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May 23, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
Cloudy to overcast skies and unstable conditions will produce occasional showers over Belize and the Western Caribbean. Unstable conditions are also affecting Central America and Western Cuba.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy skies today and tonight and isolated showers during the late afternoon and early morning
The highest temperature will be near 86 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will be East southeasterly at 5 to 16Kts.
The sea state will be light chop. Seas will be 4 to 6 feet beyond the reef.
The outlook is for partly cloudy and showery weather through Thursday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs Cloud 8/8 Altostratus Wind (direction & speed) Southeast 8Kts. Tide level 0.64 m Precipitation None
Western Caribbean:
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND BELIZE FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 88W-90W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W COLOMBIA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 74W-76W.
SW FLOW WITH CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W CARIBBEAN SEA W OF 82W. EXPECT...CUBA...THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA TO HAVE CONVECTION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
PATCHES OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF HISPANIOLA...AND CUBA.
MODERATE TRADEWINDS ARE PRODUCING MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 20N72W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AN STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA E OF 82W.
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May 24, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
Unstable conditions are producing cloudy to overcast skies and scattered showers over Belize, particularly in the Gulf of Honduras and over the Western Caribbean. Unstable conditions are also similarly affecting Central America and Western Cuba.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today and tonight. Showers will develop during late afternoon and early morning.
The highest temperature will be near 84 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will be Easterly at 8 to 18Kts.
The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 4 to 6 feet beyond the reef.
The outlook is for cloudy and showery weather through Friday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0630 hrs Cloud 8/8 Altostratus Wind (direction & speed) East 8Kts. Tide level 0.59 m Precipitation None
Western Caribbean:
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 87W-89W...ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 82W-84W...AND ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 76W-79W.
SW FLOW WITH CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W CARIBBEAN SEA W OF 82W.
EXPECT...CUBA...THE W CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA TO HAVE CONVECTION AND SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
MODERATE TRADEWINDS ARE PRODUCING MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 17N64W.
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA N OF 12N AND E OF 82W.
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May 25, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
Unstable conditions and a Tropical Wave are producing cloudy to overcast skies and scattered showers and thundershowers over Belize, as the wave moves into Guatemala ands Southern Yucatan. Unstable conditions are also similarly affecting Central America and Western Cuba.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today and tonight. Scattered showers and thundershowers will develop today.
The highest temperature will be near 82 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will be variable at times but mainly Easterly at 10 to 20Kts with higher gusts in thundershowers.
The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 4 to 6 feet beyond the reef.
**SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN THE VICINITY OF THE HEAVY SHOWERS**
The outlook is for slow improvement in cloudy and showery weather through Friday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs Cloud 8/8 Nimbostratus Wind (direction & speed) West 10Kts. Tide level 0.63 m Precipitation Intermittent Thundershowers
Western Caribbean:
A BAND OF UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS...WIND SPEEDS RANGE FROM 20 KT TO 45 KT ACCORDING TO SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA...ARE WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE FROM NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO WESTERN CUBA.
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SURFACE TROUGH IS NOT AS OBVIOUS NOW AS IT WAS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND NOW ARE INLAND IN BELIZE AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 79W/80W SOUTH OF 10N.
ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 15 NM TO 20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 10N80W 12N82W. OTHER PRECIPITATION IS SOUTH OF PANAMA...JUST WEST OF COLOMBIA...IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN WATERS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 75W AND 80W.
ENHANCED SELY BREEZES IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE AREA NEAR 19N63W. BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
ATLC RIDGE IS CONTRIBUTING TO A FAIRLY STRONG PRES GRADIENT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS IS PRODUCING ELY TRADES 20-25 KT...WITH THE STRONGEST ALONG THE COAST OF NW VENEZUELA AND NE COLOMBIA.
ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC...TRADES GENERALLY AROUND 15 KT. AND WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
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May 26, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
Unstable conditions are still producing cloudy to overcast skies and scattered showers and thundershowers over Belize, Central America and the Yucatan peninsula. Unstable conditions continue into Western Cuba.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today and tonight. With scattered showers and thundershowers and occasional squally winds.
The highest temperature will be near 82 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will be variable at times but mainly Easterly at 10 to 20Kts with higher gusts as high as 40 kts near thundershowers.
