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Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Diane Campbell] #414328
08/20/11 11:18 AM
08/20/11 11:18 AM
Joined: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,018
Sequim, WA & San Pedro
Loansum-Al K Offline
.
Loansum-Al K  Offline
Water level inside the reef has risen about a foot and big waves crashing over our bulkhead.....not good news for the docks.


I'm happier than a pig in s__t...a foot on the sand...and a Belikin in my hand!
Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Loansum-Al K] #414330
08/20/11 11:39 AM
08/20/11 11:39 AM
Joined: Mar 2001
Posts: 11,049
Rockport, Maine
klcman Offline
.
klcman  Offline
Be safe, everyone.............


_ _ _ _ _ _ _________________ _ _ _ _ _ _
But then what do I know, I am but a mere caveman
Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414331
08/20/11 11:39 AM
08/20/11 11:39 AM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,204
San Pedro AC Belize
Diane Campbell Offline
.
Diane Campbell  Offline
Call just came in to LOVE FM - tornado touched down in Crooked Tree a few minutes ago. Caller said trees are down all over the place, no further details on damage are yet available.

Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414332
08/20/11 11:40 AM
08/20/11 11:40 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 72,102
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Tropical Storm Harvey is closing in towards a landfall this afternoon in Belize, and is dumping very heavy rains on northern Honduras, northern Guatemala, and Belize as it steadily moves west near 12 mph. A personal weather station on Roatan Island on the north coast of Honduras has received 6.68" of rain as of 10am EDT this morning from Harvey, and had a peak wind gust of 42 mph. The Roatan airport has received 3.55", and had a peak wind gust of 40 mph. The first significant spiral band from Harvey moved over Belize City at 7am local time, dropping nearly an inch of rain on the city. Belize National Meteorological Service radar shows that Harvey has appeared to close off an eyewall as of 11:30am EDT, which may allow the storm to intensify another 10 - 15 mph before landfall. The 11am NHC wind probability forecast gave Harvey a 3% chance of making it to hurricane strength, but the discussion noted that it wouldn't be that hard for Harvey to gain another 10 - 15 mph before landfall. I estimate there is a 30% chance that the winds along a 10-mile stretch of Belize coast where the eyewall makes landfall will reach hurricane force.


Figure 1. Radar image of Harvey taken at 11:30am EDT on Saturday, August 20, 2011, a few hours before landfall in Belize. A small closed eye is visible just south of the offshore islands of Belize. Image credit: Belize National Meteorological Service.


Figure 2. True-color MODIS image of Tropical Storm Harvey taken at 12:25pm EDT on Friday, August 19, 2011. An hour after this picture was taken, Harvey became a tropical storm with 40 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters at 4:16 PM GMT on August 20, 2011


Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414333
08/20/11 11:46 AM
08/20/11 11:46 AM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,204
San Pedro AC Belize
Diane Campbell Offline
.
Diane Campbell  Offline
TACA, American & Continental cancelled flights for today.

Delta & US Air are coming in at mid-day.

Goldson International is closing today at 2 pm.


Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414335
08/20/11 12:13 PM
08/20/11 12:13 PM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 1,520
PACWest, SACSouth
Bear Offline
.
Bear  Offline
Originally Posted by Marty
might pick up close to hurricane cat 1 winds before landfall.....


Marty, its like anything else I've ever experienced with NOAA it almost seems as if the right hand doesnt know what the left is doing! You get that forecast you posted, you pull up 4 different charts and they all seem to be sayging diffrent things...I mean for instance look at the 1000 Hrs CST winds forecast for Hurricane force wind predictions and you get this

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/145313.shtml?table#contents


<4% probability!,

then you read your posted forecast and the meteo (meteorologist) is saying 60 mile an hour sustained winds, I mean at this point who knows! wink

Last edited by Bear; 08/20/11 12:14 PM.
Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414336
08/20/11 12:31 PM
08/20/11 12:31 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 72,102
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
there's a bit of pot luck involved.

National Hurricane Center, NOAA

30 minutes ago

Tropical Storm Harvey is moving west toward Belize with little change in strength, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Tropical Storm Harvey is centered near latitude 16.8 north and longitude 87.6 west, about 65 miles southeast of Belize City and about 70 miles east-northeast of Monkey River Town, Belize. It has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and is moving west at 12 mph.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for the coast of Honduras from Punta Sal westward, and for the coasts of Guatemala and Belize. Hurricane conditions are possible along a portion of the coast of Belize later today.

The center of Tropical Storm Harvey is expected to move inland over Belize this afternoon, then move into northern Guatemala tonight. Some strengthening is possible today, and Harvey could become a hurricane before landfall in Belize. Steady weakening is forecast after landfall.

NEMO PRESS RELEASE #4

11am 8/20/2011


As at 9:00 a.m. Tropical Storm Harvey is at latitude 16.8 North and Llongitude 87.6 West Longitude or about 65 miles South East of Belize City with winds of 60 miles per hour gusting at 70 miles per hour. TS force winds extend 40 miles out from the centre. Harvey is moving West at 12 miles per hour. The Eye is expected to arrive on land just north of Dangriga in about 8 hours starting after 2 p.m. Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Belize.

At this time the likely threats are Storm Surge up to 4 feet above normal tide levels with up to 6 inches of rainfall possible that may lead to flash floods. People living along Rivers must seek higher ground. Sea will become very rough today. NEMO advises no movement at sea. All boats must remain in harbor at Caye Caulker and San Pedro.
Water Taxi operators are not encouraged to do runs from San Pedro to Placencia.

Shelters have been open in the following places:
Belize City: Palotti, North Side, Maud Williams High School and Excelsior on North Side.
Dangirga – Gullisi, Benguche, and Delil Academy
Belmopan- Las Flores Community Centre, Armenia R.C School and St Margaret’s R.C School

Everyone must be indoors in a safe structure by midday. People from Monkey River Town have been evacuated to Bella Vista. People from Mullins River have been evacuated to Hope Creek Methodist.

Bus scheduled has been suspended for the south and west.

The National NEMO executive met this morning and all essential services, agencies and ministries are fully engaged and are responding in their respective role. NEMO is now finalizing its plan for work after the storm. VHF radio antennae must be taken down before landfall for use after impact.

The public is advised to remain vigilant.Continue listening to the local radio and television stations for further advisories from the NEMO and the National Met Service.

The NEMO emergency number is 936

NEMO continues to respond the approaching Tropical Storm Harvey.

Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Loansum-Al K] #414337
08/20/11 12:35 PM
08/20/11 12:35 PM
Joined: Jan 2008
Posts: 28
J
Jette Offline
.
Jette  Offline
J
Please take care . We love you all and prayers are wi
th y'all!!

Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414338
08/20/11 12:36 PM
08/20/11 12:36 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 72,102
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
LOVEFM Radio internet link:

http://www.belizeweb.com/love.ram

Re: Tropical Storm Harvey [Re: Marty] #414339
08/20/11 12:42 PM
08/20/11 12:42 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 72,102
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

.
Marty  Offline OP
current Navy track and satellite view with map overlay

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