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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 16, 2012

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Moist and unstable weather conditions will continue the next couple of days.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy to overcast with some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over most area, especially along the coast and over the south.
Winds: East - northeast 10 - 20 knots. Becoming gusty near the heavier showerfs and thunderstorms.
Marine Forecast: Moderate... But at times becoming locally rough. Operators of small crafts should continue exercise caution. Outlook: Wednesday night:- Winds: N/NE 5-15 kts; seas: Choppy.; waves: 2-4 ft.; several showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (�F): 81
Outlook: For Thurs. and Thurs. night is for continuing cloudy to overcast skies with some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over most areas.

Valid: May 14 - May 21, 2012

Synopsis: Model projections showing a low developing just offshore the coast of Belize by Thursday of this week. This feature will favor showers and thunderstorms increasing especially on Thursday through Monday. The onset of the rainy season could be early for some regions of Belize this year.

A quasi-stationary front over the Louisiana Gulf Coast to the central Gulf of Mexico has an induced surface trough of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula. These features together with a divergent SW'ly airstream from the Pacific aloft, have been generating outbreaks of thunderstorms and showers over Campeche, El Peten and western and southern Belize over the past 24-36 hours.

Analysis of the upper level weather charts show that the winter-time westerlies have now become disrupted over the subtropics, which is indicating a return to a summer pattern and the gradual onset of the 2012 rainy season. The GFS model projections of stability indices, surface pressure pattern and low level winds for the next five to seven days points to an increase in moisture and instability in the NW Caribbean and over northern Central America, as a surface low pressure system tries to become organized this week, and evolves into the first weak disturbance for the season just over and offshore Belize. The low will remain stationary just offshore central Belize on Thursday, and will then begin to track NNE into the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the coming weekend. Cloudy and unsettled weather will therefore persist over Belize during most of this week, with showers and thunderstorms becoming more persistent on Thursday through Monday of next week. This could mark the beginning of the rainy season for Belize. However, it is likely that the onset of the rains will be gradual in most places as we move towards June, but yes, the transition to a rainy season airflow pattern is almost completed as we should see more rainy days over the next seven to ten days.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekend Weather Report

Tropical Weather Outlook: The 2011 hurricane season ended on Nov. 30th; unless any tropical cyclone forms, there will be no further reports until June 2012.

Click for detailed Tropical Weather Information

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological�& Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
75° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 25° C
77° F
20° C
68° F
High - 6:54 AM Low - 1:49 PM
High - 7:55 PM Low - 1:22 AM (THURS.)
Sunrise - 5:20 AM Moonrise - 2:57 AM (THURS.)
Sunset - 6:18 PM Moonset - 2:59 PM

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
[Linked Image]
On Ambergris Caye this morning everything is wet after a night of drenching rain.
We have a cloud sky, showers and wind from the ENE at 10mph.

White Sands Dive Shop
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,267
My unsinkable boat was a veritable jacuzzi this morning. Auto-bilgers sometimes don't auto. Beware!

And the good news - our cistern overflowed this morning - an event that usually happens in October after a lot of fill-ups from summer rains.

In years past we were down to 1/4 of a tank by now. In years past we had less rain than during this less-than-dry "dry season" - but I think the big plus for our household are our new high-pressure dual-flush toilets. They have two buttons - one for liquids and one for the other stuff. We can flush every time, and use very little water.
Civilized life at last.
Expensive to buy? Yes. But probably a lot cheaper in the long run than buying water. And definitely a nicer way to live than the "no-flush-for #1" water conservation method.

Opps - was that a hijack ?

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