Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2020

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear in the north, more clouds in the south. A relatively moist air mass dominates our weather.
Advisories: *A Flood Warning is in effect for communities in the Belize district. Residents in the Belize River Valley and downstream to the coast should remain vigilant as the rising flood waters move downstream to the coast.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated with a few more inland and south this afternoon; then mainly over southern, some coastal and offshore areas tonight.
Winds: N-NE, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 83
Outlook: A few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms mainly over central and southern areas on Monday. Then activity will affect mostly coastal and offshore areas Monday night along with gusty winds; while being isolated elsewhere.
Sargassum Forecast from November 10, 2020 to November 18, 2020: No significant impact from sargassum is expected during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am, Hurricane Iota was centered near latitude 13.2N, longitude 77.8W, or about 240 miles east of Isla de Providencia Colombia. The National Meteorological Service of Belize is closely monitoring the progress of this system and there is the potential for more flooding over Belize in the coming week. At 3:00am, Tropical Depression Theta was centered near latitude 31.8N, longitude 18.3W, or about 650 miles SE of the Azores. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Iota and the associated very heavy rainfall, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.

Outside of Iota, overnight scatterometer data showed gentle to moderate N-NE flow in the western Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades E of 70W and fresh to strong between 70W-75W to the E of Iota. Fresh to strong NE flow was blowing across the approach to the Windward Passage, but these winds have likely diminished to moderate to fresh in the past few hours. Seas are mainly 2-4 ft in the NW Caribbean, and 3-6 ft E of 70W.

A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean by mid-week, stalling from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras Thu. Fresh to strong winds will follow the front, with very hazardous conditions possible near the Yucatan Channel. The front will weaken high pressure NE of the area, while Iota is forecast to have moved inland over Central America. This will allow for trades across the SW, central and eastern Caribbean to diminish to mainly moderate.

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
66° F
High: 10:23 AM Low: 3:40 PM
High: 9:38 PM Low: 4:58 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:57 AM Moonrise: 6:20 AM
Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonset: 5:57 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centerís Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Last edited by Marty; 11/16/20 05:56 AM.