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Hanna May Redevelop as New Tropical Concerns Arise

Tropical Storm Hanna has moved into Central America and weakened at midweek. The system could redevelop and another system bears watching.

Hanna formed in warm waters of the western Caribbean, right along the coast of Nicaragua, on Monday morning. The system originally formed in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico as Tropical Depression 9, but then weakened while crossing the Yucatan Peninsula late last week.

Tropical Rainstorm Hanna will unload locally drenching rain and gusty thunderstorms in Nicaragua and Honduras with the potential for flash flooding and mudslides. Around 6 inches of rain can fall in the general area.


The high pressure system to the north will prevent Hanna from moving northward into the Gulf of Mexico and approaching coastal areas of the United States. Hanna was the eighth named system in the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.

Part of the lingering zone of showers and thunderstorms from Hanna could redevelop nearby along the coast of Belize, Honduras and Guatemala this week.

As a result, this part of Central America could continue to deal with locally drenching rain and gusty storms through the end of the week. Proximity to land will mitigate the strength of this system, a was the case early this week.

Accuweather

Click for the full Tropical Weather Report


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