Belize Weather Forecast: August 7, 2012
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
CLICK here for information on Hurricane Ernesto
Hurricane warning for entire coast of Belize as Tropical Storm Ernesto heads west northwest.
Advisories: A hurricane warning has been issued for the entire coast of Belize. *SMALL CRAFT SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOUR.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy to overcast skies; numerous showers and thunderstorms will occur mainly over northern and coastal parts of the country.
Winds: North - northwest 15-25 knots increasing to tropical storm force strength this afternoon and tonight and during showers and thunderstorms.
Marine Forecast: Rough; *Small craft should seek safe harbour.*
Winds: N/NW 15-25kts. Increasing to tropical storm force strength this afternoon; Seas: Rough.; Waves: 6-9 ft.; Numerous showers and thunderstorms(mostly north). Outlook:
Wednesday night:- East to southeast at 10 to 20kts with higher gusts; Seas: Moderate -rough; Waves: 5-7 ft.; small craft warning.; Some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain.
Sea Surface Temp (°F): 84
Outlook: Through to Thursday morning: Overcast skies with diminishing tropical storm force winds, some showers and thunderstorms mostly along the coast and in the north.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Storm Ernesto was located near Lat 17.5°N, Lon 83.9° W or about 285 miles east of Belize City. Maximum sustained winds were 65 mph and movement was to the west northwest at 13 mph.
Click for our complete daily Tropical Weather Information
WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR BELIZE
Here is the Weekly Outlook and an update of TS Ernesto ploughing westwards at 20 mph with max sustained winds of 50 mph at 3:00 pm this afternoon.
Expect torrential rainfall and TS force winds with this system on Tuesday night and early Wednesday.
The feature of interest this week will be the approach and landfall of tropical cyclone Ernesto along the northern coast of Belize on Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning as a minimal hurricane. The GFS model cyclonic vorticity projection has the center of Ernesto moving across the central coast of Belize early on Wednesday. Although Ernesto is entraining dry air as it moves into the western Caribbean this evening, environmental conditions will still be favorable for the system to strengthen to hurricane intensity before making landfall over the northern or central coast of Belize. A strong windshear zone is evident in the extreme NW Caribbean and SE Gulf of Mexico, while a persistent high pressure ridge to the north of the western Caribbean will keep Ernesto on a westerly to west-northwesterly track, propelling the system towards the southern Yucatan-Belize coast. Regardless of where, along the coast of Belize, Ernesto makes landfall, tropical storm force winds will affect most areas of Belize, with hurricane force winds in a narrow zone near the center. Torrential rainfall will spread across the country by Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday, with highest concentration projected over the north and central areas of the country. The instability will persist through Thursday until Saturday. So expect much rainfall this week, with a high potential of strong winds near where Ernesto makes landfall, and flooding in flood prone areas, including the Belize city area and surroundings!
Daily rainfall accumulations will range from 0.10-0.25 of-an-inch on Sunday and Monday. Rainfall rates will increase on Tuesday and Wednesday continuing through Thursday. Expect the highest rainfall amounts on Tuesday night through Thursday morning, with rates of 2-3 inches per day. Locally higher daily rates of 4-5 inches are expected in the elevated areas of the Cayo, Stann Creek and Toledo Districts. The northern sector of the mainland including the Belize District will also see high rainfall accumulations on Tuesday through Thursday, with totals of 2-3 inches per day. The rapid runoff will provoke localized flash floods in valley and hilly areas. Residence in flood prone zones should be prepared to move to safer areas!
CLICK HERE for the full Belize Weekly Weather Report
Current Caye Caulker Weather Information
Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information
Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)
|Low - 7:48 AM
||High - 1:23 PM|
|Low - 7:38 PM
||High - 1:35 AM (WED.)|
| Sunrise - 5:34 AM
|| Moonrise - 10:09 PM|
|Sunset - 6:23 PM
||Moonset - 10:19 AM
Four Day Weather Outlook:
CLICK here and here for detailed weather data