Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country. Cloudy and quite windy in San Pedro. Our airflow is becoming less moist and unstable.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution as winds may become gusty at times. There is the possibility for flooding over low lying and flood prone areas.
Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy. Shower activity will be isolated , except for the south where a few showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected during the night and early morning.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Sea State:
Waves: 4-6 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Saturday and Saturday night is for partly cloudy skies and shower activity will be isolated, except for the south where a few night showers or isolated thunderstorms can be expected.
Sargassum Forecast from June 16 to June 23:
The threat of Sargassum affecting beaches across the country remains high and will continue so during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability and a major impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE: At 6:00 am the system was near 26.0N 91.5W or about 255 miles south of Morgan City, Louisiana. It was moving to the north at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.
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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill
The Caribbean Sea
Two tropical waves are moving across the basin.
The eastern Pacific monsoon trough extends from SE Panama to
northern Colombia. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
noted along the monsoon trough south of 13N between 74W to 83W.
Fresh to strong tradewinds were detected by the latest
scatterometer pass in the south central Caribbean. The strongest
winds extend from the coast of Colombia north to 14N between 70W
and 77W. Mainly moderate to fresh trades prevail elsewhere in
the basin. Seas of 4-6 ft throughout the basin, except 6-9 ft
near the area of strong winds off in the south central Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure extends from the E central
Atlantic W-SW to central Florida and will weaken north of the
area through early Sat before building back Sun through Tue. This
ridge will combine with lower pressure over Venezuela and
Colombia to support pulsing fresh to strong trades over the S
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras during the weekend through
Tue. Fresh to strong trades, scattered tstms and squalls will
follow a tropical wave along 70W tonight as it moves W across the
Caribbean through Sun.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Latest satellite imagery shows that Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 remains poorly organized as much of the convection is still displaced well to the east of the low-level center. As this potential tropical cyclone drifts slowly northward, it will gradually become better organized, and we expect it to become a tropical depression Friday morning. Some additional strengthening is likely Friday afternoon as the system continues moving northward. It will likely become a tropical storm prior to reaching the central Gulf Coast late Friday or Friday night; the next name on the list is Claudette.
Elsewhere, there are a few tropical waves currently found across the basin. These waves are near 81 west, 59 west and 38 west. These tropical waves are moving westward at generally 10-15 mph. The wave near 81 west will move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Friday and may help to further the potential tropical development of Potential Tropical Cyclone 3.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.