Belize Weather Forecast: November 14, 2018
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Relatively moist and unstable conditions will prevail as a cold front approaches.
Cloudy at times today with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms especially over the sea and over southern coastal areas this morning then mainly north and inland this afternoon. Cloudy tonight with some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms mostly north and along coastal areas.
Northwest | 5-15 kts, Sea State: Light Chop
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
For Thursday and Thursday night is for cloudy windy and cool conditions with light rain mostly over the sea.
Daily Tropical Weather Outlook:
A tropical wave moving through the Leeward Islands now has a low chance of further development during the next couple of days. Elsewhere in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
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||NW 5-15 kts
||A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY SOUTH.
||NW 15-25 kts
||SOME SHOWERS, PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.
||N-NW 15-25 kts
||WINDY AND COOL WITH LIGHT RAIN.
||N-NW 15-25 kts
||CLOUDY AND COOL.
The Caribbean Sea
A surface trough is over the Leeward and Virgin Islands from
22N63W to 16N67W. Scattered moderate convection from 15N-23N
between 59W-63W. An upper-level low is centered over the Mona
Passage near 18N68W. Upper level diffluence E of the center is
enhancing convection over the Leeward Islands. This system
continues to have a low chance of tropical cyclone formation
during the next 48 hours. This system is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next couple of days as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward.
In the southwest Caribbean, scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted south of 12N between 76W-82W, due to the
eastern extent of the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is also inland over N
Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica.
High pressure north of the area is supporting fresh trade winds
over most of the Caribbean Sea. The trough across the Virgin
Islands extending NE into the adjacent Atlantic will move across
Puerto Rico through late tonight, and then across Hispaniola Wed.
The tropical wave over the southeast Caribbean will move westward
reaching Hispaniola and the ABC Islands by late Wednesday and
Strong northerly winds and building seas will follow a cold front
entering the Yucatan Channel late Wed. Expect enhanced shower and
thunderstorm activity with periods of heavy rain for portions of
the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Honduras and the adjacent waters of
the northwest Caribbean through early Fri. Fresh northerly winds
and seas to 8 ft will spread across the northwest Caribbean into
Fri behind the front, then diminish Fri into Sat as the front
stalls and weakens from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras.
|Low: 9:27 AM
||High: 3:01 PM|
|Low: 8:52 PM
||High: 2:29 AM (Thu)|
| Sunrise: 5:57 AM
|| Moonrise: 11:44 AM|
|Sunset: 5:16 PM
||Moonset: 11:19 PM
Four Day Weather Outlook:
For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
CLICK here and here for detailed local weather data
Climate Prediction Centerís Central America Hazards Outlook
Current Conditions and weather history for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro
Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)