Belize Weather Forecast: February 19, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy, less so in the north. A cold front will cross the country later today.
Advisories: *The small craft warning will be reinstated tonight for gusty winds and rough seas in large swells. Mariners are advised to seek safe harbor.*
24-hour forecast: Skies will become cloudy with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms starting inland at first, then increasing and spreading to most places this afternoon. Variably cloudy and cool conditions will prevail with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated showers lingering over the south and offshore tonight. The Yucatan peninsula will have this weekend the most intense “north” of this year 2021 in its area, especially with the force that the winds and the waves will have. The last time there was a cold front with similar intensity was on December 24, 2020. Precautions are recommended in coastal areas.
Winds: N, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
Outlook: Saturday - Saturday night:- variably cloudy and cool with a few showers and periods of rain developing over the southern districts during the evening into the night.
Sargassum Forecast from February 16 to February 24: Observations suggest that there is the chance of a few sargassum mats affecting beaches mainly in the south of the country. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: There are no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin at this time. Updates will resume at the beginning of the 2021 hurricane season (June 1). Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Ship observations indicate strong to near-gale force winds off the coast of Colombia this morning, where seas are estimated to be 9 to 11 ft. These winds are due to a combination of strong high pressure north of the area, and local overnight drainage flow coming off the higher terrain along the coast. Fresh to strong trade winds are noted elsewhere over the eastern and central Caribbean, especially off the southern coast of Haiti, with 6 to 9 ft seas. Fresh to strong SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are evident north of Honduras, with moderate SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas elsewhere over the northwest Caribbean. No significant shower or thunderstorm activity is noted other than a few fast-moving showers across the Windward Islands.

For the forecast, a cold front in the Gulf of Mexico will move through the Yucatan Channel and into the northwest Caribbean tonight. The front will stall from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras Sat, then dissipate through Sun. High pressure building in the wake of the front north of the area will support fresh to strong NE winds Sun night, and overnight pulses to gale force off the coast of Colombia Sun night through Tue night.

  High Low
Coastal 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
17° C
62° F
Hills 23° C
74° F
14° C
58° F
Low: 8:47 AM High: 2:49 PM
Low: 10:56 PM High: 4:56 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 6:17 AM Moonrise: 11:24 AM
Sunset: 5:56 PM Moonset: 12:40 AM (Sat)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker: