SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Hurricane Beta moves into Nicaragua and Honduras and
will influence the weather particularly over Southern
Belize.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies and occasional showers. Winds will blow
from the North to Northeast at 15 to 25 kts... The sea
state will be moderate to rough...

MARINE INTERESTS AND OPERATORS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION BECAUSE OF ROUGH SEAS WHICH WILL ACCOMPANY THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS.

The outlook is for cloudy skies and occasional showers
on Monday.



Tropical Weather Development:

HURRICANE BETA IS CENTERED NEAR 13.3N 83.2W AT 30/0600
UTC (MIDNIGHT LOCAL TIME) OR ABOUT 105 NM S OF CABO
GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND
ABOUT 50 NM E OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA MOVING WSW
AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 965
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAIN WIND SPEED WAS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO
115 KT.

BETA HAS BECOME A FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL SYSTEM WITH
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION SURROUNDING A SMALL EYE
WITHIN 45 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 11.5N-15N W OF 81W TO
INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TO 84.5W. OUTER RAINBANDS OF
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 17N80W
17N82W INLAND OVER HONDURAS NEAR 15N84W TO OVER W
NICARAGUA NEAR 14N85W.

BETA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY OVER
PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA FOR SEVERAL HOURS AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS BETA CONTINUES INLAND.
THIS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A
STORM SURGE ON THE NICARAGUA COAST WITH TORRENTIAL
RAIN...MUDSLIDES...AND HIGH WINDS WELL INLAND.

Southwest Caribbean:

HURRICANE BETA IS ALONG THE COAST NICARAGUA.

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED NEAR BETA IS PROVIDING
GENEROUS OUTFLOW COVERING THE W CARIBBEAN TO 73W.


Northwest Caribbean:

A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGH
OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN ACROSS
CUBA NEAR 21N77W TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS NEAR 19N81W.

A POLAR HIGH IS PRODUCING STRONG NE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT
OVER THE ATLANTIC AND INTO NW CARIBBEAN.

Central Caribbean:

CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 75W/76W S OF 16N
MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO
HURRICANE BETA WITH THE LOCATION BASED MORE ON
EXTRAPOLATION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 14N TO OVER NW VENEZUELA AND
COLOMBIA BETWEEN 71W-75W.

WITH THE ABUNDANCE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
N OF 17N FROM 74W-84W INCLUDING CUBA AND JAMAICA.

Eastern Caribbean:

AN UPPER LOW COVERS THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 73W AND IS
CENTERED NEAR 14N67W. THE UPPER LOS IS DRAWING DRY AIR
S TO OVER THE ABC ISLANDS FROM
THE CENTRAL ATLC AND TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
LESSER ANTILLES GIVING THE ISLANDS ISOLATED SHOWERS.

MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN AS A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA IN THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS AND WILL REMAIN IN THE WAKE OF
HURRICANE BETA.