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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: July 23, 2012

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Moist and unstable conditions continue over the area.
Advisories: ***Small craft caution for strong gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms.**
24-hour forecast: Mostly cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms over most areas today, with showers decreasing this evening.
Winds: East 10-20 knots with higher gusts near thunderstorms
Marine Forecast: Today: Winds: East 10-20 kt. Seas: Moderate. Waves: 4-6 ft. Some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms. Outlook: Winds: East 10-20kt. Seas: Moderate. Waves: 3-5ft. Isolated showers or thunderstorms.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 83
Outlook: A few morning showers along the coast Tuesday morning.

Tropical Weather Outlook: An area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas and South Florida has a small chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next two days. Elsewhere tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Click for our daily Tropical Weather Information

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
Valid: Friday, July 20 until Monday, July 23, 2012

What we are looking at is an active TW approaching Jamaica and gradually making its way to the extreme NW Caribbean by Monday afternoon. Even before the wave axis crosses the coast of Yucatan and Belize on Monday night, it will be generating heavy showers and TS on Sunday & Monday.

A surge in the easterlies coupled with an approaching Tropical Wave will generate outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms across Belize later this weekend. This activity will increase in intensity on Monday, Monday night and Tuesday morning of next week as the TW makes its entry over Yucatan and Belize.

Conditions will become increasingly favourable for another bout of showers and thunderstorms this weekend across the country of Belize associated with instability in the atmosphere and the lifting side of an upper level trough axis over the southern Gulf of Mexico. A surge in the low-level easterly flow over the NW Caribbean and northern Central America will herald the approach of an active TW on Monday and Monday night, resulting in an upsurge in the shower and thunderstorm activity, which will become intense at times. The bulk of the rainfall will be concentrated over the central area of the mainland and along the coast on Monday and Tuesday.

Daily rainfall totals over most places will result in rainfall accumulations in the range of 0.10-0.25 of-an-inch today Friday and Saturday. However, he rainfall will be on the increase on Sunday through Tuesday, with daily totals in the hills and coastal areas ranging from 2.00-3.00 inches. Higher rainfall rates are possible in the elevated terrain of the Stann Creek, Cayo and Toledo districts, resulting in rapid runoff and a high probability of flash floods on Monday through early Wednesday. Residents in flood prone zones and hilly terrain should remain vigilant and be prepared to move to higher grounds if the need arises´┐Ż

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekend Weather Report

Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological´┐Ż& Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
25° C
76° F
Inland 33° C
91° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 25° C
76° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low - 6:41 AM High - 12:36 PM
Low - 7:06 PM High - 1:13 AM (TUES)
Sunrise - 5:29 AM Moonrise - 9:27 AM
Sunset - 6:29 PM Moonset - 9:40 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:

CLICK here and here for detailed weather data


Last edited by Marty; 07/24/12 06:36 AM.
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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a dense cloud cover and cool weather. expected high of 88f. and currently at 6:60 its 81.


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Originally Posted by elbert

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a dense cloud cover and cool weather. expected high of 88f. and currently at 6:60 its 81.


Is 6:60 the same as 7:00? grin


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almost! another cup of coffee and it will be.


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Marty Offline OP
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WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
Valid: Monday, July 23, 2012 - 6:00 am

Residual instability with support in the upper levels will continue to favor outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over most districts and coastal waters on Monday and Tuesday. A tropical wave will reach the coast of Yucatan and Belize on Wednesday night, generating another bout of showers and thunderstorms through Thursday (Figure 3 & 5 below). The atmosphere will then stabilized by Friday leading to mainly fair and dry weather over the coming weekend.

An influx of moisture and instability is enhancing outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms over southern and northern areas of the mainland and northern coastal waters today. The instability will continue on Tuesday, decreasing on Wednesday. An active tropical wave will reach the coast of Belize on Wednesday night, producing more showers and thunderstorms which will be locally concentrated over central and northern coastal areas.

Daytime heating will add to the instability, inducing afternoon thunderstorms over inland areas of the Orange Walk, Cayo, western Stann Creek and Toledo districts. Expect mostly cloudy skies through Thursday, but a significant reduction in showers is expected by Friday and over the coming weekend.

Daily rainfall accumulations will range from 0.50-2.00 inches in the northern districts and northern coastal waters/Cayes, and along the coast on Monday and Tuesday. Elsewhere, rainfall totals will be 0.25-1.00 inch today and Tuesday. Most areas will see daily totals of 0.25-0.50 of-an-inch of rainfall on Wednesday; but increasing on Wednesday night and Thursday; with daily totals in the hills and central coastal areas of 0.75-1.50 inches. Daily rainfall rates will decrease on Friday and this coming weekend, ranging from 0.01-0.10 of-an-inch, with possible higher amounts in the elevated terrain produced by afternoon showers.

CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report


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Just hit!


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We measured peak winds of 41.2knots on the dock with sustained 35knot winds...

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'Residual instability' I like that term! its calmed to 9 mph from the E at the moment , just a little over three hours later.


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However, all in all it was a nice day. Down in the Tres Cocos area we didn't have any rain today but did see some distant lightning this afternoon.


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