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Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 #440871
06/18/12 06:59 AM
06/18/12 06:59 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,545
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: June 18, 2012

General Situation:

Belize NMS: Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with some showers and a few thunderstorms mainly over the south and along the coast. Periods of light rain will occur over some inland areas.
Winds: East 5-15 knots with higher gusts near thunderstorms.
Marine Forecast: **OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS** Today: Winds: East 5-15 kts.; seas: Choppy.; waves: 2-5 ft.; some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms mainly in the south. Outlook: Tuesday night:- winds: N-NE 5-15 kts.; seas: Choppy.; waves: 2-5 ft.; a few showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (ºF): 83
Outlook: Tuesday and Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms inland during the afternoon hours and over southern coastal areas during the night and early morning.

Valid: Friday, June 15 until Monday, June 18, 2012

Here is the Weekend Outlook. It will be wet once again...

Residents in low-lying and hilly areas should exercise caution this weekend. Remain vigilant!

Low pressure system forming just offshore the coast of Belize this weekend! The models do not develop it into a tropical cyclone. Rather, the low remains diffused and weakens by Tuesday, as it drifts northeastward.

The feature of interest over the NW Caribbean and Belize this weekend through Tuesday of next week will be a deepening and lingering low pressure system over and just offshore the coast of Belize. The model does not develop the low into a tropical cyclone, but rather weakens the system by late Monday, and move it NE into the western Caribbean. This low will infuse more moisture into the area and will favour widespread outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over most areas, some heavy at times. The GFS model is concentrating a lot of the rainfall over central and northern coastal areas. So, Belize City and northern communities will get the greater part of the downpour once again. Also, the rainfall will likely get accentuated in the elevated terrain, and elevated areas of the Mountain Pine Ridge and the NE and East slopes of the Maya Mountain divide will receive substantial rainfall. The soil is already at field capacity in most watersheds of the Toledo, Stann Creek, Cayo and Belize Districts; so the runoff will be quick and communities in low lying and hilly areas can expect flash flood conditions.

Daily rainfall totals over central and northern coastal areas will range from 1.00- 1.50 inch over most districts this weekend. Higher, daily rainfall amounts of 1.50-2.00 inches are possible in the higher elevations of the Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts associated with localized, heavier showers and thunderstorms.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the Tropical Atlantic Basin during the next 48 hours.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekend Weather Report

Tropical Weather Outlook: For the North Atlantic... Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico... Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Click for our daily Tropical Weather Information

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
High - 8:43 AM Low - 4:13 PM
High - 10:13 PM Low - 3:11 AM (TUES.)
Sunrise - 5:19 AM Moonrise - 5:19 AM (TUES.)
Sunset - 6:29 PM Moonset - 5:52 PM

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data

Last edited by Marty; 06/19/12 07:21 AM.
Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440872
06/18/12 07:02 AM
06/18/12 07:02 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,545
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
We've lived on Ambergris Caye for 20 years. This is to my memory, the wettest May-June we've ever seen. The rains keep coming.

Cisterns are full-up, potholes are full-up too, but this is a time when our topography as a narrow island works in our favor. The rain runs pretty easily off to the sea without flash-floods, major erosion or other dangers.
On mainland Belize there are rivers full-up, a chunk of the Southern Highway washed out, rural villages inaccessible and fields of vegetables that are flooded and destroyed. It's on it's way to being a serious situation.

At present San Pedro's biggest worry is how to entertain the tourists! Thankfully lobster season just opened and Lobster Fest is in full swing, rain or shine.
Eating, signing and dancing continue regardless of the weather.

Diane Campbell...

Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440892
06/18/12 10:27 AM
06/18/12 10:27 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,545
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Valid:Sunday, June 17 until Monday, June 25, 2012

Expect more showers and thunderstorms this week, especially on Thursday and Friday.

An upper level trough swinging eastwards from the Gulf of Mexico is interacting with a trough of low pressure over the NW Caribbean. This atmospheric pattern will persist until Wednesday, favoring more showers. Meanwhile, a surface low will move over Belize and Yucatan during the next 48-72 hours, generating more showers and thunderstorms over most districts this week.

Substantial influx of moisture was forced northward ahead of an upper level trough moving slowly eastward from the Gulf of Mexico and a surface trough of low pressure extending from the Bahamas to the NW Caribbean. This resulted in heavy and widespread showers and thunderstorms across Belize this weekend, generating localized floods. Satellite imagery revealed that the bulk of the rainfall was concentrated over southern districts and the coast. Rainfall total in the range of six (6) inches was accumulated at the International Airport over the weekend. Other localities in the South accumulated in excess of six inches over the weekend.

During this week we can expect the showery weather to persist. A surface low is moving slowly WNW towards Belize from just offshore NE Honduras. This low will cross Belize late Wednesday and will move over northern Yucatan and the southern Gulf of Mexico by Thursday and Friday.

Daily rainfall accumulations will range from 0.50-1.50 inches on Sunday through Wednesday over most districts, but will increase to 1.00-2.00 inches per day on Thursday through Saturday, mostly over central and northern areas. Daily rainfall totals on Sunday through Monday will be ranging from 0.50-1.25 inches, especially over the central and NE areas of the sea and the mainland. Expect higher rainfall in the higher terrain this week.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report

Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440898
06/18/12 12:26 PM
06/18/12 12:26 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 67,545
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
From Diane....

[Linked Image]

I'll take these puddles over the wash-out of the southern highway any day.
No whining ! Blue skies are almost peeking through here and there towards the east.

Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440907
06/18/12 04:55 PM
06/18/12 04:55 PM
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 2,461
Belize City
Katie Valk Offline

Katie Valk  Offline
Sunny in the city now too!

Belize based travel specialist
Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440922
06/18/12 10:10 PM
06/18/12 10:10 PM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,170
San Pedro AC Belize
Diane Campbell Offline
Diane Campbell  Offline
Sunny afternoon - YES YES YES!
Beautiful evening and happy birthday to Pete.

Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440927
06/18/12 11:24 PM
06/18/12 11:24 PM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 1,520
PACWest, SACSouth
Bear Offline
Bear  Offline
Drove up to Cayo last week and man the palmetto plains and lowland ponds are bursting with fresh clear water and Lilly pads are popping up all over...amazing

Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440934
06/19/12 07:10 AM
06/19/12 07:10 AM
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 42
Goliad, TX
Tammy Barnett Offline
Tammy Barnett  Offline
We are visiting Belize for a month and this morning we're waking up in Corozal Town. What a downpour during the night! We want to visit Sarteneja today. Does anyone know how we can find out (before we venture out) if the road between these 2 towns is passable? Thanks!

Re: Today's Belize Weather: June 18, 2012 [Re: Marty] #440990
06/19/12 11:12 AM
06/19/12 11:12 AM

Unless you're up for an adventure, take the morning ferry.

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