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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 400 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007
...CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC TO VERACRUZ MEXICO.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF BELIZE AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF DEAN MADE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR COSTA MAYA OR MAJAHUAL AROUND 330 AM CDT. THIS LOCATION IS ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.
DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY AND LIKELY REACH THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...270 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DEAN CROSSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 906 MB...26.75 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO... BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...18.7 N...87.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...906 MB.
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Joined: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,018
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Just spoke with Chris Barenfanger who lives in Villa del Rios, the condos by Coco Locos bar and the wind is still about 100 MPH but low and behold the water barely got to the bottom step!!! Thank the Lord!!!!!
I'm happier than a pig in s__t...a foot on the sand...and a Belikin in my hand!
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Joined: Sep 2001
Posts: 70
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First light.
Maybe someone will get a chance to look around and let us know what it looks like. Still conditions will likely be pretty rough for the next few hours.
Weather channel guy in Puerto Aventuras showing high waves breaking up seawall. And they were pretty far north (at least a hundred miles or so).
No matter where you go ... There you are!
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Joined: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,018
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Chris said they will not be able to get out and about for another two to three hours because of the still strong winds. I plan on calling him in a couple of hours. Cell phone service is still good and stron.....the cell towers must have held up!
I'm happier than a pig in s__t...a foot on the sand...and a Belikin in my hand!
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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Dean made landfall on the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula near the cruise ship port of costa maya around 0830 UTC...and the eye is now just inland. Observations from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that the hurricane was intensifying right up to landfall. A peak flight-level wind of 165 kt was measured just north of the eye. Maximum surface winds from the SFMR were 124 kt...but it is highly likely that the maximum surface wind speed was not reported by the SFMR instrument. A GPS dropsonde in the northern eyewall measured a wind speed of 178 kt averaged over the lowest 150 meters of the sounding. Based on the dropsonde and the flight-level winds...the intensity is set at 145 kt. A dropsonde in the eye measured a central pressure of 906 mb just prior to landfall. Some historic notes are in order here. The 906 mb central pressure is the ninth lowest on record for an Atlantic Basin hurricane...and the third lowest at landfall behind the 1935 Labor Day hurricane in the Florida Keys and hurricane Gilbert of 1988 in Cancun Mexico. Dean is also the first category five hurricane to make landfall in the Atlantic Basin since Andrew of 1992.
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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downgraded to cat 3, 100-125 mph winds now
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Joined: Sep 2002
Posts: 133
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As of 5:50am Belize Time, CNN says they just dropped the rating of Dean down to a Category 3 hurricane.
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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lots of power lines down, roofs off in corozal, clearing up a bit. winds still strong. rain strong
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Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 3
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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,397
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