Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: March 29, 2017

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Area wind information

Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, March 29, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

March 29, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
A middle to upper level shortwave trough is noted on water vapor imagery in the vicinity of 32n60w supporting a 1004 mb surface low centered near 29n61w. Near gale to gale force winds are occurring within 150 nm of the center in the NW quadrant with fresh to strong winds occurring elsewhere primarily within 300 nm of the NW semicircle of the low and within 420 nm of the E quadrant of the low. The low is forecast to move NE through Thursday with the near gale to gale force wind area rotating around the base of the low. By Thursday night...the low will move N of the discussion area and be in the process of merging with a storm force low centered near 42n54w at 970 mb. Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers miahsfat2/ fznt02 knhc for more details.

...The Caribbean Sea...

West-southwesterly flow aloft prevails over the Caribbean basin this morning with mostly dry and stable conditions noted on water vapor imagery. This stability filters to the surface with most of the basin under relatively clear skies and fair conditions. One exception is an area of enhanced cloudiness and isolated showers occurring across the south-central waters from 11n-16n between 65w-71w. With the special features low pressure area located N-NE of Puerto Rico...the pressure gradient remains fairly weak and results in mostly gentle to moderate trades. This overall wind pattern is expected to persist through Thursday with the exception of occasional fresh E-se winds across the Gulf of Honduras. Otherwise...little change is expected through the remainder of the week.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017

48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.

120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24

Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

No recent posts on Caribbean

CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image

Last edited by Marty; Yesterday at 06:10 AM.