statistly hurricanes hit here every 20 yrs, That info dosnt mean much as anything can happen, we got 2 in a row 2000 & 2001, I moved here in 2001 and have seen the water level rise 3 times to do some beach and road damage, I evacuated only once and did not need to, we did not get anything, no wind or any bad weather. Historically hurricanes have usually hit here in Oct. The water temp warms up and their courses change.