Belize Weather Forecast: October 2, 2012

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: A stationary front will support an increase in moisture and instability.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with sunny periods today and cloudy skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be generally isolated this morning morning, increasing over inland and northern areas this afternoon and evening.
Winds: North to northeast at 5-10 knots. Marine Forecast: Today: Winds: N/NE 5-15 kts.; Seas: Light chop - choppy; Waves: 1-3 ft.; isolated showers. Outlook: Wednesday night:- Winds: E/NE 5-15 kts.; Seas: Light chop - choppy; Waves: 2-4 ft.; a few showers and periods of light rain.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 84
Outlook: Through to Thursday morning: Cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms over most areas.

Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad low pressure area associated with a tropical wave about 800mls WSW of the Cape Verde Islands has a high chance(60%) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves WNW at 10 to 15mph.
Click for our complete daily Tropical Weather Information

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
Valid: Monday-Monday, Oct. 1 – October 8, 2012

Here is the Weekly Outlook.

Have a fine week and best wishes for an uneventful October. Indications are that the Northern Hemisphere winter is starting early which is good news.

Unfortunately, we are not out of the woods as yet. Remain vigilant!

Have splendid week with many blessings!

RFrutos

An upper to mid level circulation (Low) in the NW Caribbean is generating scattered, deep convection around and south of Jamaica, extending NNW over western Cuba as can be observed from the latest GOES IR image (Figure 1). The mid to upper low will drift NW during the next 24 to 48 hours pulling the convection over Yucatan and Belize by Tuesday, as it begins to interact with an upper level trough associated with a cold front zone in the central and southern Gulf of Mexico. The GFS model is projecting an increase in rainfall over Belize due to the interaction of these features on Tuesday through early Thursday. Thereafter, the activity will weaken and dissipate.

The model projections are also indicating that the westerlies are becoming more pronounced over the northern hemisphere at this time, and another cold front system will make its way southwards through the Gulf of Mexico reaching Yucatan and the extreme NW Caribbean by late Saturday and early Sunday. This system will provoke another bout of showers and thunderstorms over Belize.

No tropical cyclone is expected to form over or move into the Caribbean region during the next five days. However, close monitoring of the cold front entering the NW Caribbean early next week is necessary as the frontal zone interacting with moist, unstable tropical air often favor disturbances to form on the tail end of the frontal boundary. Remain vigilant!

Rainfall rates over Belize will be in the range of 0.10-0.25 of-an-inch on Sunday, Monday. On Tuesday through Thursday heavier showers and thunderstorms, especially in the interior could result in rainfall rates increasing in the range of 0.50 inch to1.50 inches locally in the hills and along central coastal areas. Rainfall rates will then reduce to 0.10-0.25 of-an-inch later on Friday through Saturday; but increasing on Sunday and Monday once again with amounts of 0.50-0.75 of-an-inch over most districts. Locally higher rates are possible in the hilly terrain.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
24° C
75° F
Inland 34° C
92° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
High - 11:20 AM Low - 5:07 PM
High - 10:53 PM Low - 6:02 AM (WED.)
Sunrise - 5:43 AM Moonrise - 7:23 PM
Sunset - 5:40 PM Moonset - 7:43 AM




Four Day Weather Outlook:

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data