Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: December 13, 2018

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Belize NMS Forecast

December 13, 2018

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

USA National Weather Service Forecast

December 13, 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...

Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest Gulf of Mexico by early this afternoon and extend from the Mississippi Delta to Tamiahua Mexico tonight, from the Florida Big Bend to the Yucatan Peninsula Fri morning and move E of area before sunrise on Sat. Gale force winds are expected tonight through Friday afternoon behind the front over the northwest and west-central Gulf waters. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast under AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more details.

...The Caribbean Sea...

A weakening stationary front extends from the Windward Passage to 19N80W to 16N85W. Isolated showers are noted along the front. Scatterometer data from Wednesday evening indicate that a surface trough is present in the NW Caribbean from 21N82W to 17N85W. Isolated showers are near the trough south of 20N. In the eastern Caribbean, radar and satellite imagery show isolated showers from 13N-15N between 67W-71W.

Fresh to strong trade winds will prevail across the south central Caribbean with nocturnal pulses to near gale force off the northwest coast of Colombia. These strong trades will expand north across the entire central Caribbean on Fri and Fri night. The weak frontal boundary across the west Caribbean will dissipate early today. The surface trough over the NW Caribbean will move to the Yucatan Peninsula later this morning. A cold front will enter the northwest Caribbean on Friday afternoon, and dissipate over the NW Caribbean during the upcoming weekend. Fresh to strong winds are expected west of the front on Sat. Large north swell will reach the Leewards on Sat, and spread south through the northeast Caribbean passages during the weekend.

48 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Infrared Satellite in Belize City

Hurricane season has come to an end
Accuweather

December 13, 2018

There have been no organized tropical features across the Atlantic basin since Oct. 31, and there are no suspect features across the basin that might become organized tropical systems during the post-hurricane season through early December.

There are no current threats related to Belize, and no recent posts related to Central America or Belize.
Jeff Masters, Category 6

CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)