Belize Weather Forecast: June 13, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy with rain throughout the country. Cloudy and windy this morning in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: FLOOD WATCH: There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas and especially over the southern districts.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with some showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms mainly along the coast this morning, decreasing and affecting mainly inland areas this afternoon. Showers will increase again mainly over the coast and the north tonight.
Winds: SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: A similar trend will occur on Monday and Monday night.
Sargassum Forecast from June 9 to June 16: Satellite imagery continue to suggests high sargassum concentration over the Northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. Therefore, the risk of sargassum affecting local beaches continues to be high. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:


Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

The Caribbean Sea

Earlier scatterometer data showed fresh to strong winds in the S central Caribbean and just offshore of the central coast of Honduras. Gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere. Seas are 4 to 7 ft in the S central Caribbean, 4 to 6 ft elsewhere in the central and eastern Caribbean, and 2-4 ft in the western Caribbean. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over the Gulf of Honduras extending inland across NW Honduras, far eastern Guatemala, Belize, and the far southern portion of the Mayan coast of Mexico. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are noted in the lee of Cuba likely due to upper level divergence.

For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure north of the basin combined with lower pressure over Central America and Colombia will support fresh to strong trades over the S central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras through Thu. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle south of 11N. A tropical wave will move into the E Caribbean Mon.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
84° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 30° C
86° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 24° C
76° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
High: 11:23 AM Low: 6:51 PM
High: 1:03 AM (Mon) Low: 5:16 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonrise: 7:54 AM
Sunset: 6:28 PM Moonset: 9:25 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centerís Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

There remains no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin, though AccuWeather meteorologists are still monitoring two areas for potential development in the coming days.

The most significant feature is a broad area of rotation across southern Mexico, known as a gyre, that is producing clusters of rain and thunderstorms extending from near the southern coast of Mexico in the eastern Pacific into the southern Gulf of Mexico. As thunderstorms continue to develop across this region through the course of the week, surface pressures are expected to gradually lower in the southern Gulf of Mexico, which can eventually lead to a more well-defined disturbance across the region.

While water temperatures are warm enough to support a tropical system, as it moves farther to the north into the central and northern Gulf of Mexico, it is expected to encounter stronger wind shear which can work to limit development. At this time, most guidance indicates that this wind shear will inhibit the system from rapidly strengthening, and it is still possible that the wind shear could inhibit significant tropical development altogether. Regardless of tropical development, this feature can bring heavy rain and the threat for flooding across southern Mexico through the middle of the week. In the longer range, areas across the western and central Gulf Coast should monitor the system for potential impacts towards next weekend.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.