Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Letís Keep An Eye On The Caribbean Later Next Week #407176
05/07/11 08:49 AM
05/07/11 08:49 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 72,832
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Rob Lightbown on May 6, 2011, 2:54 pm

There are a few factors that may come together to really cause us to watch the Caribbean later next week.

The first is that the Madden Julian Oscillation will be in a phase to create upward motion in the Caribbean next week.

Madden Julian Oscillation Forecast

The second is that part of a large upper level low pressure system off of the New England coast next week may lift out causing a trough split and an area of lighter wind shear over the Caribbean.

The third is that ocean temperatures are plenty warm enough to support tropical cyclone formation.

Combine these factors together and I think itís not out of the question to see some really organized convection over the Caribbean next week which may try to develop into some sort of tropical system. The latest GFS model run is starting to hint at this with the formation of an area of low pressure around Thursday or Friday of next week over the east-central Caribbean to the south of Puerto Rico. Last nightís European model didnít show anything of note; so it will be interesting to see if the European model starts to follow the GFS model or vice-versa.

GFS Model Forecast For Next Friday (May 13):

So, this is something that will be watched for closely over the next several days and I will keep you all updated on the latest.

Re: Letís Keep An Eye On The Caribbean Later Next Week [Re: Marty] #407185
05/07/11 09:38 AM
05/07/11 09:38 AM

Good analysis. Thanks for sharing.

Re: Letís Keep An Eye On The Caribbean Later Next Week [Re: Marty] #407200
05/07/11 09:59 AM
05/07/11 09:59 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,116
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
OK I'll clean out the rain gutters and hook up the cistern again this week, but if doesn't rain this time I want those virgins back!

White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Letís Keep An Eye On The Caribbean Later Next Week [Re: Marty] #407204
05/07/11 10:22 AM
05/07/11 10:22 AM
Joined: May 2000
Posts: 6,962
San Pedro Town, Ambergris Caye...
Amanda Syme Offline

Amanda Syme  Offline
Fingers crossed for some rain.

Portofino Resort- Now with a new BEACH BAR!!
Click for excellent scuba lessons with Elbert Greer!
Chaa Creek is an award-winning luxury Belize Resort, rated as one of the worlds best Eco Lodges. We are a pioneer in adventure travel to Belize since 1981!
Maruba Beach Klub and Spa is the premiere Secret Beach spa and restaurant located on the crystal blue waters of the Caribbean Sea at the center of Secret Beach, Belize
First Class Accommodations for the Budget Traveler
First Class Accommodations for the Budget Traveler

Things to do

Daily News
Daily Weather

Classified Ads
San Pedro Sun
Ambergris Today
SP Town Council
Channel 7
Channel 5
Love FM
The Reporter
TV Newscasts
Radio Stations

Click for our
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites

Event Guides
Event Calendar
Specials & Events
Things to Do
iTravel Belize
Paradise Theater
San Pedro Fun Finder
Paradise Guy Event Calendar
Cayo Event Calendar

San Pedro Scoop!
Tia Chocolate
My Beautiful Belize
I-Travel Belize
Belize Adventure
Belize Hub
Romantic Travel
Belize Happy Adventures
Conch Creative
Caribbean Culture & Lifestyle
More Blogs...
Search thousands of Belizean-only websites
White Sands Dive Shop - 5 Star PADI Dive Facility - Daily diving, SCUBA instruction and Snorkeling
Caribbean Inspired All Natural Condiments & Spice Blends, Over 100 are Gluten Free!
We manage a variety of homes, apartments, condos and commercial properties here on Ambergris Caye. Our minimum lease on ALL properties is six months.
Click for Ian Anderson's Caves Branch, Welcome to a World of Adventure
Lil Alphonse has snorkel equipment to fit anyone as well as Marine Park Tickets and flotation devices to assist those not as experienced.
Coastal Xpress offers a daily scheduled ferry run to most resorts, restaurants and private piers on the island of Anbergris Caye. We also offer  private and charter water taxi service.
1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30
Cayo Espanto
Click for Cayo Espanto, and have your own private island
More Links
Click for exciting and adventurous tours of Belize with Katie Valk!
ShoutChat Box
Who's Online Now
0 registered members (), 141 guests, and 0 spiders.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Forum Statistics
Most Online4,377
Dec 15th, 2020 HELP! Visitor Center Goods & Services San Pedro Town Message Board Lodging Diving Fishing Things to Do History Maps Phonebook Belize Business Directory Picture of the Day

The opinions and views expressed on this board are the subjective opinions of Ambergris Caye Message Board members
and not of the Ambergris Caye Message Board its affiliates, or its employees.

Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.7.1