Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
01/30/08 09:44 AM
01/30/08 09:44 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 69,014
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
January 29, 2008

A poll was conducted over the weekend to establish which political party would most likely win the upcoming general election. The poll spearheaded by University of Belize Professor Dr. Joseph Iyo and Marion Cayetano of Galen University contradicts what was released last week by the SPEAR Poll. This poll suggests that the People’s United Party would win the February 7th elections by a margin of about five percent. Dr. Iyo says that they have all confidence in the results of the poll.

Dr. Joseph Iyo,University of Belize Professor:

“A lot of thought was put into designing this poll to help us eliminate some of the potential problems that occur normally with every sample. The results is very exciting because based on the criteria, I was surprised that like Corozal would be totally red and so I don’t know what may inform that type of result but in the sense of the deign and what we have done, I am 100% confident of the exercise we have conducted. If anything changes within now and then, will be based on further efforts by the public. Based on what we have done we have high confidence with the poll we have conducted.”

The results as presented in a graph showed that 48.92% of the sample group said that they would vote for the People’s United Party, while 42.69% voted for the United Democratic Party. The National Belizean Alliance, one of the third parties contesting the election had the least votes at .81 percent.

A total of one thousand, one hundred and eight people were polled. This number was selected based on the voters registration lists dated December 2007. That lists had a total of 149 thousand 930 registered voters. To date that amount is much higher. Doctor Iyo says that the margin of error is about three percent. He told us why.

Dr. Joseph Iyo,University of Belize Professor:

“When you calculate the amount of the sample with the amount of the population, you begin to find the marginal pair and when you factor in the response rate, you can further more determine precisely the amount of confidence they have in their survey. So the sampling process is a process whereby you make an estimate or generalizations about the population based on the information contained in the sample. So we’re using the sample essentially predicted of the behavior in Belize.”

Contrary to voting patterns the United Democratic Party won in Corozal over the People’s United Party and in the Cayo District the People’s United Party won over the United Democratic Party. Dr.Iyo and Cayetano says that they will be doing a valuation poll this weekend.

01/30/08 10:43 AM
01/30/08 10:43 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 12,923
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
"by a margin of about five percent. Dr. Iyo says that they have all confidence in the results of the poll."
5% doesn't give confidence in an election result, any election.
5% is a coin toss at best.
Do you think election result predictions like this are devices to sway votes of the people who want to be sure and vote for the winner?

Last edited by elbert; 01/30/08 10:56 AM.

White Sands Dive Shops Daily Blog
01/30/08 11:17 AM
01/30/08 11:17 AM
Joined: May 2000
Posts: 6,924
San Pedro Town, Ambergris Caye...
Amanda Syme Offline

Amanda Syme  Offline
You should have used the Post a Poll option.

Portofino Resort- Now with a new BEACH BAR!!
Click for excellent scuba lessons with Elbert Greer!
Chaa Creek is an award-winning luxury Belize Resort, rated as one of the worlds best Eco Lodges. We are a pioneer in adventure travel to Belize since 1981!
Maruba Beach Klub and Spa is the premiere Secret Beach spa and restaurant located on the crystal blue waters of the Caribbean Sea at the center of Secret Beach, Belize
First Class Accommodations for the Budget Traveler
First Class Accommodations for the Budget Traveler

Things to do

Daily News
Daily Weather

Classified Ads
San Pedro Sun
Ambergris Today
SP Town Council
Channel 7
Channel 5
Love FM
The Reporter
TV Newscasts
Radio Stations

Click for our
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites

Event Guides
Event Calendar
Specials & Events
Things to Do
iTravel Belize
Paradise Theater
San Pedro Fun Finder
Paradise Guy Event Calendar
Cayo Event Calendar

San Pedro Scoop!
Tia Chocolate
My Beautiful Belize
I-Travel Belize
Belize Adventure
Belize Hub
Romantic Travel
Belize Happy Adventures
Conch Creative
Caribbean Culture & Lifestyle
More Blogs...
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites
White Sands Dive Shop - 5 Star PADI Dive Facility - Daily diving, SCUBA instruction and Snorkeling
Caribbean Inspired All Natural Condiments & Spice Blends, Over 100 are Gluten Free!
We manage a variety of homes, apartments, condos and commercial properties here on Ambergris Caye. Our minimum lease on ALL properties is six months.
Click for Ian Anderson's Caves Branch, Welcome to a World of Adventure
Lil Alphonse has snorkel equipment to fit anyone as well as Marine Park Tickets and flotation devices to assist those not as experienced.
Coastal Xpress offers a daily scheduled ferry run to most resorts, restaurants and private piers on the island of Anbergris Caye. We also offer  private and charter water taxi service.
1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30
Cayo Espanto
Click for Cayo Espanto, and have your own private island
More Links
Click for exciting and adventurous tours of Belize with Katie Valk!
ShoutChat Box
Who's Online Now
0 registered members (), 185 guests, and 0 spiders.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Forum Statistics
Most Online2,982
Jan 29th, 2019 HELP! Visitor Center Goods & Services San Pedro Town Message Board Lodging Diving Fishing Things to Do History Maps Phonebook Belize Business Directory Picture of the Day

The opinions and views expressed on this board are the subjective opinions of Ambergris Caye Message Board members
and not of the Ambergris Caye Message Board its affiliates, or its employees.

Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.1