The Navy web site is often one of the most accurate forecasts. The strongest winds by Thursday are expected to be up to 50 mph with 65 mph gusts.

This is low end Tropical Storm. So winds are not expected to be the big problem.

Bur rain, well if the last two days are to go by, we could be seeing significant rain, some patches heavy rain from Wednesday afternoon, getting worse through Wednesday night, easing off by Thursday morning. 


Forecast positions and Max winds
Init  02/1600z 16.3n  80.2w   40 kt  45 mph
 12h  03/0000z 16.3n  82.6w   45 kt  50 mph
 24h  03/1200z 17.0n  85.2w   50 kt  60 mph
 36h  04/0000z 17.5n  87.5w   55 kt  65 mph
 48h  04/1200z 18.0n  90.0w   30 kt  35 mph...inland
 72h  05/1200z 19.2n  94.0w   40 kt  45 mph...over water
 96h  06/1200z 20.0n  98.0w   25 kt  30 mph...inland
120h  07/1200z...dissipated



Here is how TS Earl looks like from space

International Space Station cameras captured a tropical system in the Caribbean Sea on Aug. 1 southeast of Jamaica moving due west. At Noon ET on Aug. 2, the system formed into Tropical Storm Earl.