Belize Weather Forecast: June 5, 2012

General Situation:

Belize NMS: Relatively unstable conditions will continue to dominate our weather.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mainly over the south and along some coastal areas this morning and tonight and over inland areas after mid-morning today.
Winds: East - southeast 10-20 knots, with occasional higher gusts.
Marine Forecast:Relatively unstable conditions will continue to dominate our weather... **Operators of small crafts should exercise caution for gusty winds and occasionally rough seas** Today: Winds: E-SE 10-20 kts. With occasional higher gusts.; seas: Moderate - rough.; waves: 4-7 ft.; a few showers and isolated thunderstorms. Outlook: Wednesday night:- winds: E-SE 10-20 kts.; seas: Moderate.; waves: 4-6 ft.; a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly south.
Sea Surface Temp (ºF): 83
Outlook: For Wed. and Wed. night is for some cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over southern and inland areas.

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
Valid: Sunday, June 3 until Monday, June 11, 2012

Moist and unstable conditions associated with low pressures over Central America and the western Caribbean, a low-level surge of strong breeze across the central and western Caribbean in the ESE’ly trade winds, and divergence of the air in the upper levels, will results in thundery and showery weather persisting over Belize and adjacent areas during the next 10 days of June.

The 24-hour GFS model forecast chart for 10 meter winds, 24-hour accumulated rainfall and the pressure patterns, valid for 6:00 am Sunday, June 3, 2012, shows low pressures centers strung across the Pacific coast of Central America, with fresh E to ESE winds of 15 to 20 knots over the western Caribbean, and rainfall concentrated mostly over and offshore the Stann Creek, Belize and Corozal Districts on Saturday through Sunday morning. A trough of low pressure is also projected to remain over the extreme NW Caribbean and Yucatan through Monday.

The GFS model 132-hr projected vorticity pattern at 5,000 feet valid for Thursday evening, June 7, 2012, shows a trough of low pressure extending across the eastern Gulf of Mexico to coastal waters of Belize and the surge of strong low-level winds in the central and western Caribbean. This surge will enhance the convective activity generated by the low pressure trough in the NW Caribbean on Friday through most of the upcoming weekend.

The GFS model 24-hour rainfall totals ending at 6:00 am on Thursday, June 7, 2012 depicts rainfall totals in the range of 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch for Wednesday and Wednesday night in the range of 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch, mostly over areas north of the Toledo District. Rainfall will be higher in the elevated areas of the Stann Creek and Cayo Districts, and favorable for quick runoff in some localities of these districts.

Tropical Cyclone Outlook: The models are not forecasting any tropical cyclone formation over the Caribbean during the next five days.

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Tropical Weather Outlook: For the North Atlantic... Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico... Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

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