Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2012

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Conditions becoming somewhat moist and unstable at times...
24-hour forecast: Partly cloudy with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over southern districts.
Winds: East - southeast 10-20 knots with higher gusts near heavy showers and thunderstorms.
Marine Forecast: Moderate... Becoming locally rough at times. **Small craft caution for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas** Today: Winds: E 10-20 kts. Seas: Moderate. Waves: 4-6 ft. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly south. Outlook: Winds: E 10-20 kts. Seas: Choppy - moderate. Waves: 3-5 ft. Isolated showers or thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (ºF): 83
Outlook: (Tue & Tue night) Generally fair with isolated showers and thunderstorms developing.

Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Click for our daily Tropical Weather Information

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
Valid: Sunday, July 1 until Monday, July 9, 2012

The features of interest this coming week will be the approach and passage of two tropical waves. The first will reach Belize later Tuesday and early Wednesday. The second and much more active tropical wave will show its presence late Saturday through Sunday. The approach and passage of this system will force a northward shift in the Inter tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) over northern Central America and an influx of moisture from the Pacific. Also, the TW wave will traverse northern Central America ahead of a surge in the low level easterlies, which will also favor intense thunderstorm outbreaks

Conditions will become favorable for outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday as a weak tropical wave traverses the NW Caribbean and cross Belize Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Moisture and instability will be on the increase as we move into the weekend with the approach and passage of another more active tropical wave later on Saturday and Sunday morning. Coupled with this second tropical wave will be an influx on moisture from the Pacific, as the ITCZ shifts northwards over Central America and the leading edge of a surge in the easterlies over the Caribbean reach the extreme NW Caribbean region.

Daytime heating and the passage of the tropical waves will induce outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over Belize and coastal waters during most of this working, and will increase over the weekend. Model projections suggest that the bulk of the rainfall will be concentrated over the central and northern coastal regions at first, but will become more widespread later on Friday through Sunday.

Daily rainfall accumulations will range from 0.25-1.00 inch on Sunday through Wednesday, especially over the coast and northern areas. Expect higher rainfall amounts in the hilly terrain of the Stann Creek and Toledo Districts, and NE Cayo District. Daily rainfall totals on Thursday through Monday of next week will be ranging from 0.75-2.00 inches, especially along the coast and in the Hills.

Folks in low lying areas should remain vigilant this week and be prepared to move to higher grounds if necessary particularly on Sunday and Monday of next week!

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High - 8:10 AM Low - 3:37 PM
High - 9:51 PM Low - 2:41 AM (TUE)
Sunrise - 5:22 AM Moonrise - 5:38 PM
Sunset - 6:31 PM Moonset - 5:10 AM (TUE)

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data


Last edited by Marty; 07/03/12 06:37 AM.