Ahh, I take that back. While the storm has impacted an upper level trough, it hasn't lifted northwest yet. The convection has shifted, but the center is still straight west in your direction.
Difficult call. The upper level Low is supposed to hamper strong development. Even if it stays dead west it could be held down as a tropical storm.
The storm is moving at extraordinary forward speed. It was only a wisp 48 hours ago in the Atlantic east of Tobago. Now it is starting to slow slightly.
The pros are saying there's a weakness in a high pressure ridge above it in 36 hours that will pull it up. Eyes on it til it lifts...
(Pressure now 1003)
See 1960's "Abby" for reference [No I'm not saying it will take this track] The next year "Anna" took a similar July track. Storms are rare in early July: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1960/ABBY/track.gif