June 22nd. 2006 (6 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION
by Winston Panton
with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center

TODAY’S WEATHER
A Tropical Wave will produce unstable weather conditions over Belize , Central America and Western Caribbean waters.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today and tonight with widely scattered showers and thundershowers.
The highest temperature will be near 84 degrees F after midday.
Winds will be East to East northeast between 5 to 15Kts.
The sea state will be slight to light chop / but choppy to moderate in locally heavy showers. Seas will be 3 to 5 feet beyond the reef.
The outlook is for cloudy conditions with showers through Friday.

Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0530 hrs
Cloud 7/8 High Cirrus
Wind (direction & speed)East 10 kts.
Tide level 0.55m
Precipitation none

A VIGOROUS WAVE FROM YESTERDAY IS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SHOULD MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SHOWERS/TSTMS UNTIL IT EXITS AREA BY EARLY FRI.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE S OF 17N FROM 80W-89W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA .
STRONG TRADES ON THE ORDER OF 20-25 KT CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE S AND SW CARIBBEAN WATERS WITH MODERATE TRADES OF 10-15 KT OVER THE N CARIBBEAN THIS N/S DELINEATION IN WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

Central & Eastern Caribbean :
A BROAD UPPER RIDGE IS ANCHORED IN THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 12N78W AND COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN . BROAD AREA OF OVERCAST CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN W OF 70W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 79W/80W S OF 20N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WELL-DEFINED LOW/MID LEVEL CURVATURE SIGNATURE IS OBSERVED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT REMAINS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. WAVE IS INTERACTING WITH THE UPPER RIDGE COVERING THE CARIBBEAN WITH NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

THE MAIN FEATURE CONTINUES TO BE A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NEWD TO JUST W OF BERMUDA . CURRENTLY...THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION BUT A WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO FORM AT SOME POINT IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MARINE INTEREST IN AND AROUND THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR FORECAST UPDATES.