The sea state will be choppy to moderate and occasionally rough. Seas will be 6 feet or higher beyond the reef.
**SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS IN THE VICINITY OF THE HEAVY SHOWERS**
The outlook is for slow improvement in cloudy and showery weather through Sunday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs Cloud 8/8 Nimbostratus Wind (direction & speed) West 10Kts. Tide level 0.62 m Precipitation Intermittent Thundershowers
Western Caribbean:
BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 15N83W AT THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER TO 19N81W TO 21N73W AND BEYOND 21N68W. THESE CLOUDS ARE ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CLOUD BAND/WIND BAND ALSO BEING EXPERIENCED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COASTS OF BELIZE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE WIND SPEEDS IN THIS BAND OF WINDS RANGE FROM 20 KT TO 40 KT A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 9N FROM PANAMA INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND NOW FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF URABA AND EASTERN PANAMA AND THE PACIFIC OCEAN WATERS JUST OFF NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR IS ELSEWHERE. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 16N65W. BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
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May 27, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
Unstable conditions are still producing cloudy to overcast skies and scattered showers and thundershowers over Belize, Central America and the Yucatan peninsula. Unstable conditions continue into Western Cuba.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy to overcast skies today and tonight with occasional showers and light rain.
The highest temperature will be near 86 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will be variable at times but mainly Easterly at 5 to 15Kts.
The sea state will be choppy to moderate and occasionally rough. Seas will be 6 feet or higher beyond the reef.
**SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION PARTICULARLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE HEAVY SHOWERS**
The outlook is for slow improvement through Sunday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs Cloud 8/8 Nimbostratus Wind (direction & speed) East 6 Kts. Tide level 0.60 m Precipitation Intermittent Light Rain
Western Caribbean:
NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING FROM WESTERN HONDURAS NEAR 15N89W TO 19N91W IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY-TO-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW RANGING FROM 30 KT TO 50 KT IS IN THE AREA OF THIS PRECIPITATION.
BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED IN THIS AREA FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR COVERS THE REST OF THE AREA...MAINLY SOUTH OF 17N EAST OF 84W.
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May 28, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
Overcast skies are clearing over Belize and the Western Caribbean.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Cloudy skies today will give way to sunny conditions this afternoon and mainly fair weather tonight and tomorrow.
The highest temperature will be near 88 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will East to southeast at 5 to 15Kts.
The sea state will be light chop to choppy. Seas will be 6 feet or higher beyond the reef.
The outlook is for sunny weather through Tuesday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs Cloud 7/8 Altocumulus Wind (direction & speed) East southeast 6 Kts. Tide level 0.57 m Precipitation Nome
Western Caribbean:
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING IN NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W...AND IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA TO 12N BETWEEN 79W AND LAND.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS PRECIPITATION IS RELATED TO THE ITCZ SOLELY.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY COVERS MOST OF THE AREA.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
SOME HIGH CLOUDS ARE CROSSING 20N BETWEEN 60W AND 80W...MAKING THEIR WAY SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BETWEEN 50W AND 80W.
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May 29, 2006 (6:00 a.m.) SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)
TODAY'S WEATHER
A Middle to Upper Level trough is developing over Belize and the Western Caribbean.
Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs:
Partly cloudy skies today and tonight.
The highest temperature will be near 88 degrees F after midday.
Today's winds will East to southeast at 5 to 12Kts.
The sea state will be light chop. Seas will be 2 to 3 beyond the reef.
The outlook is for fair weather through Tuesday.
Current Weather: San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs Cloud 1/8 Cumulus Wind (direction & speed) East southeast 8 Kts. Tide level 0.53 m Precipitation Nome
Western Caribbean:
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN WATERS NEAR A 33N72W LOW CENTER...OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA AREA ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROUGH.
NUMEROUS STRONG ITCZ-RELATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND IN NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 71W AND 78W. THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMING DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE CLOUD MASSES.
Central & Eastern Caribbean:
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR COVERS MOST OF THE AREA. HIGH CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 16N BETWEEN HAITI AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE SOUTH OF 13N WEST OF 74W...TO THE NORTH OF THE ITCZ PRECIPITATION IN COLOMBIA.
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