Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country early, clearing later in the day. Currently mostly cloudy and windy in San Pedro. Our airflow is becoming more moist and unstable.
Advisories: 0perators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution as winds may become gusty at times.
Today will be sunny with some cloudy spells along with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing over most areas but more so over central and along coastal areas. Tonight skies will cloudy along with some showers and few thunderstorms developing mainly over southern areas.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts Sea State:
Waves: 3-5 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
For Friday and Friday night is for cloudy skies with outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms developing over most areas but more so along the coast.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16:
Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
There are several tropical waves affecting the basin.
In addition to the convection mentioned in the tropical waves
section, scattered showers and tstorms are seen in between
Jamaica and eastern Cuba, and also along the coast of Nicaragua.
Moderate trade winds prevail across the much of the basin, locally
fresh in the south-central Caribbean. Gentle winds are in the NW
Caribbean as well as the SW Caribbean, north of Panama. Seas are
4-6 ft across the eastern and central Caribbean, 2-4 ft in the NW
Caribbean and 3-5 ft in the Gulf of Honduras.
Gentle to moderate trade winds will prevail today across the
basin. Scattered showers and tstms are expected over the SW
Caribbean through the remainder of this week in association with a
broad trough of low pressure. Winds will increase to fresh in the
south-central Caribbean Fri night as high pressure ridging
becomes re-established along 25N over the west Atlantic. Fresh
winds will then continue over the central Caribbean through Mon. A
weak tropical wave will enter the SE Caribbean today, enhancing
showers. The next tropical wave will reach the E Caribbean on Mon.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
There are currently no organized tropical features in the Atlantic basin, and none are expected to develop through at least the next couple of days. These quieter conditions may not last much longer.
A broad area of rotation in the midlevels, sometimes called a gyre, is developing near Central America and the nearby waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean. This gyre is causing an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity across Central America into southern Mexico. With wind shear remaining rather low across the western Caribbean Sea and the southwest Gulf of Mexico, it's still possible that an area of low pressure can develop under this gyre over the next few days. However, with the gyre developing a bit farther to the west, chances for tropical development in the Atlantic basin remain quite low.
All interests in Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should be prepared for flooding downpours and some gusty winds through the weekend, regardless of whether or not a tropical system forms.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.