December 11, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Cloudy skies slowly dissipating over Belize and the
Northwest Caribbean.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies today with long sunny breaks and tonight
with clear periods. Isolated showers early morning and
afternoon. Winds will be light and east northeasterly
to easterly at 5 to 15 kts. The sea state will be
slight to light chop.

The outlook is for partly cloudy weather with sunny
intervals and isolated showers on Monday.


Northwest Caribbean:

PATCHES OF MOISTURE WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED SHOWERS
DOT THE SEA ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS
FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 76W-88W.

EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
MAINLY DUE TO THE SURFACE TRADEWINDS.

Central Caribbean:

MODERATE TO STRONG TRADEWINDS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN...MAINLY E OF 80 W.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS ANTICYCLONIC FLOW DOMINATES THE
ENTIRE SEA. STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE AREA EXCEPT
FOR THE NW CARIBBEAN N OF 13N AND W OF 77W.

Eastern Caribbean:

PATCHES OF MOISTURE WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED SHOWERS
DOTS THE SEA ESPECIALLY OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM
16N-20N BETWEEN 60W-70W DUE TO THE REMNANTS OF A
FRONT.

December 12, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Mostly sunny skies gracing Belize and the Northwest
Caribbean.

Upper 80 degrees temperatures around midday over
coastal islands.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies today and clear tonight with. Winds will
be from the northwest at 5 to 15 kts. The sea state
will be slight to light chop.

The outlook is for continuing sunny weather through
Wednesday.


Current Weather

Current Weather:

Station: San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud 3/8 Cumulus
Wind (speed & dir’n) 7 kts NW
Air & Sea Temp. 75 C 70 C
Tide and Salinity 0.41 m 37 t/c
Precip. showers Light/A M



Northwest Caribbean:

DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IN THE GULF OF MEXICO IS ADJACENT
TO THE NW CARIBBEAN.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY SKIRTING THE NW AREA THROUGH WED AND
DRYING OUT SOMEWHAT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK.

Central Caribbean:

AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN
90/120 NM OF LINE FROM JUST S OF JAMAICA NEAR 17N77W
TO ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 13N84W WITH
CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE
COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA.

THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN HAS BEEN QUITE DRY WITH
MODERATE/ STRONG SUBSIDENCE. NO BIG CHANGES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE CARIBBEAN EXCEPT THE

Eastern Caribbean:

BROAD UPPER HIGH IS NE OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS NEAR
19N61W AND COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN
WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW.

PERSISTENT LOW CLOUD BAND WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM THE LEEWARD/ WINDWARD ISLANDS
NEAR 15N61W NW TO ACROSS PUERTO RICO/MONA PASSAGE.

December 13, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Mostly sunny skies gracing Belize and the Northwest
Caribbean.

Upper 80 degrees temperatures around midday over
coastal islands.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells accompanied
by an isolated shower. It will be mainly clear
tonight. Winds will be from the northwest at 5 to 15
kts but will veer to the east northeast late in the
afternoon and night. The sea state will be slight to
light chop.

The outlook is for continuing sunny weather through
Thursday.


Current Weather:

Station: San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud 5/8 Cumulus
Wind (speed & dir’n) 7 kts West
Air & Sea Temp. C C
Tide and Salinity 0.37 m 37 t/c
Precip. none A M

Northwest Caribbean & Yucatan:

COLD FRONT ACROSS THE S BAHAMAS AND E CUBA TO NEAR
20N76W WHERE IT CONTINUES AS A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE
YUCATAN COAST NEAR 19N87W.

DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IN THE GULF OF MEXICO IS OVER THE
NW CARIBBEAN N OF 20N FROM 76W-87W.

A BROAD UPPER HIGH CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA
EXTENDS A RIDGE AXIS TO OVER HISPANIOLA.

AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE OVER THE S CARIBBEAN IS
GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS S
OF 12N W OF 76W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA... PANAMA AND
COSTA RICA.

THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS REMAINS OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN UNTIL THU AND POSSIBLY WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT IS SKIRTING THE NW CARIBBEAN AREA TODAY.


THE ENTIRE AREA WILL BE DRYING OUT SOMEWHAT INTO THE
WEEKEND.

Central Caribbean:

THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN REMAINS QUITE DRY WITH
MODERATE/STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND LITTLE CHANGES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

EASTERLY TRADES REMAIN RATHER WEAK ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN.

December 15, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Mostly sunny skies will persist over Belize and
coastal waters.

Upper 80 degree temperatures expected around midday.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies today and clear tonight. Winds will
be from the east southeast at 10 to 20 kts. The sea
state will be choppy to moderate.

The outlook is for sunny weather to and warm continue
through Saturday.


Current Weather:

Station: San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud 5/8 Cumulus
Wind (speed & dir’n) 10 kts Southeast
Air & Sea Temp. C C
Tide and Salinity 0.40 m 38 t/c
Precip. None (AM)

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 80W FROM OVER CUBA
COVERING THE E GULF. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR
ARE S OF 24N ACROSS THE REGION. A FRONT WILL MOVE
EASTWARDS AND CLEAR THE GULF BY FRI MORNING.

A BROAD UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS W FROM OVER SOUTH AMERICA
INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION GIVING THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN
MODERATE/STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY UPPER AIR.

THE ONLY EXCEPTION REMAINS THE FAR S PORTION CUTS
ACROSS PANAMA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING INLAND AND ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST OF PANAMA.

MODERATE TRADEWINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...BECOMING STRONGER DURING
THE WEEKEND.

THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS REMAINS OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN.

Central Caribbean:

MODERATE TRADEWINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA
THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK AND BECOME STRONGER DURING THE WEEKEND.

December 16, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

A weak cold front is approaching Belize and coastal
waters from the Gulf.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies and widely scattered light showers today
and tonight but with a few sunny breaks. Winds will be
from the east and northeast at 10 to 15 kts. The sea
state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for partly sunny weather through
Saturday.


Current Weather:

Station: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs
Cloud 8/8 Stratus
Wind (speed & dir’n) 2 kts West
Air & Sea Temp. C C
Tide and Salinity 0.43 m 35 t/c
Precip. Light Rain (AM)

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

IN THE FAR NW WHERE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS MOVING INTO
THE AREA. IN THE NW SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
ARE MOVING THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL N OF 21N W OF
81W.

CURRENTLY...WINDS ACROSS THE GULF W OF THE FRONT ARE
N-NE 15-20 KT WITH SEAS UP TO 8 FT AND S TO SW 10-15
KT SE OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS UP TO 5 FT.

THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL THIS MORNING AND EXTEND FROM W CUBA TO THE NE
YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING NORTH
AS WARM FRONT TONIGHT.

WINDS WILL BECOME ELY 10-15 KT WITH SEAS 5 FT OR LESS
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT OVER THE NW PART OF THE
CARIBBEAN.


Central Caribbean:

ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN ELY TRADES ARE IN THE RANGE OF
20-25 KT WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS NEAR THE COLOMBIAN
COAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE BETWEEN 70W-79W
THROUGH SUN.

WINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WILL DECREASE AS THE ATLC
HIGH SHIFTS EWD IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.

EXPECT A N AND NE SWELL POSSIBLY UP TO 9 FT TO LINGER
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN

Eastern Caribbean:

MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND ASSOCIATED DRY AIR COVERS THE
REGION S OF 24N WITH PATCHES OF STRONGER SUBSIDENCE
OVER THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN UNDER HIGH PRES.

A BROAD UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING W FROM OVER SOUTH
AMERICA INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION IS GIVING THE ENTIRE
CARIBBEAN MODERATE/STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND VERY DRY
UPPER AIR.

MODERATE TRADEWINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA UNTIL
LATER TODAY THEN WILL BECOME STRONGER FOR THE WEEKEND.

December 17, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

A very active weather regime will continue to stall
weak cold fronts over the Yucatan peninsula and
adjacent to Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies and widely scattered light showers will
develop early morning and at night but few sunny
breaks will occur. Winds will be from the East to
Southeast at 5 to 15 kts. High Temperatures around 86
F / 30 C. The sea state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for partly sunny weather through
Sunday.


Current Weather:

Station: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs
Cloud 3/8 Cumulus
Wind (speed & dir’n) 5 kts Southeast
Air & Sea Temp. C C
Tide and Salinity 0.42 m 37t/c
Precip. None (AM)

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS CENTERED NEAR ERN
PANAMA AND NW COLOMBIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NWD
TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE

TO THE W OF THE ANTICYCLONE AND N OF THE RIDGE WITHIN
THE AREA ROUGHLY NW OF LINE FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
TO 31N71W, SW FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A
SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATES SEWD INTO THE GULF
OF MEXICO.

A COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL FROM THE LOW FROM NEAR 31N72W
THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE SUNDAY.

LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE OVERALL PATTERN
EXCEPT THAT AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN BEGINNING SUN NIGHT COULD RAISE THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS.

LOW PRES HAS FORMED OVER THE EXTREME SW BAY OF
CAMPECHE NEAR 21N95W AT 1011 MB. THIS LOW OR A NEW ONE
THAT FORMS ALONG THE TROUGHS WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ENE.

EASTERLY TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN ARE IN THE RANGE
OF E-SE 10-15 KT OVER MUCH OF THE NW PART.

Central Caribbean:

LARGE DOMINANT ANTICYCLONE IS LOCATED OVER E CUBA AND
THE SE BAHAMAS WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SW ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN TO GUATEMALA.

MODERATE/STRONG SUBSIDENCE DOMINATES THE ENTIRE AREA
BENEATH THE ANTICYCLONE.

THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF SHOWERS ARE LOCATED NEAR
THE SRN WINDWARD ISLANDS...OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
HISPANIOLA...AND MOVING ONSHORE INTO NICARAGUA AND
COSTA RICA.

ELY TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN ARE IN THE RANGE OF
20-25 KT WITH SUSTAINED NE WINDS OF 25 KT WITHIN 110
NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST.