Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: November 21, 2017

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Area wind information


Belize NMS Forecast

November 21, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.


Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

November 21, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...

Cyclogenesis is expected to occur late Wednesday into Wednesday night across portions of the Gulf of Mexico producing near gale to gale force northerly winds S of 22N W of 93W. The gale force wind field is expected to persist through late Wednesday night... diminishing into strong to near gale force strength by Thursday morning across portions of the SW Gulf of Mexico. See the latest NWS High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more details.

...The Caribbean Sea...

Southwesterly flow aloft prevails over the western Caribbean with a ribbon of mid-level energy stretching from over the Windward Passage region W-SW to over portions of Central America in the vicinity of Honduras and El Salvador. This mid-level energy is supporting a surface trough analyzed from 12N78W to 19N75W. Widely scattered showers and isolated tstms are occurring N of 15N between 70W-80W. A portion of this activity extends N of the Windward Passage region in the Atlc waters. Otherwise...moderate trades are noted E of 77W and moderate to occasional fresh NE winds are occurring W of 77W. This pattern is forecast to persist through Thursday night.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook


48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development



Infrared Satellite in Belize City

Atlantic Basin remains quiet
Accuweather

11/21/2017

The Atlantic Basin remains quiet and no tropical development is expected for at least the next few days.



120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Low Pressure Forming Over The Eastern Gulf Of Mexico On Wednesday Will Bring Another Round Of Rain To The Florida Peninsula From Wednesday Night To Friday
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

November 21, 2017

Low Pressure Forming Over The Eastern Gulf Of Mexico Will Bring Another Round Of Rain To The Florida Peninsula From Wednesday Night To Friday: Satellite imagery, radar loops and surface analysis indicates that there will be two areas of low pressure that will impact the Florida Peninsula throughout the rest of this week.

The first low pressure system is currently located over the easternmost Gulf of Mexico and this weather system is currently producing some shower and thunderstorm activity from Sebring eastward to Palm Bay and Port Saint Lucie. Additional heavy shower and thunderstorm activity is pushing eastward from the eastern Gulf of Mexico and will mainly impact central and northern Florida from about the I-4 corridor and points north from this afternoon into early this evening before it pushes offshore after about 8-9 pm this evening. Rainfall amounts from today into this evening will range from less than one tenth of an inch across south Florida to one quarter to one half of an inch along and north of I-4 across central and north Florida.

A second low pressure system is expected to form over the eastern Gulf of Mexico on Thursday and will track across central Florida on Friday before it pushes offshore on Friday night and Saturday. This second low pressure system will bring the following weather hazards over the Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula from Wednesday to Friday.

Marine Hazards For The Gulf Of Mexico From Wednesday To Friday: Gale force winds are expected to impact the western and northern Gulf of Mexico starting on Wednesday with gale force winds continuing through Thursday. These gale force winds will spread into parts of the eastern Gulf of Mexico from Thursday into Friday.

Rainfall Will Impact Parts Of The Florida Peninsula From Wednesday Night To Friday: Rainfall with the second low pressure system will begin to impact northern Florida and southern Georgia on Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening and will spread across the rest of the Florida Peninsula during the day on Thursday and will continue through Thursday night and Friday.

Total rainfall amounts of one half to one inch will impact much of the Florida Peninsula from Wednesday night to Friday. Up to 2 inches of rainfall could impact northern Florida and southern parts of Georgia.





No Recent Tropical Weather Posts
Jeff Masters, Category 6



CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image




Last edited by Marty; Yesterday at 10:53 AM.