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#244051 07/31/07 06:38 PM
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[Linked Image] [Linked Image]

Last edited by Sir Isaac Newton; 08/02/07 04:16 PM.

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Shtuff happens!

SimonB #244089 08/01/07 11:13 AM
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insurance, food, water, medications, a little cash, evacuation plan. Good reminder!

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It's still amazes me how many folks and even worse, many resorts have no Hurricane Preparedness Plan.

SIN


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It did not look that ominous this morning when I checked NOAA's site...sheesh.

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This is the latest water vapour loop as of 3:30 CST

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-wv.html

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Not sure what the water vapor loop tells me. Sure looks like it's taken a northerly turn. Is that right?


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SP Daily #244200 08/02/07 04:23 PM
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That is the same link that SIN put up Jesse. Krehfish I find that the NOAA water vapour tracking is great for guaging rainfall intensity and yes, just follow the loops as they update every half hour or so...real time modelling.

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more on the same:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 022119
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INVESTIGATING THE VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IN
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WAS NOT ABLE TO FIND A CLOSED CIRCULATION.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM IS A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY AND THAT THE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS
ALSO INCREASED. THE TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD AND
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHEN THE SYSTEM
REACHES THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN IN A DAY OT TWO. IF NECESSARY...
ANOTHER RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY. EVEN
IF DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...THIS WAVE WILL LIKELY BRING SQUALLY
WEATHER TO JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND CENTRAL AMERICA IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE NO
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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