You can see here, how the Caribbean is full of rain type clouds, or part of the seasonal ITCZ activity.
The ITCZ is more clearly shown over the Pacific here. . The top elongated circle is the North part of Inter Tropical Convergence, and the lower circle the South part of Inter Tropical convergence, when tropical rising air in both hemispheres meet up with each other and push each other up high. . . Rather more complicated over the Caribbean, due to South America, which also has its own cloud making effects. As the Sun moves further south, this ITCZ activity will reduce.
So we are likely to get more rain over the next couple of weeks.
From Crown Weather:
I continue to keep an eye on the possibility that we could see some sort of tropical development in either the northwestern Caribbean or the eastern Gulf of Mexico starting during the early part of next week.
It looks like a tropical wave now located over the central Caribbean is expected to reach the northwestern Caribbean by late this weekend into early next week where some of the model guidance suggest that this system may try to develop.
At this point, only the ICON, a couple of GFS Parallel ensemble members and a handful of European ensemble members show tropical development first near the Yucatan Channel around Sunday into Monday that moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico around the middle part of next week.
I think that what may occur is that when the tropical wave now over the central Caribbean reaches the northwestern Caribbean, it will try to combine with a piece of energy left behind by a departing frontal system and its associated upper level trough of low pressure. This could lead to some sort of tropical mischief that moves from the northwestern Caribbean early next week to the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the middle part of next week.
The eastern and central Tropical Atlantic is quite active today in the way of tropical disturbances. There are currently 3 tropical disturbances that require close scrutiny, although, their interaction with each other continues to make for a challenging and uncertain forecast.For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here