November 19, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

...TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT / SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL STORM GAMMA WAS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N
86.1W...OR 135 NM ESE OF BELIZE CITY BELIZE...AT
19/0600 UTC (MIDNIBHT LOCAL TIME) MOVING NW 4 KT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1005 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO
50 KT.

GAMMA IS PRODUCING A TIGHT CLUSTER OF NUMEROUS
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS
FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 84W-87W WHICH AT THE MOMENT IS
ONLY AFFECTING THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS AND
OCCASIONALLY THE OFFSHORE CAYS OF BELIZE AND MEXICO.

GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE N/NE TOWARDS THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL.

TODAY’S FORECAST

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE
AND FOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Overcast skies during today and tonight. Winds will be
northerly to northwesterly at 15 to 20 kts with gusts
above 25 Kts. Occasional showers and periods of light
to moderate rain will develop during the forecast
period. The sea state will rough.

** ”GALE WARNING” - MARINE OPERATORS SHOULD STAY
IN PORT AND MONITOR FURTHER LOCAL WEATHER BULLETINS**

The outlook is for continuing overcast and cool
weather on Sunday.


Northwest & Southwest Caribbean:

A LARGE MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE
CNTRL CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N75W AND ITS CIRCULATION
EXTENDS FROM CNTRL AMERICA EWD PAST THE LESSER
ANTILLES INTO THE ATLC. A PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
LIES ON THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH...EXTENDING FROM
PANAMA/COSTA RICA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN THEN NEWD
ACROSS CUBA. T.S. GAMMA LIES BENEATH THIS PLUME AND IS
PRODUCING STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS.


A 90 KT UPPER LEVEL JET EXTENDS FROM THE OUTFLOW OF
T.S. GAMMA NEWD ACROSS S/CNTRL FLORIDA THEN TO NEAR
BERMUDA.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR HAVANA CUBA NEWD
ACROSS THE NRN BAHAMAS AND IS PRODUCING ISOLATED
SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE BOUNDARY...INCLUDING
SPREADING OVER THE N/CNTRL BAHAMAS.

Central Caribbean:

A FEW PATCHY SHOWERS ARE LOCATED NEAR THE N COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PASSING BY THE ABC ISLANDS
BUT THIS IS MORE AN EXCEPTION THAN THE RULE.

Eastern Caribbean:

THE MID/UPPER HIGH IS PRODUCING STRONG SUBSIDENCE E OF
80W WITH VERY
QUIET WEATHER IS IN CONTROL FROM JAMAICA EASTWARDD TO
THE LESSER ANTILLES.