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Today's Belize Weather: May 28, 2012 #439027
05/28/12 07:01 AM
05/28/12 07:01 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,968
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: May 28, 2012

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Relatively unstable weather conditions will continue over our area.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers or isolated thunderstorms will occur mainly over southern and along some coastal areas this morning and tonight and over inland areas after mid-morning.
Winds: East 5 - 15 knots.
Marine Forecast: Choppy. Today: Winds: East 5 -15 kts.; seas: Choppy; waves: 3-5 ft.; a few showers or isolated thunderstorms mostly south. Outlook: Tuesday night:- Winds: E-NE 5 -15 kts.; seas: Light chop - choppy; waves: 2-4 ft.; a few showers or isolated thunderstorms mainly south. Outlook: Monday night:- winds: East 10-20 kts.; seas: Choppy-moderate; waves: 2-4 ft.; a few showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (ºF): 83
Outlook: For Tues. and Tues. night is for some cloudy spells with a few showers or isolated thunderstorms developing.

Valid: Friday until Monday, May 25-28, 2012

Conditions this past week improved by Wednesday as a surface low and trough producing the showery weather drifted ENE away from Belize. A tropical disturbance SE of the Carolinas this afternoon is becoming a bit more organized and the NHC is giving this system an 80% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone this weekend. Elsewhere in the tropics, a tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean at 10-15 mph. In the NW Caribbean, the persistent trough of low pressure south of central Cuba will drift westwards over the next two days and will reach Belize and Yucatan by Sunday and Monday. Meanwhile, in the upper atmosphere a trough over the Bahamas and Central Cuba will swing westwards this weekend, and will provide support to the low level trough in the area this weekend.

Hence, we can expect fair weather with only isolated showers today and on Saturday, but conditions will become increasingly favourable for showery outbreaks with thunderstorms on Sunday through Monday, especially over the sea and coast at first, then over most districts by late Sunday and Monday. Showers will decrease on Tuesday. Kindly note that the 2012 rainy season at most localities in Belize began almost two week early this year.

Rainfall Projections:
Daily rainfall accumulations will be in the range of 0.10 – 0.25 of-an-inch on Friday, increasing to 0.25 – 0.50 on Saturday, especially over the sea and coast. On Sunday and Monday daily rainfall totals will be 0.50-1.25 inch especially over the north and west.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekend Weather Report

Tropical Weather Outlook:Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall early on Monday near Jacksonville, Fla. Beryl has weakened some as it begins to slow down over northern Florida. Maximum sustained winds were down to 50 mph with gusts as high as 70 mph. Bands of heavy rain and wind continue across northeastern Florida and southern and eastern Georgia as Beryl spins through. Total rainfall amounts from Beryl will range between 4-8 inches across northern Florida and coastal Georgia. While the region desperately needs rainfall, this much rain will likely cause flooding.

Click for detailed Tropical Weather Information

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
Low - 9:16 AM High - 2:59 PM
Low - 9:57 PM High - 4:14 AM (TUES.)
Sunrise - 5:18 AM Moonrise - 11:46 AM
Sunset - 6:23 PM Moonset - 12:17 AM (TUES.)

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data

Last edited by Marty; 05/29/12 07:08 AM.
Re: Today's Belize Weather: May 28, 2012 [Re: Marty] #439038
05/28/12 08:13 AM
05/28/12 08:13 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
[Linked Image]
On Ambergris Caye this morning the temperature is 82f. and it looks as if the rains have moved on. We're having a low tide that reaches its depth at 9:16 am.The sea is calm and the wind is from the East at 6 mph. Lookin Good!

White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Today's Belize Weather: May 28, 2012 [Re: Marty] #439056
05/28/12 11:51 AM
05/28/12 11:51 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,968
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Valid: May 28 – June 4, 2012

Two systems were responsible for the outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms last week and over the weekend. The first was a persistent low pressure area over and just offshore Belize that eventually drifted NE towards Cuba by late Wednesday. While, in the upper atmosphere, a westward drifting short-wave trough moved over Belize on Sunday and its axis now extends from NW Bahamas south-westward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and central Yucatan Peninsula and Guatemala. This feature is forecast to continue its westwards displacement as an upper anticyclone migrates westward over northern Central America by Thursday of this week.

A weak tropical wave will make its way westward over the central and western Caribbean this week, reaching the Yucatan and Belize coasts by late Wednesday. Otherwise, the airflow in the NW Caribbean will become drier in a weak SE’ly current as we approach the weekend. Showers may likely be on the increase once again on Sunday afternoon and Monday.

Daily rainfall accumulations will be in the range of 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch over north-western and northern Belize on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, with amounts of 0.50-0.75 of-an-inch in the higher terrain and some parts of the coast. Daily accumulations will decrease on Thursday through most of the weekend over the country as the airflow becomes drier and more stable. We can expect daily totals of 0.10-0.25 of an inch especially in the N and NW regions.

Tropical Cyclone Outlook: The models are not forecasting any tropical cyclone formation over the Caribbean during the next five days.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Re: Today's Belize Weather: May 28, 2012 [Re: Marty] #439057
05/28/12 12:08 PM
05/28/12 12:08 PM
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 350
3.6 miles North of San Pedro, ...
Decompression Offline
Decompression  Offline
And now the rain returns....


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